CHONGQING, CHINA - SEPTEMBER 28: In this photo illustration, a hand holds a smartphone displaying the logo of Applied Digital Corporation (NASDAQ: APLD), the American company specializing in data centers and digital infrastructure, with its brand logo seen in the background on September 28, 2025 in Chongqing, China. (Photo illustration by Cheng Xin/Getty Images)Getty ImagesApplied Digital (APLD) shares have decreased by 17.5% in a single day. This recent decline highlights renewed worries about elevated val ...

Key Takeaways APLD and LITE have both delivered more than 200% returns in 2025 on surging AI infrastructure demand.APLD's long-term prospects ride on accelerating spending on AI infrastructure by hyperscalers.LITE is developing and providing photonic solutions for AI applications, particularly for data centers. The artificial intelligence (AI) saga, supported by the massive growth of cloud computing and data centers, is yet to unfold fully. Solid demand from AI infrastructure end markets such as hyperscale ...

We recently published 10 Stocks Facing Selling Pressure Ahead of Christmas. Applied Digital Corp. (NASDAQ:APLD) is one of the biggest losers on Monday. Applied Digital nosedived for a fourth consecutive day on Monday, slashing 17.52 percent to close at $22.98 apiece as investors took path from a broader market pessimism amid fresh AI bubble worries. The stock declined alongside its high-performance computing (HPC) counterparts, dragged down by increasing concerns about technology giants’ heavy spending o ...

Applied Digital (NASDAQ:APLD) has been one of the standout performers in 2025, delivering gains of approximately 200% year-to-date. The company designs, builds, and operates next-generation data centers optimized for high-performance computing and AI workloads. Its strong performance positioned it as a key holding in Nvidia's (NASDAQ:NVDA) "secret†investment portfolio focused on AI ecosystem companies. While most holdings in that portfolio declined sharply — resulting in an overall 30% drop in value since t ...

Key Takeaways APLD's Polaris Forge 1 campus is backed by a full 400MW CoreWeave commitment, boosting multi-year revenue.APLD's capital structure supports growth, with preferred equity and project financing in place.The Zacks Consensus Estimate pegs APLD's fiscal 2026 revenues at $280.9M, up 30.35% year over year.Applied Digital (APLD) shares have appreciated 141.2% in the past six months, outperforming the broader Zacks Finance sector’s increase of 10.7% and the Zacks Financial – Miscellaneous Services indu ...

The massive, multiyear AI infrastructure buildout has created a powerful investment opportunity for long-term investors.The rapid global adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) is driving a surge in investments in AI infrastructure. However, the key constraint in this expansion is no longer GPU supply, but the shortage of purpose-built data centers capable of supporting the extreme power density and advanced cooling requirements of modern AI workloads. Hence, public hyperscalers are expected to spend almos ...

This data center builder appears undervalued based on its construction pipeline and recent lease agreements made with hyperscalers.Shares of Applied Digital (APLD 9.43%) have surged 295% year to date, driven by rising demand for additional data center capacity. As one of the leading builders of data centers, the company is benefiting from continued growth in spending on artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure.While there are risks associated with executing its growth strategy, Applied Digital is poised ...

This data center company is positioned for explosive growth.A few years ago, there were not enough chips for companies investing in artificial intelligence (AI). Today, chips are no longer a problem. The main bottleneck is securing access to electricity for new data centers.This is a significant opportunity for data center builders like Applied Digital (APLD 0.66%). The stock has climbed more than 300% in 2025.If you have extra cash you can afford to commit to a long-term investing strategy, this stock offe ...

