业绩发布与预期 - 公司计划于5月12日发布2025年第一季度业绩，市场对当季每股收益和营收的共识预期分别为0.92美元和217亿美元[1] - 过去30天内，对第一季度每股收益的预期被下调了14%，但该预期仍较去年同期报告的数据有22.7%的改善[1] - 对第一季度营收的共识预期则预示着同比将下降8.7%[1] - 对2025年全年的营收共识预期为839亿美元，意味着同比下降8.2%；全年每股收益共识预期为2.79美元，表明将收缩约6.4%[2] 运营表现 - 2025年第一季度油气总产量预计为每日277万桶油当量，同比微降0.2%，表现相对平稳[7] - 巴西国内原油产量下降1%至每日221万桶，但新增11口新井以及Búzios油田Almirante Tamandaré FPSO平台的投产部分抵消了下降[7] - 总石油、天然气和衍生品销售量下降1.9%至每日286万桶油当量，其中出口量同比大幅下降10.4%至每日76万桶[8] - 对华和对美出口量下降，但转向其他亚洲市场的出口占比从10%激增至33%，并与印度Bharat Petroleum达成从2025年起每年出口最多600万桶的新协议[8] - 国内精炼产品销售额增长2.9%，但巴西精炼石油出口在1月至2月间下降超过20%[8] 财务与估值 - 公司股价年初至今下跌12%，表现逊于能源板块同期水平；相比之下，埃克森美孚和雪佛龙股价分别下跌3%和6%[9] - 公司远期市盈率为4.10倍，远低于埃克森美孚和雪佛龙约15倍的估值水平，这反映了对政治风险和政府干预的担忧[13] 行业环境与风险 - 公司盈利与油价高度相关，而油价因经济衰退担忧等因素正趋于下行，布伦特原油价格接近每桶60美元的支撑位[15] - 若全球经济增长放缓成为现实，油价跌破该支撑位将损害公司营收，加之其高成本勘探计划和资本支出增加，将挤压利润率并削弱股息潜力[15]

The primary goal of the Cash Flow Kingdom Income Portfolio is to produce an overall yield in the 7% - 10% range. We accomplish this by combining several different income streams to form an attractive, steady portfolio payout. The portfolio's price can fluctuate, but the income stream remains consistent. Start your free two-week trial today!Petrobras (NYSE: PBR ) (NYSE: PBR.A ) is a leading South American energy company that trades at a very undemanding valuation and that offers a huge dividend yield. While ...

The latest trading session saw Petrobras (PBR) ending at $11.35, denoting a +0.53% adjustment from its last day's close. The stock trailed the S&P 500, which registered a daily gain of 0.63%. Meanwhile, the Dow experienced a rise of 0.21%, and the technology-dominated Nasdaq saw an increase of 1.52%.Coming into today, shares of the oil and gas company had lost 21.54% in the past month. In that same time, the Oils-Energy sector lost 11.18%, while the S&P 500 lost 0.7%.Market participants will be closely foll ...

分析师推荐与投资决策 - 分析师推荐的平均评级(ABR)为1.69 介于强力买入和买入之间 基于8家经纪公司的实际推荐计算得出 [2] - 8家推荐中有5家为强力买入 占比62.5% [2] - 研究表明 经纪公司推荐对股价上涨潜力的预测成功率较低 因其存在利益冲突导致过度乐观倾向 [5][6][10] ABR与Zacks Rank差异 - ABR仅基于经纪公司推荐 采用小数显示(如1.28) 而Zacks Rank基于盈利预测修正 采用整数分级(1-5) [9] - Zacks Rank通过盈利预测修正趋势与股价变动的强相关性 被证明是更有效的短期价格走势指标 [8][11] - ABR更新滞后 Zacks Rank能快速反映分析师对企业经营趋势变化的调整 [12] 巴西石油公司(PBR)具体分析 - 当前Zacks共识预期显示 公司本年盈利预测过去一个月下降6.2%至2.94美元 [13] - 由于盈利预测持续下调 公司获得Zacks Rank第4级(卖出)评级 [14] - 尽管ABR显示买入建议 但需结合Zacks Rank的卖出信号谨慎对待 [14]

The latest trading session saw Petrobras (PBR) ending at $11.42, denoting a -0.44% adjustment from its last day's close. This change lagged the S&P 500's 2.03% gain on the day. Elsewhere, the Dow saw an upswing of 1.23%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq appreciated by 2.74%. Prior to today's trading, shares of the oil and gas company had lost 19.96% over the past month. This has lagged the Oils-Energy sector's loss of 10.82% and the S&P 500's loss of 5.07% in that time. Investors will be eagerly watching for the ...

