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Copper's Risk Trifecta Leaves A Surprising Winner - Barrick Mining (NYSE:B), Global X Copper Miners ETF (ARCA:COPX)
Benzinga· 2025-10-10 18:13
铜价表现与驱动因素 - 铜价突破每吨11,000美元,为2024年5月以来首次,年初至今上涨约21% [1] - 本轮上涨由监管压力、政治不稳定和狭窄的供应基础共同驱动,而非单纯的长期需求 [1] - 与黄金因去美元化上涨不同,铜价上涨根植于结构性的供需失衡 [2] 供应端约束:ESG与监管 - 约640万吨铜产能(约占全球产量的四分之一)因ESG障碍而停滞或暂停 [3] - 供应瓶颈主要源于政治和社会问题,而非地质问题,可通过更强治理、社区参与和可持续实践解决 [3][4] - 秘鲁的La Granja项目、美国的Resolution Copper项目和阿根廷的El Pachón项目是33个受阻项目中的典型案例 [4][5] 供应端约束:运营与政治风险 - 主要生产商遭遇运营挫折,包括智利Codelco、自由港麦克莫兰的Grasberg矿和泰克资源的Quebrada Blanca项目,显示供应链脆弱性 [7] - 巴拿马的Cobre Panamá矿(曾占该国GDP的5%)因最高法院废除其运营合同而关闭,导致该国经济损失高达17亿美元 [6] - 阿根廷中期选举使矿业投资暂停,影响了McEwen Copper的Los Azules项目,该项目拥有102亿磅储量,内部收益率为19.8% [8][9] 潜在供应增长:赞比亚 - 赞比亚有望成为意外赢家,今年产量预计达到创纪录的100万吨,目标是到2030年实现年产量300万吨 [10] - 来自巴里克黄金、第一量子矿物和盛新矿业集团等公司的新投资额约100亿美元,投资规模在赞比亚史无前例 [10][11] 市场影响 - Global X铜矿商ETF (COPX) 年初至今上涨67.62% [11]
Barrick to Report Third Quarter 2025 Results on November 10
Globenewswire· 2025-10-09 19:00
TORONTO, Oct. 09, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Barrick Mining Corporation (NYSE:B)(TSX:ABX) will release its third quarter 2025 results before markets open on Monday, November 10, 2025 at 6:00 AM ET. The management team will host a webcast to discuss the results at 11:00 AM ET followed by a question-and-answer session with analysts. Q3 Results release November 10, 06:00 ET Live presentation and webcast November 10, 11:00 ETRegister to attend the webcast The presentation materials will be available on Barrick’s ...
Barrick Mining Rockets 114% YTD: Here's How to Play the Stock
ZACKS· 2025-10-08 22:21
股价表现与驱动因素 - 巴里克矿业公司股价年内飙升114.4% [1] - 金价创纪录上涨是主要驱动因素 年内金价上涨约52% [1][16] - 股价表现优于标普500指数的15.6%涨幅 但逊于Zacks黄金矿业行业124.4%的平均涨幅 [2] - 同业公司Newmont、Kinross和Agnico Eagle同期分别上涨133.7%、172.5%和112.7% [2] - 公司股价自2025年4月9日出现黄金交叉后 50日移动均线持续高于200日移动均线 显示长期看涨趋势 [5] 关键增长项目进展 - 主要黄金和铜增长项目按计划推进 包括Goldrush、Pueblo Viejo扩建、Fourmile、Lumwana超级矿坑和Reko Diq [10] - Goldrush矿场正逐步提升至2028年达年产40万盎司的目标 [11] - Reko Diq铜金项目二期计划年产46万吨铜和52万盎司黄金 首批生产预计在2028年底前 [11] - Lumwana矿的20亿美元超级矿坑扩建项目稳步推进 旨在将其转变为一级铜矿 [12] 财务状况与股东回报 - 公司流动性强劲 2025年第二季度末现金及等价物约为48亿美元 [13] - 第二季度运营现金流约13亿美元 同比增长15% 自由现金流从上年同期的3.4亿美元增至约3.95亿美元 [13] - 2024年通过股息和回购向股东回报12亿美元 [14] - 2025年2月董事会授权新的10亿美元股票回购计划 上半年已回购4.11亿美元股票 [14] - 公司股息收益率为1.8% 派息率为25% 五年年化股息增长率约为4% [17] 成本与生产挑战 - 第二季度每盎司黄金现金成本和全部维持成本同比分别上涨约17%和12% [18] - 2025年全年预计每盎司现金成本为1050-1130美元 全部维持成本为1460-1560美元 中值显示同比增长 [19] - 2025年 attributable黄金产量预计为315-350万盎司 低于2024年的391万盎司 部分原因是Loulo-Gounkoto矿暂时停产 [20] 盈利预测与估值 - 过去60天内巴里克盈利预测被上调 2025年和2026年Zacks共识预期分别暗示同比增长65.9%和17.8% [21] - 公司股票远期市盈率为14.35倍 较行业平均16.76折价约14.4% [23] - 公司估值低于同业Newmont、Agnico Eagle和Kinross Gold [23]
Barrick: A Rocky Road Ahead (NYSE:B)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-07 22:15
公司概况 - 巴里克矿业公司是一家世界级的金矿和铜矿开采公司 在全球拥有广泛业务 [1] - 公司资产组合包括6个一级金矿和3个铜矿 [1] 分析师背景 - 分析师拥有化学工程博士学位和工商管理硕士学位 具备量化背景 [1] - 分析师的投资重点包括具有强劲基本面和增长潜力的小型公司 经历暂时挫折的大型公司 以及拥有稳定股息和增长潜力的公司 [1]
