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Jim Cramer on Expedia: “It’s Much Cheaper Than Key Competitor”
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-26 01:05
Expedia Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:EXPE) is one of the relatively cheap S&P 500 stocks Jim Cramer talked about. Cramer noted that the stock is cheaper than its main competitor. He said: “And then there’s Expedia, the online travel agency. Expedia’s projected to put up 18% earnings growth next year, but it sells for 13 times next year’s numbers. Oh, that is very cheap. In fact, it’s much cheaper than key competitor, Booking Holdings, at 21 times earnings. So I say stick with Expedia. Booking’s a very well-run com ...
An Interview with Booking CEO Glenn Fogel About Travel and Aggregation
Stratechery By Ben Thompson· 2025-09-25 18:00
公司背景与领导力 - 公司首席执行官格伦·福格尔拥有从投资银行到互联网公司的多元化职业背景,包括在摩根士丹利担任交易员,并于2000年加入Priceline com [7][8][9][10][11][12][13] - 公司在互联网泡沫时期估值超过300亿美元,但随后市值跌至数亿美元,股价曾低至1美元,并进行反向分割 [14][15][16][17] - 首席执行官的个人经历,如年轻时中风康复,塑造了其危机管理能力,认为经历危机有助于更好地应对未来的挑战,如互联网泡沫、9/11、大衰退和新冠疫情等 [7][18][20][21][22] 商业模式演变 - Priceline最初的“name-your-own-price”模式对航空公司等边际成本低的产品有效,但因其不透明性和给客户带来的认知负担而面临挑战 [23][24][25][26][27][28][29] - 2005年收购Booking com引入了代理模式,即公司不预收房费,仅向酒店收取佣金,这与Expedia等的商户模式(预收费用)形成对比 [33][34][37][38][40][41][42] - 代理模式易于酒店接入,具有高度可扩展性,但初期面临现金流挑战,因为公司需提前向谷歌支付广告费用,而酒店在客户入住后才支付佣金 [42][45][46][48] - 公司后来发展了商户模式,目前大部分业务通过商户模式完成,提供超过40种支付方式,为酒店提供更便宜的支付解决方案 [49][50][51][52] 网络效应与竞争优势 - 欧洲酒店市场高度分散,公司通过代理模式快速扩大库存,消费者可以看到更多酒店,酒店可以接触到更多客户,形成网络效应 [44][53][54] - 公司认为旅游行业的网络效应被高估,因为客户会使用多种渠道预订,公司在欧洲的市场份额仅为15%左右,竞争激烈 [99][100][101][102][104][106][107] - 公司通过提供多语言客户服务、市场营销和技术支持,为酒店提供增量需求,仅在使用服务时收取佣金 [59][98][112] 与谷歌的关系 - 公司是谷歌最大的广告客户之一,早期依赖搜索引擎优化,但在谷歌算法变化后转向搜索引擎营销,并通过A/B测试优化投资回报率 [61][62][63][64] - 公司采取务实态度应对谷歌的变化,认为只要投资回报率合理,就会继续投入,与谷歌是合作伙伴关系 [64][65][66][71] - 公司被欧盟指定为“守门人”,但认为这一分类不合理,因为旅游行业竞争激烈,公司必须每天为每个预订而战 [72][73][74][75][76] 客户忠诚度与竞争对手 - 酒店通过合并和忠诚计划来应对聚合器的压力,但公司认为这是市场竞争的正常现象 [78][79][80] - 公司针对Airbnb等竞争对手,大力发展替代住宿业务,其替代住宿间夜数占总额的37%,接近Airbnb总间夜数的四分之三,并在过去17个季度中有16个季度增长更快 [82][83] - 公司提供“Genius”计划,由供应商资助折扣,以奖励频繁客户,并与酒店讨论根据客户忠诚度调整佣金的可能性 [80][93][111] 互联旅行与人工智能 - “互联旅行”愿景旨在数字化重现传统旅行代理的体验,通过技术整合航班、酒店、景点、餐饮等,提供全天候服务,并在出现问题时自动解决 [86][87][88][89][90][92] - 公司通过收购OpenTable、FareHarbor等公司,构建了航班、景点、租车、保险等多个垂直领域,为互联旅行奠定基础 [90][91][117] - 生成式人工智能可能使互联旅行更容易实现,但公司承认实现这一愿景需要时间,目前购买多个垂直领域产品的交易量已占总交易量的两位数百分比 [94][108][109][110] - 公司面临来自大型语言模型(如ChatGPT)的潜在竞争,这些模型可能成为旅行规划的起点,但公司已与多家AI公司建立合作关系,并希望通过直接渠道吸引客户 [119][120][121][122] 未来战略 - 公司未来5到10年的重点仍是实现互联旅行,通过数据分析和人工智能为客户提供更好的体验,并为酒店合作伙伴提供技术支持,帮助其提高收入和客户满意度 [108][110][112][115][116] - 公司希望通过产品引导增长和营销,提高直接客户比例,目前超过60%的B2C客户直接访问公司平台 [121] - 公司专注于使现有市场更高效,而非像Airbnb那样创造新市场,但未排除未来探索新市场的可能性 [113][114][115]
Credit cards: THIS travel platform rolls out offers up to 15% on flights & hotels this festive season
MINT· 2025-09-24 17:15
Travel website ixigo has rolled out the ‘Grand Travel Fest’ sale with unbeatable savings on flights and hotels. As the festive season draws closer, travellers can enjoy up to 15 per cent off on Flights & Hotels through exclusive bank partnerships.This is meant to make festive journeys more affordable; the sale ensures families and individuals using credit cards can plan trips home and celebrate together, without stretching their budgets.Travellers can enjoy up to 12% off on flights and hotels with ICICI Ban ...
