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Newman: Data Center Buildout & NVDA Demand Show No Signs of A.I. Bubble
Youtube· 2025-12-18 03:00
文章核心观点 - 当前人工智能领域并非泡沫,而是处于一个可能持续数十年的技术超级周期中 [2][3] - 尽管存在部分“泡沫化”现象,例如部分公司滥用AI概念炒作估值或过度支出而未产生实际AI收入,但核心基础设施公司拥有真实收入和盈利增长 [4][5] - 真正的AI投资机会和货币化在于企业级应用,而非仅仅是大语言模型或聊天机器人产生的收入,目前行业仍处于非常早期的阶段 [8][9][18] AI行业现状与性质 - 行业正处于基础设施建设的早期阶段,所有已部署的AI芯片和能源都被完全消耗,不存在互联网泡沫时期的基础设施闲置问题 [7][10] - 供应链限制非常真实,存在于硅供应链的各个环节,目前是一个产能和供应侧的约束问题 [10][13] - 市场对AI芯片的需求旺盛,即使谷歌TPU等定制芯片使用量增长,也不会对英伟达构成零和博弈,预计约25%的AI芯片将是定制的,其余大部分将是像AMD和英伟达这样的商用芯片 [11][12] 投资重点与货币化路径 - 当前AI领域的真实资金正投入于数据中心等基础设施的建设 [6] - 整个AI领域的投资叙事目前依赖于OpenAI或Anthropic等公司的大语言模型能创造多少收入,但真正的AI货币化机会在于企业级市场 [8] - 企业将通过应用AI模型于金融、医疗、制造业等领域来解决具体问题,从而驱动价值数万亿美元的经济增长 [9][16] - 现有AI模型仅训练了全球约5%的数据,剩余95%的数据位于企业防火墙之后,是尚未被AI触及的专有数据 [17] 基础设施与核心公司 - 像英伟达、谷歌、微软这样的核心基础设施公司是拥有真实收入和强大现金流的实体 [5] - 超大规模云服务商和一些SaaS公司(如Salesforce、ServiceNow)正进行巨额投资,试图向智能体化转型 [18] 对聊天机器人及LLMs的评估 - 过度聚焦于ChatGPT、Gemini等聊天机器人是错误的,它们并非AI的未来 [14] - 聊天机器人或大语言模型将是众多强大AI应用场景的推动者,但其本身并非全部机会 [15] - 大语言模型目前更像是“客厅魔术”或Netflix早期邮寄DVD的阶段,而非代表AI的成熟形态 [19] - 部分市场参与者将当前阶段误认为行业已发展得很深入 [20] 关键时间点与风险 - 2026年将是重要的验证之年,市场将关注巨额资本支出究竟产生了多少收入 [8] - 潜在风险在于,如果突然出现供应过剩、利用率需求下降且应用场景未能起飞,则可能出现泡沫 [13]
Broadcom Pulls Back Sharply as AI Margin Fears Collide With a Massive Backlog
Investing· 2025-12-18 02:49
Market Analysis by covering: Broadcom Inc. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com ...
Familiar Names Top List of Best AI Stocks to Own
Etftrends· 2025-12-18 02:27
The slide this month by Oracle (ORCL) and Broadcom (AVGO) has reminded investors that artificial intelligence (AI) stocks don't move up in a straight-line fashion. They may also want to consider that prior pullbacks by mega-cap AI equities have often proven to be buying opportunities. For market participants that want to eschew market-timing and stock-picking, the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) and the Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) remain credible options, particularly after recent dips. Consider this: Broadcom, t ...
Republican lawmakers decry Intel's testing of Chinese-linked tools after Reuters report
Reuters· 2025-12-18 02:03
Republican lawmakers accused Intel this week of threatening U.S. national security after Reuters revealed the chipmaker was evaluating chipmaking equipment made by a company with deep ties to China an... ...
5 International ETFs to Buy for 2026
Benzinga· 2025-12-18 01:47
Diversification is usually a winning investment strategy, and that's proven especially true in 2025 when international stocks largely outperformed U.S. equities. While the S&P 500 is up about 15% this year, stocks in Spain have surged 40%, and South Korea is up 65%.Despite the tariff woes with the U.S., its largest trading partner, Canada’s stock market has doubled the S&P 500’s stock performance this year.And all signs point to this trend continuing, and even strengthening, in 2026.Now, getting exposure to ...
Jim Cramer on NVIDIA (NVDA): “I’m Not Changing My Tune”
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-18 01:44
NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) is one of the stocks that Jim Cramer shared his take on. During the episode, Cramer said that he is not changing his “tune” around the company, as he said: “No matter what, though, I still believe in AI as the fourth industrial revolution, and I think most of these stocks will be worth buying once their valuations come down to less lofty levels. And of course, I’m including NVIDIA, which people ask me about all the time. And I say the same thing. I say, own it, don’t trade ...
1 Prediction for Nvidia in 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-18 01:41
Key Points Investors are becoming skeptical that Nvidia's remarkable growth can continue. Nvidia's CEO has already signaled why they could be wrong. 2026 could mark a new leg of growth for Nvidia. 10 stocks we like better than Nvidia › Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) has been a focal point of investment in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector this year. It's the undisputed leader in accelerated computing. However, Nvidia's chips aren't the only reason why. The company's graphics processing unit (GPU) s ...
Why Wall Street Expects Micron to Crush Earnings Today — And Its Stock to Surge Again
247Wallst· 2025-12-18 01:38
Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) is scheduled to release its fiscal first-quarter earnings today after the market closes, and Wall Street is expecting nothing short of spectacular. ...
Jim Cramer on Broadcom (AVGO): “I Like It”
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-18 01:28
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO) is one of the stocks that Jim Cramer shared his take on. Cramer called the stock a “battleship” during the episode, as he said: “Look, I believe in the growth of the data centre. I think we’ll look back on the stock of Broadcom, down over 11% today, and say, wow, I waited a couple days after its hideous decline, and I found out that insiders bought it and orders are flying in. I like to buy this kind of stock, not in free fall, which it is right now, but usually a couple days a ...
Amazon and OpenAI in talks for a $10B investment deal
Youtube· 2025-12-18 01:25
Speaking of AI today, a possible deal between OpenAI and Amazon might be valued north of10 billion. For that, we'll turn to Mackenzie Sagalas. Morning, Mac. >> Hey, good morning, Carl.This would be a big upgrade and the Amazon OpenAI relationship. We're talking about both a huge investment, plus a path for AWS to land OpenAI as a flagship customer, which is a real optics win for Amazon's Nvidia alternative. Now, as for what I'm hearing from a source close to the discussions, Amazon is looking at an equity s ...