He also leads the investing group IPO Edge , which offers actionable information on growth stocks through first-look IPO filings, previews on upcoming IPOs, an IPO calendar for tracking what’s on the horizon, a database of U.S. IPOs, and a guide to IPO investing to walk you through the entire IPO lifecycle - from filing to listing to quiet period and lockup expiration dates.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initi ...

财报预期 - 纽约梅隆银行(BK)计划于2025年7月15日盘前公布第二季度财报 预计季度营收和盈利将实现同比增长 [1] - 上季度盈利超预期 主要得益于手续费收入和净利息收入(NII)增长 以及拨备减少 托管/管理资产规模因资金流入增加而扩大 但费用上升和资产管理规模下降构成拖累 [2] - 过去四个季度盈利均超预期 平均超出幅度达7.4% [3] 财务指标预测 - 第二季度每股收益共识预期为1.73美元 较去年同期增长14.6% 营收共识预期为48.5亿美元 同比增长5.6% [3] - 投资服务费(占营收超50%)共识预期24.9亿美元 同比增长5.5% 融资相关费共识预期5500万美元 增长3.8% [4] - 分销和服务费共识预期3808万美元 同比下降7.1% [5] - 外汇收入共识预期1.85亿美元 因全球贸易紧张局势导致交易量和波动性增加 [6] - 总费用和其他收入共识预期37.1亿美元 同比增长4% [7] 净利息收入与成本 - 美联储维持利率在4.25-4.5%区间 贷款需求稳健推动贷款余额增长 预计NII将达11.4亿美元 同比增长10.9% [8][9] - 非利息支出预计32.3亿美元 同比上升5.3% 主要受重组费用、收购、通胀压力和技术升级影响 [9][11] 同业比较 - 北方信托(NTRS)第二季度每股收益共识预期2.04美元 盈利超预期概率较高(EPS +1.56%) [14] - Prosperity Bancshares(PB)每股收益共识预期1.40美元 盈利超预期概率适中(EPS +1.33%) [15]

The technology sector has been driving the stock market rally once again, pushing the Nasdaq Composite Index to an all-time high. The latest catalyst is NVIDIA (NVDIA), which soared to become the first publicly traded company valued at $4 trillion. This reflects the massive importance of the AI chipmaker and its presence in the technology sector.A stronger-than-expected U.S. labor data highlights the economy’s resilience. Easing U.S.-China trade tensions further supported gains, setting the stage for potent ...

核心观点 - 雅培(ABT)预计在2025年第二季度财报中实现营收和盈利同比增长，市场关注实际业绩与预期的对比对股价的影响[1][2] - 公司盈利超预期可能推动股价上涨，反之则可能导致下跌[2] - 雅培的盈利预测显示每股收益(EPS)为1.25美元，同比增长9.7%，营收预计为110.7亿美元，同比增长6.7%[3] 盈利预测与修正 - 过去30天内，市场对雅培的季度EPS共识预期下调了0.44%，反映分析师对初始预测的重新评估[4] - 雅培的"最准确预测"(Most Accurate Estimate)高于市场共识预期，显示分析师近期对其盈利前景更为乐观，盈利意外预测(Earnings ESP)为+0.96%[12] - 公司当前Zacks评级为2级(Buy)，结合正面的Earnings ESP，表明其很可能超预期[12] 历史表现 - 上一季度雅培实际EPS为1.09美元，超出预期1.07美元，实现+1.87%的意外增长[13] - 过去四个季度中，公司三次超出EPS市场预期[14] 盈利预测模型 - Zacks Earnings ESP模型通过比较"最准确预测"与共识预期，预测实际盈利偏离程度[8] - 正面的Earnings ESP与Zacks评级(1-3级)结合时，预测准确率近70%[10] - 该模型对正面ESP的预测能力显著，但对负面ESP的预测可靠性较低[9][11] 市场影响 - 盈利超预期或不及预期并非股价变动的唯一因素，其他未预见因素也可能影响股价[15] - 选择可能超预期的股票可提高投资成功概率，建议关注Earnings ESP和Zacks评级[16] - 雅培目前具备盈利超预期的潜力，但投资者需综合考虑其他因素[17]

The market expects Texas Capital (TCBI) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on July 17, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better ...

The market expects Elevance Health (ELV) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released ...

The market expects U.S. Bancorp (USB) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released o ...

The market expects Bank OZK (OZK) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on July 17, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than ex ...

The market expects Webster Financial (WBS) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on July 17, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are bett ...

The market expects BancFirst (BANF) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report. On the other hand, if they miss, the ...