CPI Inflation Remains in CheckThursday on Wall Street began with encouraging economic data. In the morning, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) number met Wall Street expectations with a 2.9% year-over-year inflation rate. One of my favorite trading adages is “Words talk, data screams.” Following President Donald Trump’s ‘Liberation Day,’ most Wall Street Pundits anticipated elevated, tariff-induced inflation. While inflation is not all the way down to the Fed’s target of 2%, inflation remains tame. The fact of ...

货币政策调整 - 秘鲁央行将基准利率从4.5%下调至4.25% 达到2022年以来最低水平 [1] - 15位经济学家中8位准确预测此次降息 另外7位预期维持利率不变 [1] 通胀与经济表现 - 8月消费者价格同比上涨1.11% 接近央行目标区间下限 增速位列主要新兴市场最低水平之一 [3] - 6月经济活动同比增长4.5% 政府预计全年经济增长率达3.5% 领先拉美多数经济体 [4] 政策前景与约束 - 央行声明指出利率已接近中性水平 预计年底通胀将回归目标区间中值 [2] - 当前利率水平与美国联邦储备区间下限持平 可能限制近期进一步降息空间 [3] - 拉美央行通常避免将利率降至低于美国水平 以防止资本外流引发市场动荡 [3]

August's US inflation data is in line with expectations . Headline CPI accelerated to +0.4% MoM, the highest level since January, while core CPI remained steady at 3.1% YoY, in line with analyst expectations.Hi there, and welcome to my profile.I’m a finance professional with over a decade of experience across global markets, with a deep focus on macroeconomic analysis, portfolio management, and equity research. I currently serve as a Senior Analyst at a European asset management firm, where I lead multi-ass ...

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) on Thursday closed up +0.85%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) closed up +1.36%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) closed up +0.60%.  September E-mini S&P futures (ESU25) rose +0.81%, and September E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQU25) rose +0.60%. Stock indexes settled higher on Thursday, with the S&P 500, the Dow Jones Industrials, and the Nasdaq 100 all posting new record highs.  Stocks rallied after Thursday’s as-expected Aug CPI report and an unexpected surge in ...

US stocks traded mixed on Friday as Wall Street took stock of the US economy from a lofty, record-setting perch ahead of the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated decision on interest rates next week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell 0.4%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) slipped below the flat line. Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) climbed around 0.4% as Tesla (TSLA) stock was set for a seven month high. All three major indexes rallied to records on Thursday, with the Dow closing ab ...

US stocks were mixed on Friday as Wall Street took stock of the US economy from a lofty, record-setting perch ahead of the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated decision on interest rates next week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fell 0.4%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) slipped below the flat line. Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) climbed around 0.3% as Tesla (TSLA) stock was set for a seven-month high. All three major indexes rallied to records on Thursday, with the Dow closing abov ...

劳动力市场数据异常 - 当周初请失业金人数达263,000人 远超预期的212,000人 为自去年10月以来的最高水平[2] - 数据可能预示劳动力市场出现疲软信号 若持续而非异常 将改变美联储政策立场[4] - 历史数据显示去年曾进行两次50基点降息 但对劳动力市场改善效果有限[9][10] 通胀指标表现 - 整体通胀率年增2.9% 核心通胀率年增3.1% 显示通胀仍具粘性且高于预期[3] - 个人消费支出平减指数(PCE)为2.5%-2.6% 虽为美联储偏好指标但仍处高位[3] - 服务类通胀持续存在 包括 groceries、gasoline、electricity等日常支出成本未见下降[6][7] 政策困境与数据可靠性 - 美联储面临两难抉择：若劳动力市场确实疲弱则需要降息 但通胀压力仍存[4][11] - 就业数据准确性受质疑 3月数据修订幅度达900,000个岗位 存在重大偏差[12][13] - 数据收集方式(如调查)被指落后 应采用人工智能等更先进技术提升准确性[13] 资产表现与市场动态 - 黄金突破通胀调整后的历史新高 技术分析显示1980年买入至今仍有约600美元收益[14][15] - 大量资金闲置于国债市场 规模达"天文数字" 机构投资者远未达到配置目标[8] - 比特币与黄金可能形成竞争关系 黄金交易被评价为"非常非常好的交易"[15]

In this piece, we will look at the stocks Jim Cramer discussed today.In his latest appearance on CNBC’s Squawk on the Street, Jim Cramer discussed the latest inflation data. Inflation, along with the labor market, factors into the Federal Reserve’s decision to manipulate interest rates. The latest data showed that prices jumped at 2.9% annually, with the 0.4% monthly gain in August being the largest since January. Cramer commented on how some things “went the wrong way”: “There are some things, shelter went ...

Inflation will rear its head in earnest this year and "accelerate into 2026 and beyond,†RH CEO Gary Friedman said. ...

油价预测与市场动态 - 预计2026年初油价将徘徊在每桶51美元左右[1] - 美国能源信息署预测布伦特原油价格将从8月每桶68美元降至明年年初每桶50美元 此低迷态势将持续至2026年初[1] - 明年原油与天然气价差将创2005年以来最低水平[1] - 沙特主导的OPEC+增产是油价下跌的主要因素[5] - 截至2025年9月11日 布伦特原油价格略低于每桶67美元[7] 行业经营状况与裁员潮 - 康菲石油宣布裁员20%至25% 影响约2600-3250个岗位[3][4] - 行业盈利水平降至新冠疫情以来最低点 BP、雪佛龙、哈里伯顿和SLB均已实施裁员[2] - 康菲石油第二季度盈利19.7亿美元 低于2024年同期的23.3亿美元[2] - 公司CEO将业绩下滑归因于优先处理收购事项（包括Concho Resources、Marathon Oil和壳牌二叠纪盆地资产）而非成本控制[2][3] 行业挑战与影响因素 - 通胀压力和持续关税战争对行业造成打击[5] - 贸易战争导致油价波动 特朗普就职前原油价格约为每桶80美元[5] - 独立上市公司若油价跌至60美元低段或50美元高段 将被迫削减预算和钻井平台数量[6] - 钻井平台削减可能造成就业岗位流失 并对当地经济造成冲击[6] 企业战略调整 - 行业采取保守策略 有高管用驾驶比喻称"在红灯前松开油门"[6] - 尽管预计行业明年年底复苏 但当前低迷期仍需要应对措施[6]