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每周投资策略-20250915
中信证券· 2025-09-15 16:30
核心观点 - 预计美联储9月17日议息会议降息25基点 并在10月和12月分别再降息25基点 降息交易推动股市继续走高[3][9][15] - 日本首相石破茂辞职引发政策不确定性 但日本央行9月按兵不动后预计10月加息10基点 2026年初还将加息两次[23][24][29] - 印度尼西亚财政部长英卓华下台引发财政可持续性担忧 央行9月议息会议预计维持利率不变 四季度可能降息[42][44][49] 美国市场 - 美国8月非农就业数据大幅低于预期 政府部门和私人部门均走弱 7月三位小数失业率上升至4.248% 8月上升至4.324%[12][13] - 美股科技板块为首选 聚焦应用软件 模拟芯片 AI计算芯片 HDD 先进制程 互联网一线巨头及Fintech领域[16][18] - 推荐Zoom (ZM US) 目标价102美元 FY2026Q3业绩指引积极并上修全年指引 采用老带新策略推动交叉销售[19] - 推荐ServiceNow (NOW US) 目标价1156美元 订阅收入31.13亿美元同比增长21.5% Pro Plus AI SKU需求强劲交易数量环比增长50%[19] - 推荐Invesco纳斯达克100指数ETF (QQQ US) 追踪纳斯达克100指数表现[21] 日本市场 - 日本首相石破茂辞职 继任热门为高市早苗与小泉进次郎 财政扩张政策可能推升长期利率并拖累日元汇率[24][26] - 日本通胀连续39个月高于2% 食品价格上涨贡献超六成 7月实际工资回正带动消费增长支持加息[28][29] - 预计日元2025至2027年间逐步小幅升值 可能引发套息交易解除 海外资金回流及家庭现金资产重新配置[32] - 推荐京瓷 (6971 JP) 目标价2650日元 多条业务线业绩超预期 估值仍处于破净状态[33] - 推荐JX金属 (5016 JP) 钽粉市场占有率高达50% 是Nvidia GB200等AI服务器重要供应商[33] - 推荐iShares JPX-日经400指数ETF (JPXN US) 成分股筛选强调企业管理质量和财务稳定性[37] 印度尼西亚市场 - 财政部长英卓华下台引发财政可持续性担忧 新任财长普尔巴亚表示经济增长可能超过6%甚至达到8%目标[44][46] - 8月整体通胀率同比下降至2.31% 核心通胀率下降至2.17% PMI重回扩张区间为51.5[48][49] - 中国2019年成为印尼第一大外国直接投资来源国 份额占14% 累计外国直接投资达400亿美元[50][51] - 推荐Pakuwon (PWON IJ) 目标价510印尼盾 预测2025年利润增长15% 约4-5%租户为中国零售商[52] - 推荐Surya Semesta (SSIA IJ) 目标价3660印尼盾 比亚迪在西爪哇购买108公顷土地提升市场地位[52] - 推荐VanEck印度尼西亚指数ETF (IDX US) 复制MVIS®印尼指数表现 涵盖在印尼注册或收入资产来自印尼的公司[55] 全球资产表现 - MSCI ACWI全球指数周涨1.7% 年内涨15.5% 远期市盈率19.3倍[4] - 标普500指数周涨1.6% 年内涨11.9% 纳斯达克指数周涨2.0% 年内涨14.7%[4] - 日经225指数周涨4.1% 年内涨12.2% 东证指数周涨1.8% 年内涨13.5%[4] - 恒生指数周涨3.8% 年内涨31.5% 沪深300指数周涨1.4% 年内涨14.9%[4] - 美国10年期国债收益率当前3.87% 周涨1bp 年内回报5.6%[5] - COMEX期金周涨0.9% 年内涨38.5% LME期铜周涨1.6% 年内涨15.2%[7]
Zoom's Voice Strategy Evolves: Is Phone Now a Core Growth Driver?
ZACKS· 2025-09-13 01:26
Key Takeaways Zoom Phone is evolving into a core enterprise infrastructure layer, beyond simple voice replacement.AI tools like transcription, smart call summaries and real-time insights are increasing platform stickiness.Monthly active users of Zoom Phone's AI tools rose over 30% sequentially in the second quarter of fiscal 2026.Cloud-based telephony adoption is accelerating as enterprises move toward unified platforms that streamline voice, video and collaboration. Zoom Communications (ZM) is emerging as ...