On The Beach Issues 2025 Pre-Close Trading Update
RTTNews· 2025-09-24 14:39
On the Beach Group plc (OTB.L) issued an update on trading for financial year ending 30 September 2025. For fiscal 2025, the Group expects adjusted profit before tax on a continuing basis excluding B2B to be in the range of 34.5 - 35.5 million pounds. Total transaction value was 1.23 billion pounds, an increase of 11% on last year. Also, the Board has determined that sufficient surplus cash exists to announce a further share buyback programme of up to 25 million pounds. "The Board and management team remai ...
Jim Cramer hunts for growth stocks at reasonable prices amid market highs
Youtube· 2025-09-23 08:27
市场筛选策略 - 通过筛选标准普尔500指数成分股寻找增长高于平均水平且估值低于平均水平的股票[2] - 筛选标准为盈利增长率高于指数预期的12.5%且市盈率低于指数约22倍的水平[2] - 初始筛选出104只股票 排除能源和材料板块后剩余86只股票[3] 通信服务 - T-Mobile预计明年盈利增长19.4% 但市盈率仅为18倍[4] - 公司宣布领导层变更 CEO Mike Sievert将于11月1日转任副主席[3] 非必需消费品 - 皇家加勒比游轮被视为邮轮股中最佳选择[5] - Expedia预计明年盈利增长18% 市盈率仅13倍 显著低于竞争对手Booking Holdings的21倍[5] 必需消费品 - Dollar Tree作为低收入消费者寻求价值的首选 预计盈利增长15%且市盈率低于15倍[6] - 公司已完成表现较弱的Family Dollar业务分拆[6] 金融业 - 金融板块有34家公司通过筛选 被视为当前市场亮点[7] - Capital One Financial预计盈利增长近14% 市盈率约11倍[8] - 美国运通发布新版白金卡 预计盈利增长12.6% 市盈率低于20倍[9] - 花旗集团预计盈利增长28% 市盈率仅10.5倍 为大型银行中最便宜[10] - Keycorp预计盈利增长22% 市盈率低于11倍[11] - 嘉信理财和财产意外保险公司Chubb也通过筛选[12] - 私募股权公司Apollo预计盈利增长19% 市盈率15.5倍[13] 医疗保健 - 医疗保健板块仅4家公司通过筛选 其中Incyte表现突出[14] - Incyte拥有9款获批产品 主要集中于肿瘤和皮肤病领域 年内股价上涨近23%[14] - 公司预计盈利增长19% 市盈率低于12倍[14] 工业 - 卡特彼勒机械公司自4月低点上涨77% 预计盈利增长18% 市盈率22倍[15] - 康明斯核心卡车发动机业务面临货运市场疲软 但数据中心备用发电机业务被低估[16] - Jacobs工程建筑公司参与数据中心和制药厂设计建设 预计盈利增长16% 市盈率21.5倍[17] 科技 - 戴尔科技作为AI基础设施核心参与者通过筛选[18] - 电子合同制造商Jabil在贸易不确定性中成为更有价值的合作伙伴[18] 房地产 - 波士顿地产公司是唯一通过筛选的房地产公司 拥有东西海岸六大城市高端办公物业组合[19] - 公司本月削减股息以投入增长项目 股息收益率仍达3.7%[19] 公用事业 - Entergy公司通过筛选 受益于Meta在路易斯安那州建设100亿美元数据中心及液化天然气出口设施扩建[21] - 公司增长略快于标普500平均水平且估值略低[21]
Expedia CEO says any quarterly reporting change won't affect internal decisions
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-19 05:35
财报业绩 - 第二季度营收达37.9亿美元 超出市场预期的37.1亿美元 [2] - 第二季度每股收益为4.24美元 超出市场预期的3.97美元 [2] - 公司股价年初至今上涨20% 过去12个月上涨59% [1] 业务运营 - 商务和广告业务表现强劲 商务总预订量和收入分别增长17%和15% 广告收入增长19% [4] - 国际增长强劲 北欧和亚太地区表现突出 日本和巴西市场均实现20%以上的增长 [6] - 面向消费者的品牌如Hotelscom和Vrbo仍受多年技术迁移影响 拖累整体增长 [4] 管理层评论与展望 - 管理层指出旅游市场需求存在波动 第二季度美国需求疲软但高收入旅客群体表现出韧性 [2] - 公司观察到7月和8月客流量同比去年有所增加 远期预订仍是关键指标 [3] - 公司将人工智能视为继线上和移动之后的“第三波”技术 用于帮助旅客规划行程和总结酒店评论 [3] - 管理层上调2025年业绩展望 包括3%至5%的收入增长和略高的利润率扩张 [5] 分析师观点 - 摩根大通分析师给予中性评级 认为需观察执行力持续全面改善的迹象 目标价为225美元 [4] - Evercore分析师重申跑赢大盘评级 将目标价从230美元上调至280美元 因业绩超预期且指引上调 [5] - 分析师认为公司第三季度对总预订量、收入和税息折旧及摊销前利润的指引均高于市场预期 [5]
EXPEDIA GROUP UNLOCKS MORE DEMAND FOR VACATION RENTAL PARTNERS WITH STRONGER DISTRIBUTION ACROSS ITS MARKETPLACE AND NEW TECH FEATURES
Businesswire· 2025-09-17 22:00
业务拓展与合作伙伴关系 - Vrbo分销渠道通过公司全球知名品牌进行扩张 [1] - 在EXPLORE Connect: Vacation Rentals活动上向数百名合作伙伴宣布了上述更新 [1] 度假租赁市场平台更新 - 加强Premier Host计划 [1] - 为房东推出新产品 [1] 技术与用户体验升级 - 发布由人工智能驱动的新功能 [1] - 对客户评价体验进行升级以简化旅行规划流程 [1]
