My bullish view on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (NYSE: TSM ) aka TSMC has been playing out very nicely as the stock has posted great outperformance vs. the S&P 500 ( SP500 ):I aim to provide alpha-generating investment ideas. I am an independent investor managing my family's portfolio, primarily via a Self Managed Super Fund. You can expect my articles to deliver a clearly structured, evidence-based thesis. But first and foremost, I encourage readers to judge me on my performance.I hav ...

投资策略与方法论 - 采用全行业覆盖策略 只要存在超越标普500的超额收益潜力就会进行研究与投资 [1] - 典型持仓周期为几个季度至数年 注重中长期价值挖掘而非短期交易 [1] - 建立并维护包含历史财务数据、关键指标、管理层指引与市场预期差异的综合性分析模型 [1] 研究框架 - 重点追踪五大DCF估值驱动因素：收入增长、成本与利润率、现金流转化率、资本支出及投资、利率环境对资本成本的影响 [1] - 除公司披露文件外 持续监控行业动态、第三方研究报告及同行分析观点 [1] - 在CEO变更等重大管理变动时 会对核心高管的职业背景与历史业绩进行深度剖析 [1] 分析工具偏好 - 极少构建长期现金流折现模型 认为远期财务预测价值有限 [1] - 更侧重历史业绩验证与中短期关键驱动因素的动态评估 [1]

投资策略与方法 - 采用全行业覆盖策略 只要存在相对于标普500的超额收益潜力 就会进行跨行业分析和投资 [1] - 典型持仓周期从几个季度到数年不等 注重中长期价值挖掘 [1] - 建立并维护包含历史财务数据、关键指标、业绩指引与市场预期差异的综合性电子表格 进行系统化跟踪 [1] 研究框架 - 重点关注影响DCF估值的五大核心驱动因素：收入增长 成本与利润率 现金流转化率 资本支出及投资 利率环境 [1] - 通过行业新闻 研究报告及其他分析师观点构建多维研究体系 特别关注管理层变动时的深度背景调查 [1] - 较少使用长期财务预测模型 更侧重历史业绩验证和短期关键驱动因素分析 [1]

微软股票分析 - 对微软股票持中性/持有观点 该观点在前3个月是审慎的 但自2025财年第三季度(公司财年于6月结束)4月下旬发布财报后 股票表现有所变化 [1] - 分析师采用通用分析方法 探索和分析任何具有潜在超额收益机会的行业 典型持有期为几个季度到数年 [1] 分析师背景 - 分析师为独立投资者 管理家族投资组合 主要通过自主管理的超级基金进行投资 [1] - 分析文章提供结构清晰 基于证据的投资论点 但建议读者根据实际表现来评估分析质量 [1] - 分析师与Seeking Alpha账户VishValue Research有关联 [1]

Wow. Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: PLTR ) has proved its mettle once again by generating moderate positive returns amid a broader market sell-off ( SPY , SPX , IVV , VOO ) since my last update on the stock:Providing alpha-generating investment ideas. I am an independent investor managing my family's portfolio, primarily via a Self Managed Super Fund. You can expect my articles to deliver a clearly structured, evidence-based thesis. But first and foremost, I encourage readers to judge me on my performa ...

Providing alpha-generating investment ideas. I am an independent investor managing my family's portfolio, primarily via a Self Managed Super Fund. You can expect my articles to deliver a clearly structured, evidence-based thesis. But first and foremost, I encourage readers to judge me on my performance.I have a generalist approach as I explore, analyze and invest in any sector so long there is perceived alpha potential vs the S&P500. The typical holding period ranges between a few quarters to multiple years ...