TechCrunch Disrupt 2025: Full agenda reveal for the brand-new Going Public Stage
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-11 01:45
We recently unveiled the Going Public Stage at TechCrunch Disrupt 2025 — a new destination for founders navigating the complexities of company building, from early traction to IPO and beyond. Today, we’re excited to announce new agenda additions that bring even more insight and firepower to the stage, shown only at the 20th anniversary celebration of TechCrunch. Joining the speaker lineup are Eric Yuan, founder and CEO of Zoom Communications Inc., and Santi Subotovsky, general partner at Emergence. These ...
Zoom recognized in the 2025 Gartner® Magic Quadrant™ for Contact Center as a Service for the first time
Globenewswire· 2025-09-10 23:15
SAN JOSE, Calif., Sept. 10, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Zoom Communications, Inc. (NASDAQ: ZM) today announced it has been recognized in the 2025 Gartner® Magic Quadrant™ for Contact Center as a Service (CCaaS). This is Zoom’s first inclusion in the Magic Quadrant for CCaaS, just three years after launching Zoom Contact Center in 2022. Zoom believes this recognition highlights the strength of Zoom’s AI-first approach to customer experience, where AI is embedded in the platform from the ground up to support bot ...
OM Systems 50-200mm F2.8 M. Zuiko Digital ED IS PRO Lens - New Compact Pro Telephoto Zoom Revealed, Preorder and More Info at B&H
Globenewswire· 2025-09-10 14:00
产品核心规格 - 推出全球首款且唯一具备100-400mm等效焦距(35mm格式)且恒定f/2.8光圈的天气密封全能超长焦镜头[1] - 重量仅2.37磅(约1.08公斤),长度8.8英寸(约22.4厘米),采用内变焦和内对焦设计[1][6] - 配备ED和HR镜片组及ZERO II镀膜技术,支持2.6英尺(约0.79米)最近对焦距离[6] 光学性能与技术特点 - 五轴同步防抖系统(Sync IS)可实现最高7档补偿效果,支持50fps高速连拍与连续自动对焦[2][6] - 搭配MC-20增距镜时可实现800mm等效焦距与1:1放大倍率的超微距功能,原生镜头最大放大倍率为0.5倍[3] - 配备4个功能切换键与可编程L-Fn按钮,集成智能主体识别追踪对焦系统[2][4] 专业防护与适配性 - 通过IP53认证的防尘防滴溅密封设计,镜片表面采用氟涂层防护[4][6] - 全面兼容OM System MC-14 1.4x与MC-20 2.0x增距镜[3][6] 渠道与市场推广 - 由全球最大摄影摄像设备供应商B&H Photo Video独家首发,该公司拥有超过50年行业服务经验[5] - 通过B&H Explora技术博客、YouTube频道教育内容及纽约超级体验店进行产品展示与推广[6][7][8]
Zoom (NasdaqGS:ZM) Conference Transcript
2025-09-10 07:47
**公司:Zoom Video Communications (NasdaqGS: ZM)** [1] 核心观点与战略方向 * AI是公司未来发展的核心驱动力 AI改变了公司运营、服务客户和构建产品的方式 使公司创始人感到重回2011年创业初期的兴奋状态[5][6] * AI将彻底改变用户界面 从传统的功能菜单转向基于提示(prompt)的AI交互 年轻一代无需学习复杂界面 只需告诉AI需求即可完成工作[23][24][25] * 公司产品战略正从视频会议中心转向“行动系统”(system of actions) 涵盖会前准备、会中转录总结、会后行动项创建等端到端工作流体验[26] * 公司采用联邦式AI架构(federated AI architecture) 结合自有大语言模型与多个第三方模型 智能选择使用不同模型 据称其摘要质量优于只使用单一模型的竞争对手[40][41] 产品投资与创新 * 投资重点集中在三个领域:AI技术(首要任务)、基于AI扩展现有产品组合(如联络中心、虚拟座席)、以及打造全新的AI优先产品体验以颠覆现有市场[20][22] * 具体AI产品应用示例:Zoom Clips可创建30秒AI数字分身(avatar)自动生成视频 用于财报电话会议等场景 AI数字分身(digital twin)未来可代表用户参加内部会议并进行问答甚至决策[10][12][15][19] * 联络中心(Zoom Contact Center)是重要的增长业务 提供混合式人类与AI座席体验 公司拥有从传统联络中心到AI座席的全栈自研技术 确保体验一致性[31][32][43] * 在AI语音领域投入大量资源 优化延迟、使语音更自然、改善TTS解决方案并支持多语言 认为语音是继文本之后的下一个重点 视频将是第三步[36][38] 市场表现与竞争态势 * 联络中心业务表现强劲 在上个财报季的前十大交易中 