中国在线旅游 - 政府提振旅游消费举措及即将到来的假期需求可能表现良好-China OTAs-Gov t Measures to Boost Travel Consumption and Upcoming Holiday Demand Likely Decent
2025-09-17 09:51
[角色] 你是一名拥有10年投资银行从业经验的资深研究分析师,专门负责上市公司、行业研究。你擅长解读公司财报、行业动态、宏观市场,发现潜在的投资机会和风险。 [任务] 你需要仔细研读一份上市公司或者行业研究的电话会议记录,请阅读全文,一步一步思考,总结全文列出关键要点,不要错过任何信息,包括: * 纪要涉及的行业或者公司 * 纪要提到的核心观点和论据 * 其他重要但是可能被忽略的内容 如果没有相关内容,请跳过这一部分,进行其他的部分。 总结时要全面、详细、尽可能覆盖全部的内容、不遗漏重点,并根据上述方面对内容进行分组。 要引用原文数字数据和百分比变化,注意单位换算(billion=十亿,million=百万,thousand=千)。 [注意事项] 1) 使用中文,不要出现句号 2) 采用markdown格式 3) 不使用第一人称,以"公司"、"行业"代替 4) 只输出关于公司和行业的内容 5) 在每一个关键点后用[序号]形式引用原文档id 6) 一个[序号]只应该包含一个数字,不能包含多个,如果多个就用[序号][序号]分开写,不要写成 [序号-序号] 7) 每个关键要点后边的 [序号] 不要超过 3 个 Content: --------- <doc id='1'>16 Sep 2025 11:43:21 ET │ 12 pages China OTAs Gov't Measures to Boost Travel Consumption and Upcoming Holiday Demand Likely Decent CITI'S TAKE The Ministry of Commerce and other departments jointly issued Several Policies on Expanding Service Consumption. In the document, we see attracting more inbound visitors and optimizing students' holiday arrangements directly related to travel industry, especially for optimizing holiday arrangement which includes exploring establishment of spring and autumn vacations for primary and secondary schools students with shorter winter and summer vacation, and this could decently enhance frequency of long-haul family travel if implemented. Also, we see travel demand likely being decent during the upcoming Golden Week, which will be a 8-day holiday, 1 more day than in 2024, likely benefiting long-haul and outbound travel more. China State Railway Group estimated railway passenger throughput could reach 219mn during the 12-day transportation period with daily average at 18.25mn vs. total of 177mn and daily average of 17.7mn during last year's 10-day transportation period. Maintain Buy on TCOM and Tongcheng.</doc> <doc id='2'>Details of the latest document – On 16 Sep, the Ministry of Commerce and other departments jointly issued the Several Policies on Expanding Service Consumption, which includes 5 areas and 19 detailed measures. Related to the travel industry, the document encourages attracting more international visitors by expanding visa-free policies and improving payment conveniences, exploring adding spring and autumn vacations for primary and secondary school students while shortening summer and winter vacations, adjusting the academic calendar without reducing total vacation days, extending operating hours of museums and scenic spots, promoting introducing int'l sports events and host local sports events, and providing consumption credit supports.</doc> <doc id='3'>Govt's estimates on railway passenger throughput during upcoming holiday – Per People's Daily on 16 Sep, China State Railway Group estimated railway passenger throughput could reach 219mn during the 12-day transportation period from 29 Sep to 10 Oct (ie, two days before the holiday, the 8-day holiday, and two days after the holiday) with average daily passenger throughput at 18.25mn, higher than the daily average of 17.74mn (or total 177mn) during last year's 10-day transportation period. That said, although daily average railway passenger throughput was estimated to increase 3%, we think a 24% yoy increase in total passenger throughput also matters since the longer holiday could make the daily average number dilute the real increase in the number of travelers.