行业投资评级 - 增持 [6] 报告核心观点 - 比特币矿场转型人工智能数据中心（AIDC）已成为一种普遍现象和确定趋势，是矿场与云厂商的“双向奔赴” [1][11] - 市场对矿场用于AI业务的电力资源给予了远高于挖矿电力的估值溢价，这推动了矿场加快转型步伐 [4][55] - 报告建议关注转型动作坚决、电力资源储备丰富（尤其是有大容量单体场地）以及有AI云业务经验的比特币矿场，例如Iris Energy、Hive Digital、比特小鹿等 [4][10][55] 转型现状与市场格局 - **总体规模**：自2024年至2025年11月3日，已有6家比特币矿场与至少5家云厂商签订了总额**536亿美元**、涉及**1.959吉瓦（GW）** 电力的租赁合同 [1][11][12] - **客户结构**：超过**50%** 的签约方是新兴云厂商（Neocloud），包括Coreweave（653兆瓦，占33%）、Core42（70兆瓦）和Fluidstack（536兆瓦，占27%），其余为亚马逊云（300兆瓦，占15%）和微软（200兆瓦，占10%）等超大云厂商 [2][13] - **矿场竞争**：Core Scientific（CORZ）最早与Coreweave签约，但后来者签约规模更大，如Terawulf（438兆瓦，占22%）、Cipher（468兆瓦，占24%）和Applied Digital（450兆瓦，占23%），竞争格局分散 [2][17] - **项目特征**： - 单项目关键IT负载容量较大，最小为**70兆瓦（MW）**，最大为**300兆瓦（MW）**，均值为**176兆瓦（MW）** [3][21] - 合同年限普遍较长，除Iris Energy与微软的合约为5年外，其余项目均值为**14年**，最长可达**25年** [3][24] - 合同单价（除Iris Energy项目外）较为一致，均值为**173万美元/兆瓦/年**，最低为**122万美元/兆瓦/年**，最高为**226万美元/兆瓦/年** [3][27] - **业务模式**：当前矿场布局AIDC主要有三种模式：为云厂商提供电力托管（主流）、裸金属租赁（仅Iris Energy与微软合作一例）以及自营云服务 [3][31][32] 转型动因与商业模式对比 - **挖矿业务不确定性**：比特币挖矿收入受产量减半和价格波动影响，且全网算力增长迫使矿场持续投入以维持份额，单位算力预期收入呈下降趋势，盈利面临压力 [35][38] - **AIDC经济性更优**：根据测算，将**1兆瓦（MW）** 电力投入不同业务，经济指标对比如下 [3][40][41]： - **收入**：比特币挖矿为**85万美元/年**，AIDC托管为**173万美元/年**，AIDC裸金属租赁为**970万美元/年**，AIDC自营云为**883万美元/年** - **毛利**：比特币挖矿为**10万美元/年**，AIDC托管为**63万美元/年**，AIDC裸金属租赁为**182万美元/年**，AIDC自营云为**135万美元/年** - **毛利率**：比特币挖矿为**12%**，AIDC托管为**36%**，AIDC裸金属租赁为**19%**，AIDC自营云为**15%** - **回本周期**：比特币挖矿为**2.5年**，AIDC托管为**6.4年**，AIDC裸金属租赁为**3.2年**，AIDC自营云为**3.4年** - **结论**：短期内，AIDC托管模式毛利率最高但回本周期较长；比特币挖矿、AIDC裸金属租赁与自营云模式毛利率较低但回本更快 [3][40] 领先矿场的自营云业务进展 - **比特小鹿（BTDR）**：截至2025年10月31日运营**584块GPU**，利用率87%，年化收入**800万美元**；预计2025年底前将运营**1160块GPU**；公司乐观预计，将**200兆瓦（MW）** 电力转向AI云服务可在2026年底前带来超过**20亿美元**的年化收入 [4][44][45] - **Iris Energy（IREN）**：预计2025年第三季度运营**2067块GPU**，AI云业务收入**730万美元**；预计2026年第一季度运营**2.3万块GPU**，年化收入约**5亿美元**；2026年底前计划运营**14万块GPU** [4][47] - **Hive Digital（HIVE）**：截至2025年第三季度末，有**5050块GPU**在线，年化收入约**2000万美元**；计划在2026年底前运营超过**1.1万个GPU**，年化收入约**1.4亿美元** [4][51][52] 市场估值与投资逻辑 - **估值差异显著**：市场对矿场电力资源的估值因用途不同而差异巨大。粗略统计显示，市场给予比特币矿场总电力的市值均值约为**473万美元/兆瓦（MW）**，给予挖矿电力的市值约为**1226万美元/兆瓦（MW）**，而给予AI电力的市值均值高达**1.44亿美元/兆瓦（MW）** [4][55][57] - **投资逻辑**：市场正在对AI相关的电力资源给予显著更高的估值溢价，拥有更多AI电量的公司市值相对更高 [4][55]

公司战略转型 - 公司正从一家为比特币矿工服务的知名数据中心运营商，快速转型为专门构建的人工智能基础设施提供商 [1] - 公司过去两年已整合了关键资源，包括土地、电力、施工团队、供应链合同和工程人才，以建设能够支持高功率密度和先进液冷要求的“AI工厂” [3] 行业机遇与定位 - 当前AI基础设施建设的关键瓶颈并非GPU供应，而是能够支持复杂、高功耗AI工作负载所需的高功率密度和先进液冷要求的数据中心 [3] - 公开交易的超大规模云服务商预计仅2025年就将在AI数据中心投资近3500亿美元，公司有望成为这一巨大机遇的主要受益者 [3] 财务与合同可见性 - 公司目前享有极高的收入可见性，主要AI超大规模客户CoreWeave已行使选择权，将其在北达科他州Polaris Forge 1园区的租赁容量从250兆瓦扩大至全部400兆瓦 [4] - CoreWeave的租约合同总价值从之前的70亿美元增加至110亿美元，期限为15年，管理层预计该租约最终将贡献近5亿美元的年净运营收入 [4] - 公司已将Polaris Forge 2园区在建容量中的200兆瓦租赁给一家未具名的美国超大规模客户，合同收入为50亿美元，期限15年 [6] 产能扩张计划 - 公司计划在2028年至2030年间，随着新的输电容量上线，将Polaris Forge 1数据中心的容量扩大到1吉瓦以上 [6] - 公司正在北达科他州的Polaris Forge 2园区初步建设300兆瓦的数据中心容量，并预计随着电力供应增加，将其扩展到1吉瓦容量 [6] 市场数据 - 公司当前股价为32.42美元，市值约为90亿美元 [5][6] - 公司股票52周价格区间为3.31美元至40.20美元，当日成交量为28.4万股 [5][6] - 公司毛利率为14.46% [6]