有九单是从其他云供应商处赢得的 原因在于更好的产品体验、快速的创新和AI技术[43] * SMB(中小型企业市场)已成为公司的甜蜜点(sweet spot) SMB客户更看重总拥有成本和支持成本 而公司解决方案在这些方面更具优势[48] * 企业客户对AI等新技术的采纳相对保守和缓慢 需要与CISO(首席信息安全官)和法务团队密切合作以推动部署[48][49] * 提及一个案例研究:私人安全公司SecureOne部署了Zoom联络中心和语音座席 不仅用于售后时段 还帮助其销售团队进行潜在客户开发[44] 运营与管理 * 新的管理团队重点关注两件事:学习AI和加快创新速度(speed of innovation) 每周一的会议都以此为主题[50] * 公司在美国西雅图设有AI中心 并雇佣了大量工程师[20] 行业观察 * 消费者领域的AI应用通常比企业领域领先2-3年 但企业客户现在正非常迅速地拥抱AI技术 ChatGPT的普及使终端用户开始向企业IT部门施加压力要求使用类似工具[28][29] * 看待AI座席的趋势是走向混合模式(hybrid) 即人类座席与AI座席协同工作 总的座席数量预计仍会增长[31]
Is Zoom (ZM) an Under-The-Radar AI Stock?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-10 05:41
We recently published Top 10 Analyst Calls on Trending Stocks You Shouldn’t Miss. Zoom Communications Inc (NASDAQ:ZM) is one of the major analyst calls. Zoom Communications Inc (NASDAQ:ZM) apparently lost its attraction after the pandemic days ended, since free video calling software became ubiquitous. However, OptionsPlay‬’s Tony Zhang believed the stock was a buy amid the company’s AI tool. Talking to Schwab Network in May this year, the analyst said: “Recently they’ve really turned into an AI play, ac ...
Zoom Communications (ZM) is a Great Momentum Stock: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-09-10 01:01
Momentum investing is all about the idea of following a stock's recent trend, which can be in either direction. In the "long context," investors will essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." And for investors following this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving in that direction. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.Even ...
LG REDEFINES IN-VEHICLE EXPERIENCE WITH XBOX GAMING AND ZOOM MEETINGS PARTNERSHIPS
Prnewswire· 2025-09-09 17:00
Accessibility StatementSkip Navigation LG Pioneers Software-Defined Vehicle Era With webOS-Based Automotive Content Platform SEOUL, South Korea, Sept. 9, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- LG Electronics (LG), a leading innovator in mobility technology, is strengthening its position in the Software-Defined Vehicle (SDV) era with its webOS-based Automotive Content Platform (ACP). Through differentiated solutions and powerful partnerships, the company is transforming vehicles into dynamic software-driven experience hubs. C ...
Sigma Announces World's First 20-200mm 10x Zoom Lens for Full-Frame Mirrorless Cameras
Newsfile· 2025-09-09 16:00
Ronkonkoma, New York--(Newsfile Corp. - September 9, 2025) - Sigma Corporation of America, the US subsidiary of Sigma Corporation (CEO: Kazuto Yamaki. Headquarters: Asao-ku, Kawasaki-shi, Kanagawa, Japan), is pleased to introduce the Sigma 20-200mm F3.5-6.3 DG | Contemporary lens for full-frame mirrorless cameras, available in late September 2025. It is the world's first 10x zoom lens to begin with an ultra-wide 20mm focal length designed for full-frame mirrorless.The Sigma 20-200mm F3.5-6.3 DG | Contempor ...