</doc> <doc id='4'>Preliminary booking data from OTA platforms – Qunar: Qunar has seen more diversified travel destination and earlier bookings this year given the longer holiday Brian GongAC +852-2501-2747 brian.gong@citi.com Alicia Yap, CFA +852-2501-2773 alicia.yap@citi.com See Appendix A-1 for Analyst Certification, Important Disclosures and Research Analyst Affiliations Citi Research is a division of Citigroup Global Markets Inc. (the "Firm"), which does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the Firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. Certain products (not inconsistent with the author's published research) are available only on Citi's portals.</doc> <doc id='5'>with 30% yoy growth on domestic travel willingness and >40% yoy growth on outbound travel willingness (link, STCN, 16-Sep). Tongcheng: With train tickets for 29 Sep available for sale on 15 Sep, lots of tickets in higher-tier cities have been sold out (link, JFdaily, 15-Sep). Fliggy: Fliggy has seen average booking volume per user on flights, and train and car rentals were up ~4.3% yoy (link, JFdaily, 15-Sep).</doc> <doc id='6'>More long-haul travel this year – Per Ctrip data, top destinations during 2024 Golden Week were Japan, Thailand, South Korea, and Malaysia. Qunar's data show this year's top destinations remain the same but also see increasing long-haul outbound travel destinations like Australia and Europe. With a longer holiday this year, we expect more long-haul travel for the domestic market during the Golden Week as well, which could benefit OTAs more.</doc> <doc id='7'>Tongcheng Travel Holdings (0780.HK; HK$22.98; 1; 16 Sep 25; 16:10) Valuation We believe PE is appropriate to value Tongcheng to capture strong growth momentum and is consistent with our valuation methodology for its peers. Our target price of HK$28 is based on 16x non-IFRS 2026E EPS, set at a discount to the historical average of 21x before the pandemic given a slower revs growth profile.</doc> <doc id='8'>Risks Key risks that may prevent the share price from reaching our target price include: 1) greater-than-expected competition from OTA peers or other traveling booking channels; 2) heavy reliance on hotel supply from Trip.com; 3) heavy reliance on Tencent's platforms; and 4) worsening macro.</doc> <doc id='9'>Trip.com Group Ltd (TCOM.O; US$74.12; 1; 15 Sep 25; 16:00) Valuation Our target price of US$85 for Trip.com is based on SOTP. We value the core business at ~US$78/sh based on a 2026E P/E of 20x, applying a 20% premium to the average P/E of other vertical leaders given TCOM's decent growth momentum with structural overseas expansion story. We apply the target multiple to TCOM's 2026E adj. earnings excluding the profits from equity investments. We value the major equity investments at ~US$7/sh based on the market caps of the listed names. We employ an SOTP approach to better factor in the value of the investments.