I last wrote on Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR ) on June 6. That article was titled “Palantir: Not All AI Tools Are Created Equal.” That article focused on the developments As you can tell, our core style is to provide actionable and unambiguous ideas from our independent research. If your share this investment style, check out Envision Early Retirement. It provides at least 1x in-depth articles per week on such ideas.We have helped our members not only to beat S&P 500 but also avoid heavy drawdowns ...

Analyst's Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in PLTR over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking ...

核心观点 - Palantir被视为特朗普"大而美"税收法案和制造业回流政策的最大受益者之一 [1] - 公司股价在过去一年上涨逾400%，2025年迄今涨幅超100%，预期PE估值处于历史最高点位 [1] - 分析师普遍看好公司前景，目标价最高达200美元，Wedbush重申"增持"评级，目标价160美元 [1] - 公司受益于美国政府"战舰极速"计划，利用AI驱动Foundry平台改造美国海军 [3] - 公司拥有"特斯拉式信徒"投资者群体，推动股价连续刷新新高 [4] 公司基本面 - 第一季度赢得近140份价值超100万美元的合同，其中31份超1000万美元 [3] - 与美国军方长期合作是业绩扩张核心，Maven AI系统使用量翻倍，新增北约为客户 [7] - 最大客户为美国政府及全球情报机构，同时从全球大型公司获取收益 [10] - 2023年推出Palantir人工智能平台(AIP)，已被全球超100个组织使用，与300多家公司洽谈 [9] 业务发展 - 与埃森哲联邦服务合作开发大型AI解决方案 [3] - 加强与武器制造商Anduril Industries合作，与AI初创Anthropic建立新合作关系 [10] - 推出AI驱动的犯罪侦测工具，与房利美合作 [7] - 积极拓展商业用户和国际客户，这两块区域具巨大增长潜力 [7] 技术优势 - AIP平台与现有数据分析软件生态系统全面集成，支持多种AI技术驱动应用 [9] - 平台核心卖点为AI应用而非开发大语言模型，包含类似ChatGPT的AI助手 [9] - 技术方向聚焦生成式AI应用和"自主执行任务的AI智能体" [6] 行业趋势 - 全球科技股投资重心从算力硬件端转向软件端 [5] - 企业级AI应用软件需求旺盛，加速渗透至各行各业 [7] - AI智能体被视为2030年前AI应用大趋势，将演变为高度智能化生产力工具 [6]

政府与Palantir的合作关系 - 美国政府从Palantir采购大量产品和服务 [1]

Key Takeaways PLTR trades at over 225X forward earnings and more than 78X its forecasted revenues. High multiples demand not just strong growth but sustained overperformance to avoid compression. LMT and RTX offer lower volatility and steadier defense exposure at far more modest valuations.Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has emerged as one of the most talked-about names in the S&P 500, and not just for what it does, but for what investors are willing to pay for it. With a market capitalization of $358 billio ...

公司概况 - Palantir Technologies Inc 是一家信息技术公司 专注于为情报领域提供软件平台 属于应用软件行业 [1] 投资者背景 - 投资者接近退休年龄 希望通过长期和短期交易策略积累金融资产 包括做多和做空操作 以及利用反向ETF捕捉市场下跌机会 [1] - 投资者注重交易计划执行和绝对投资收益 并将撰写文章视为保持交易专注度的方式 [1] 分析师持仓披露 - 分析师通过股票、期权或其他衍生品持有Palantir Technologies Inc的多头头寸 [2] - 分析内容代表个人观点 未获得除Seeking Alpha平台外的任何报酬 [2] 平台免责声明 - 平台强调历史表现不预示未来结果 不提供具体投资建议 [3] - 平台分析师包含专业投资者和未持牌个人投资者 观点不代表Seeking Alpha官方立场 [3]

One of the best-performing stocks of the last 12 months is Palantir Technologies (PLTR -2.00%). It has gone on an incredible run for shareholders in that period with a 436% gain, adding to its whopping 2,300% return since the beginning of 2023. That is a more than 20x return in just two and a half years, making many shareholders rich in the process. The artificial intelligence (AI) company serves many large organizations like the Department of Defense, and it's seeing accelerating revenue growth and huge cu ...

Palantir Technologies TodayPLTRPalantir Technologies$148.88 -2.91 (-1.92%) 52-Week Range$21.23▼$155.68P/E Ratio647.56Price Target$91.37Add to WatchlistPalantir Technologies Inc. NASDAQ: PLTR continues to exceed expectations. As of July 21, the stock was up 102% in 2025. Perhaps more impressively, PLTR stock is up more than 68% after a pullback of approximately 40% between mid-February and early April. The next significant catalyst for Palantir may come from its earnings report, which is scheduled for Augus ...

Palantir’s (NASDAQ: PLTR) sustained bullish run may be under threat as short interest surges, potentially derailing its push toward a record high of $160.As of press time, PLTR stock was trading at $154, up 0.20%, having gained over 3% in the past week.PLTR one-week stock price chart. Source: FinboldDespite this upward momentum, data indicates a notable spike in Palantir’s short volume ratios, a key gauge of market sentiment. On July 17, the company recorded a short volume of 19.42 million out of 32.03 mill ...

Palantir Technologies估值分析 - Palantir Technologies目前是全球市值第24大的公司 但存在显著高估现象 市值与业务增长严重脱节 2024年股价上涨800%但一季度营收同比仅增长39% [1][3] - 估值指标显示极端溢价 市销率达113倍 远期市盈率达244倍 远超行业合理水平 [3] - 即使采用最乐观的五年增长假设(年营收增长40% 利润率30% 股本不变) 2030年预计营收168亿美元 利润50亿美元 对应远期市盈率仍高达67倍 仍显著高于Nvidia等高速增长公司的38倍远期市盈率 [6][7] Palantir Technologies增长挑战 - 公司需持续保持40%的年营收增速 但近期季度增速未达该水平 当前18%的利润率与30%目标差距显著 [5] - 股权稀释问题突出 2024年以来流通股数量增加7.3% 显示管理层持续通过员工股权激励稀释股东权益 [6] 潜在替代投资标的 - ASML Holding当前市值2920亿美元 略低于Palantir的3620亿美元 作为芯片制造关键设备EUV光刻机垄断厂商 受益于AI芯片需求爆发 管理层预计2026年将迎来强劲增长 [9][11] - IBM正转型AI和量子计算领域 当前市值2660亿美元 若在2030年前实现技术商业化突破 存在巨大上涨空间 [11] - Salesforce在CRM软件领域占据主导地位 正在整合AI技术提升盈利能力 当前估值低于标普500指数23.7倍的远期市盈率水平 [12] 行业估值比较 - 三家候选公司(ASML/IBM/Salesforce)的估值均远低于Palantir假设的2030年估值水平 显示Palantir当前估值不可持续 [14] - 芯片制造设备行业因AI需求激增迎来增长拐点 其中ASML凭借技术垄断地位具备独特竞争优势 [9][11]