Key Points There was no news out on the home flipper, but the volatility in the stock continued. Investors looked forward to the Federal Reserve rate decision. CEO Kaz Nejatian had his first day on the job. 10 stocks we like better than Opendoor Technologies › Shares of Opendoor Technologies (NASDAQ: OPEN) were moving higher today, even as there was no news out on the volatile online home flipper. Instead, investors seemed to be looking forward to Wednesday's rate decision from the Federal Reser ...

A tug-of-war has erupted in the $29 trillion Treasury market between investors who worry that cracks in the labor market could prompt the Federal Reserve to dramatically cut interest rates and those who fear that the central bank's fight against inflation isn't yet won. ...

LIVE Dow Set to Open Up as Market Focuses on the Fed Last Updated: 1 hour ago Investors Bet on Rate Cuts as Fed Meeting Looms By George Glover Investors are convinced the Federal Reserve is going to cut interest rates when it announces its next policy decision on Wednesday. The only uncertainty is about the size of the cut. Traders are pricing in a 94% chance of a quarter-point reduction and a 6% chance of a half-point cut, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The market is betting that the Fed will continue ...

市场波动预期 - 期权市场定价显示非农就业报告发布日预期标普500指数波动率为0.78% 美联储利率决议日预期波动率为0.72% [1][4] - 花旗集团分析师指出需非农就业人数减少5万或失业率升至4.5%才可能显著推升波动率 [4] 美联储政策会议 - 市场已完全定价周三会议将降息25个基点 投资者重点关注鲍威尔新闻发布会鸽派或鹰派表态 [3] - 就业数据恶化可能促使美联储加快降息步伐 但短期市场提振可能伴随中期抛售风险 [5][6] 三重魔力日期权到期 - 本周五涉及股票 ETF和指数期权到期规模达5万亿美元 部分观点认为这将清除做市商头寸 [2] - 历史数据显示标普500指数在到期周日内波动率仅略高于后续周 挑战"自由波动"理论有效性 [7][8]

劳动力市场数据 - 8月消费者价格环比上涨0.4% 较7月0.2%的涨幅有所加速[1] - 周度失业救济金申领人数升至26.3万人 创近四年新高 较前值修正后的23.6万人增加2.7万人[1] - 就业数据修订显示2024年4月至2025年3月期间美国就业人数比最初报告减少91.1万人[5] 美联储政策预期 - 市场预期美联储将在9月政策会议上降息25个基点[3] - 投资者定价今年三次降息的概率达76% 因劳动力市场出现裂痕[4] - 经济学家认为降息将源于就业市场恶化而非通胀好转[3] 通胀形势评估 - 通胀仍处于高位且朝向错误方向发展[3] - 尽管存在粘性通胀压力 但就业市场放缓动态使美联储决策复杂化[2] - 经济学家指出当前数据不支持年底前必然实现三次降息的预期[4] 经济前景判断 - 就业市场放缓尚未导致经济硬着陆[5] - 当前经济环境被描述为美联储面临的最糟糕组合：就业恶化与通胀粘性并存[3] - 经济学家认为虽然形势可能恶化 但尚未达到崩溃临界点[5]

Getting a mortgage is rarely a simple thing. - Zak Bennett/Bloomberg News Anxious home buyers are sometimes advised to watch out for the Federal Reserve’s next move. In reality it is the bond market that bears watching closest, and not just plain old Treasurys. Long-term bond yields have been drifting lower because of a host of factors, including expectations that the Fed will soon start cutting interest rates but also rising risks of a recession. Most Read from The Wall Street Journal The correspondin ...

In this article, we discuss the 7 Best Cement Stocks to Buy According to Analysts.Cement is a key material in the construction industry and an essential indicator of economic growth. Its demand is always high whenever there are heightened efforts to expand infrastructure. Amid the resilience of the US economy, the US construction materials sector has been on a roll. The sector is already up by more than 23% for the year, outperforming the S&P 500, which is up by about 12%.Likewise, analysts at JPMorgan expe ...

Elsewhere, several economic reports in China, inflation data from Japan to the UK to Israel, Swiss export figures and a credit ratings review of Italy may be among the highlights.Central banks in other major economies are expected to maintain a watchful stance but not change rates. That’s the outcome forecast by economists for Indonesia, Brazil and South Africa.The BOE will probably keep rates unchanged after a cut in August that featured a rare three-way split among officials. The BOJ, meanwhile, remains o ...

Key Points DOGE moved higher as traders anticipate likely Federal Reserve rate cuts and cheer two high-profile crypto IPOs. DOGE is still highly speculative and prone to sharp, unpredictable swings. 10 stocks we like better than Dogecoin › Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) soared on Friday. The coin saw its value jump 7.8% in the last 24 hours as of 4:35 p.m. The move comes as the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) was little changed and the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) gained 0.4%. Dogecoin and much of the ...

美联储降息政策 - 美联储几乎确定将在未来一周降息 启动宽松周期 [1] - 主要受益方为美国政府 [1]