</doc> <doc id='10'>Risks Downside risks that could prevent the shares from reaching our target price include: 1) a further softening of the China macro environment that affects travel demand; 2) travel demand taking longer than expected to recover; 3) spending and margins turning worse than expected; 4) an intensification of domestic competition; and 5) any significant new outbreaks of Covid-19 or other epidemics.</doc> <doc id='11'>If you are visually impaired and would like to speak to a Citi representative regarding the details of the graphics in this document, please call USA 1-888-500-5008 (TTY: 711), from outside the US +1-210-677-3788</doc> <doc id='12'>Appendix A-1 ANALYST CERTIFICATION The research analysts primarily responsible for the preparation and content of this research report are either (i) designated by "AC" in the author block or (ii) listed in bold alongside content which is attributable to that analyst. If multiple AC analysts are designated in the author block, each analyst is certifying with respect to the entire research report other than (a) content attributable to another AC certifying analyst listed in bold alongside the content and (b) views expressed solely with respect to a specific issuer which are attributable to another AC certifying analyst identified in the price charts or rating history tables for that issuer shown below. Each of these analysts certify, with respect to the sections of the report for which they are responsible: (1) that the views expressed therein accurately reflect their personal views about each issuer and security referenced and were prepared in an independent manner, including with respect to Citigroup Global markets Inc. and its affiliates; and (2) no part of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by that research analyst in this report.</doc> <doc id='13'>IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES</doc> <doc id='16'>The Firm has made a market in the publicly traded equity securities of Tongcheng Travel Holdings Ltd on at least one occasion since 1 Jan 2024. The Firm has made a market in the publicly traded equity securities of Trip.com Group Ltd on at least one occasion since 1 Jan 2024.</doc> <doc id='17'>Citigroup Global Markets Inc. owns a position of 1 million USD or more in the debt securities of Trip.com Group Ltd. Citigroup Global Markets Inc. or its affiliates received compensation for products and services other than investment banking services from Tongcheng Travel Holdings,Trip.com Group Ltd in the past 12 months.</doc> <doc id='18'>Citigroup Global Markets Inc. or its affiliates currently has, or had within the past 12 months, the following as clients, and the services provided were non-investment-banking, securities-related: Trip.com Group Ltd.</doc> <doc id='19'>Citigroup Global Markets Inc. or its affiliates currently has, or had within the past 12 months, the following as clients, and the services provided were non-investment-banking, non-securities-related: Tongcheng Travel Holdings,Trip.com Group Ltd. Citigroup Global Markets Inc. and/or its affiliates has a significant financial interest in relation to Trip.com Group Ltd. (For an explanation of the determination of significant financial interest, please refer to the policy