Petrobras (PBR) closed the most recent trading day at $11.49, moving -0.17% from the previous trading session. This change lagged the S&P 500's daily gain of 2.51%. Meanwhile, the Dow gained 2.66%, and the Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, added 2.71%.The the stock of oil and gas company has fallen by 17.61% in the past month, lagging the Oils-Energy sector's loss of 12.78% and the S&P 500's loss of 8.86%.Investors will be eagerly watching for the performance of Petrobras in its upcoming earnings disclosure. The ...

Petrobras S.A. (PBR) , the Brazilian state-owned energy giant, has stated that Borr Drilling’s jack-up rig, namely Arabia I, has arrived in Brazilian waters to begin decommissioning activities in the Sergipe Basin. The Arabia I jack-up rig secured a four-year contract from Petrobras in Brazil. The contract includes a four-year option to extend the jack-up rig’s stay with Petrobras. However, the option currently remains unpriced.The Arabia I jack-up rig was expected to begin its contract with PBR in the firs ...

文章核心观点 公司投资方法受伟大思想家影响 核心风格是提供独立研究的可行明确投资理念 能帮助成员跑赢标普500并避免大幅回撤 可尝试加入体验其方法 [1][2] 投资理念 - 公司投资方法受伟大思想家影响 雷·达里奥是其中之一 [1] - 公司核心风格是提供独立研究的可行明确投资理念 [1] 服务效果 - 公司帮助成员跑赢标普500 并在股市和债市极端波动时避免大幅回撤 [2] 推广信息 - 推荐关注Envision Early Retirement 每周至少提供1篇深度文章 [1] - 邀请用户尝试加入 体验公司已验证的方法 [2]

Out of the 172 oil blocks, 47 are at the Foz do Amazonas, where Petrobras, currently carrying a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold),won the exploration deal in 2023 and since then, has been awaiting environmental clearance to drill its first well. These oil blocks are expected to contain the same potential as those in Suriname and Guyana, where Exxon Mobil found billions of barrels of oil. The delay in environmental clearance certainly reduces the attractiveness of these blocks for the auction. You can see the complete li ...

文章核心观点 - 能源股近期表现不佳，受全球衰退担忧影响，石油需求预期承压，价格下跌 ；巴西国家石油公司（Petrobras）年初至今下跌超 12%，表现逊于埃克森美孚和壳牌 ；该公司虽面临挑战，但兼具潜力与风险，是一个复杂但有趣的投资选择 [1] 公司优势 长期生产增长 - 公司 2025 年路线图规划通过海上开发实现稳步扩张，包括高产的布齐奥斯油田 [5] - 阿尔米兰特浮式生产储卸油装置（FPSO）投产，日产量达 80 万桶，远超之前最高产油田的 15 万桶，公司进入运营规模新阶段，未来几年产量预测持续上升，若油价稳定或反弹将受益 [5] 估值与股息 - 公司远期市盈率仅 3.64 倍，远低于埃克森美孚的 13.14 倍和壳牌的 8 倍，为价值投资者提供有吸引力的估值缓冲 [6] - 股息收益率超 13.2%，远高于埃克森美孚的 4% 和壳牌的 4.8%，即使调整派息政策，股息仍有吸引力且有强劲现金流支撑，对收益型投资者有吸引力 [8] 公司风险 油价波动 - 公司与全球油价紧密相关，若油价因经济放缓或贸易紧张局势长期下跌，将严重影响其表现 [10] - 2024 年第四季度业绩显示其脆弱性，调整后息税折旧摊销前利润（EBITDA）同比下降近 47%，净利润受一次性成本和产量下降影响 [10] 政治与货币风险 - 政府控制既是优势也是劣势，政府决策可能更关注国家目标而非股东利益，频繁的领导层变动和政策方向转变增加不确定性 [11] - 公司受巴西雷亚尔影响，其不可预测性为寻求美元计价稳定性的国际投资者增加风险，导致公司估值持续偏低 [11] 结论 - 公司呈现高风险高回报特征，生产规模、低估值和高股息率有明显上行潜力，但政治干预、货币波动和全球宏观不确定性使情况复杂 [12] - 基于风险和机会，公司股票估值合理，长期投资者可考虑当前水平少量买入，目前建议评级为 Zacks Rank 3（持有） [12]