Barrick: A Rocky Road Ahead
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-07 22:15
I believe in fundamental analysis and disciplined market research. I have strong quant background with a Ph.D. (Chemical Engineering, University of California, Santa Barbara) in model predictive control and an MBA (Jones School of Business, Rice University). My primary focus is to identify 1) small cap companies with strong fundamentals and growth potential, 2) large cap companies going through temporary set-backs, and 3) stable companies with solid dividend yields and growth potential.Analyst’s Disclosure: ...
Barrick Mining's Cash Strength: Can Shareholder Rewards Keep Rising?
ZACKS· 2025-10-07 20:35
Key Takeaways Barrick generated $4.5B in 2024 operating cash flow, returning $1.2B via dividends and repurchases.The board approved a $1B share repurchase plan, with $411M completed in the first half of 2025.B shares are up 119.6% YTD and trade at a 13.4% discount to the industry's forward earnings multiple.Barrick Mining Corporation (B) is capitalizing on its strong cash generation and healthy balance sheet to deliver value to its shareholders, underscoring its identity as a capital return-driven gold prod ...
Barrick Mining inks $305M deal to sell Tongon mine in Côte d'lvoire
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-10-07 00:01
About this content About Sean Mason Sean Mason is a Senior Journalist at Proactive, having researched and written about Canadian and US equities for 20 years. Sean graduated from the University of Toronto with a BA in history and economics and has also passed the Canadian Securities Course. He previously worked at Investors Digest of Canada, Stockhouse, and SmallCapPower.com. Read more About the publisher Proactive financial news and online broadcast teams provide fast, accessible, informative and action ...
Barrick sells Tongon mine interests to Atlantic Group for up to $305M
MINING.COM· 2025-10-06 23:34
Barrick Mining (TSX: ABX; NYSE: B) said on Monday it has agreed to sell its interests in the Tongon gold mine and certain exploration properties in Côte d’Ivoire to the Atlantic Group for up to $305 million.The transaction includes a cash payment of $192 million, which covers a $23 million shareholder loan repayment due within six months of closing. Barrick said the proceeds will be used to further strengthen its balance sheet and support its commitment to shareholder returns.The deal is expected to close i ...
美股异动 | 黄金股集体走高 现货黄金逼近4000美元关口
智通财经网· 2025-10-06 23:13
智通财经APP获悉,周一,现货黄金一举突破3950美元,离4000美元关口仅一步之遥。黄金股跟随走 高,截至发稿,纽蒙特矿业(NEM.US)涨超2%,哈曼尼黄金(HMY.US)涨超3%,Barrick Mining(B.US)涨 超1.7%,金田(GFI.US)涨0.89%。 ...
Barrick to sell Tongon mine in up to $305 million deal
Reuters· 2025-10-06 21:37
交易概述 - 巴里克矿业公司宣布将出售其在Tongon金矿的权益以及科特迪瓦的某些资产给Atlantic Group [1] - 交易总金额最高可达3.05亿美元 [1] 交易目的 - 此次资产出售是巴里克矿业公司为加强其财务状况所采取的行动 [1]