for managing conflicts of interest which can be found at www.citiVelocity.com.) Analysts' compensation is determined by Citi Research management and Citigroup's senior management and is based upon activities and services intended to benefit the investor clients of Citigroup Global Markets Inc. and its affiliates (the "Firm"). Compensation is not linked to specific transactions or recommendations. Like all Firm employees, analysts receive compensation that is impacted by overall Firm profitability which includes investment banking, sales and trading, and principal trading revenues. One factor in equity research analyst compensation is arranging corporate access events between institutional clients and the management teams of covered companies. Typically, company management is more likely to participate when the analyst has a positive view of the company.</doc> <doc id='20'>For financial instruments recommended in the Product in which the Firm is not a market maker, the Firm is a liquidity provider in such financial instruments (and any underlying instruments) and may act as principal in connection with transactions in such instruments. The Firm is a regular issuer of traded financial instruments linked to securities that may have been recommended in the Product. The Firm regularly trades in the securities of the issuer(s) discussed in the Product. The Firm may engage in securities transactions in a manner inconsistent with the Product and, with respect to securities covered by the Product, will buy or sell from customers on a principal basis.</doc> <doc id='21'>The Firm is a market maker in the publicly traded equity securities of Tongcheng Travel Holdings,Trip.com Group Ltd. 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Best Momentum Stock to Buy for September 5th
ZACKS· 2025-09-05 23:01
Here are three stocks with buy rank and strong momentum characteristics for investors to consider today, September 5th:Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) : This one-stop travel service company, has a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), and witnessed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increasing 2.5% over the last 60 days.Trip.com's shares gained 17.8% over the last three month compared with the S&P 500’s gain of 9.4%. The company possesses a Momentum Score of A.Imperial Oil (IMO) : This company w ...
China Opens Doors to Russian Tourists as People-centric Exchange Deepens丨CBN Perspective
21世纪经济报道· 2025-09-05 21:44
政策核心内容 - 中国对俄罗斯公民实施单方面免签试点政策 自2025年9月15日至2026年9月14日期间允许免签停留30天 [2][3] - 该政策旨在促进中俄人文交流 体现"以人民为中心"的政策理念 [13][15] 旅游业即时反应 - 免签政策宣布后半小时内 莫斯科至中国航班搜索量翻倍 最高时段增长达四倍 [4] - 俄罗斯旅游行业协会预计该政策将使赴华游客流量增长30%-40% [10] - 2025年上半年俄罗斯赴华旅游及私人访问达83.66万人次 同比增长38.5% [12] 旅游市场现状 - 俄罗斯是今夏中国第三大国际游客来源国 [4] - 2023年俄罗斯赴华游客达150万人次 同比增长115% 中国赴俄游客104万人次 增长209% [7] - 俄罗斯游客十大热门目的地:北京 上海 三亚 广州 哈尔滨 深圳 西安 张家界 成都 杭州 [6] 目的地偏好特征 - 俄罗斯游客特别青睐海南三亚等热带度假胜地 [5] - 预计免签政策将带动中国低线城市和特色旅游目的地热度提升 [5] 文化交往举措 - 2024-2025中俄文化年活动覆盖中国51个城市和俄罗斯38个城市 [17] - 莫斯科已在中国主流社交平台开设账号 包括抖音 微信 小红书和微博 [8] - 2024年莫斯科首次举办大规模春节庆祝活动 期间举办超300场活动 [9] 文化产业合作 - 中俄合拍电影《红绸》在俄上映并获得票房成功 [18] - 两国艺术家合作新版歌剧《叶甫盖尼·奥涅金》在中国首演 [18] - 近期举办中俄人文交流活动纪念抗战胜利80周年暨苏联卫国战争胜利80周年 [16]