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Investors haven't been this bullish on stocks since February
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-17 01:14
Wall Street fund managers are piling back into equities, even as the economic backdrop turns shakier. Bank of America's latest Global Fund Manager Survey, released Tuesday, showed global equity allocations for September rose to a seven-month high while average cash balances held steady at just 3.9% for the third straight month — a level that often signals caution as investors run short on dry powder. Still, BofA strategist Michael Hartnett noted sentiment hasn't tipped into full-blown euphoria. That woul ...
September Fed meeting kicks off in Washington, Trump files $15B lawsuit against the New York Times.
Youtube· 2025-09-16 22:56
Welcome to Yahoo Finance's flagship show, The Morning Brief. I'm Julie Hyman. Let's get to the three things you need to know today. First up, markets looking to extend a record run. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 closing at new all-time highs again as investors wait on a widely expected rate cut from the Federal Reserve. US stock futures pointing to a higher open, more gains. This after the latest reading on retail sales grew more than expected in August. Sales rising 610 of a percent last month, likely driven by b ...
US stock market futures surge today: S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures climb toward record highs, Dow edges up as Tesla surges, Alphabet jumps, Oracle and Nvidia gain
The Economic Times· 2025-09-16 18:15
Market enthusiasm is further fueled by positive developments in US-China trade talks, alongside notable moves in high-profile individual stocks.Futures for the S&P 500 rose about 0.3% Tuesday, trading near 6636 points, while Nasdaq futures gained roughly 0.34%, hovering around 24,376. These reflect a continued upward trajectory, with the main US stock index up nearly 18% over the past year and nearly 3% in the past month.Energy and materials sectors led the charge in futures today, posting gains of over 1% ...
Former Fed Governor Frederic Mishkin: Fed's confronted with a classic stagflation phenomenon
Youtube· 2025-09-16 04:01
Now, let's bring in former Federal Reserve Board Governor, Columbia University economics professor Frederick Michigan. He is also a CNBC contributor. Uh, Professor Michigan, you heard Steve's kind of state of play for the Fed.What exactly in your mind is the most important factor that the Fed is debating or deliberating about right now as it looks towards what is a presumptive 25 basis point rate cut. So what's happening now is something that is always very uncomfortable for a central bank which is where yo ...
Ongoing inflation is more important than a Fed rate cut, says Charles Schwab's Kathy Jones
Youtube· 2025-09-16 03:13
Treasury yields dipping again slightly ahead of that. Let's bring in Kathy Jones of Schwab. Kathy, it's good to have you on the program. Um, you know, it's one thing for the Federal Reserve to say something. It's another thing for the bond market to do something and the Fed can do what it says.In Europe, they've been cutting rates and borrowing costs have gone up, not down. What do you expect to happen on Wednesday and going forward. Yeah, Brian, I I think the key is not so much the Fed cutting because that ...
主要货币观点_对美元耐心看空-Key Currency Views_ Patiently bearish on the dollar
2025-09-15 21:17
Global Markets Strategy 12 September 2025 J P M O R G A N Key Currency Views Patiently bearish on the dollar Figure 1: Different factors are driving G10 FX-external/ fiscal balances, equity and commodities momentum-while EM remains dominated by carry for now Source: J.P. Morgan See page 48 for analyst certification and important disclosures. J.P. Morgan does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of in ...
Trump’s Market Mayhem: A Maestro of Muddle and Money Moves
Stock Market News· 2025-09-14 14:01
特朗普关税政策影响 - 特朗普提议对中国商品加征50%至100%关税 并呼吁北约停止购买俄罗斯石油[2] - 中国以"不参与战争"回应 并对美国商品实施84%报复性关税[2] - 美国平均有效关税率从2025年1月的2.5%升至4月的27% 9月仍维持在17.4%的百年高位[11] 汽车行业影响 - 通用汽车2025年第二季度承担11亿美元关税相关费用 年度成本预计达40-50亿美元[4] - 汽车研究中心研究显示25%汽车关税可能使美国车企2025年损失1080亿美元[4] - 福特、通用和Stellantis三家车企合计面临420亿美元成本增加[4] - 汽车价格预计在2025年底上涨4%-8%[4] 消费者与企业成本 - 耶鲁预算项目估算关税将使家庭年均支出增加2800美元[5] - 新车价格将额外增加4000-5000美元[5] - 诺贝尔奖得主克鲁格曼指出关税混乱对商业造成严重破坏 许多关税实际针对美国制造业投入品[5] 市场反应 - 2025年9月13日标普500微跌3.18点至6584.29点 跌幅不足0.1%[6] - 道琼斯工业指数下跌273.78点至45834.22点 跌幅0.6%[6][7] - 纳斯达克综合指数上涨98.03点至22141.10点 涨幅0.4%[7] - 家具零售商RH股价下跌4.6% 归因于关税不确定性和住房市场疲软[8] 科技板块表现 - 微软上涨2% 特斯拉上涨7% 苹果上涨1.5%[8] - 亚马逊下跌1%[8] - 标普500远期市盈率达22.7倍 高估值令投资者对关税威胁企业利润率感到不安[9] Truth Social市场表现 - DJT股票2025年9月13日收盘报16.99美元 微涨0.41%[10] - 当日交易区间为16.69-17.05美元[10] - 2025年9月预测股价可能跌至13.80美元[10] - 平台2024年报告亏损4900万美元[10]
Wall Street Roundup: Red Flag, Green Flag
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-13 02:30
Tarzhanova/iStock via Getty Images Listen below or on the go via Apple Podcasts and Spotify Oracle jumps to a new high on earnings, up 85% YTD (0:30). Adobe down - is monetization keeping pace? (1:35) Broadcom, Nebius surge on customer acquisitions (3:00). LULU drops post-earnings; retail and tariffs (3:55). Jobs data weaker than thought (8:50). IPO market waking up (11:00). Momentous Fed meeting (14:55). Transcript Rena Sherbill: Welcome to another week of Wall Street Roundup, by popular request now ...
Consumer sentiment comes in at 55.4 vs. 58.1 estimated
Youtube· 2025-09-12 23:36
消费者信心指数 - 密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值55.4% 远低于预期的更高水平且较前值58.2%显著下降 创2023年5月以来最低水平[2] - 现状指数61.2 低于预期且较前值下降 同为2023年5月以来最低[2] - 预期指数51.8% 低于前值55.9% 同样创2023年5月以来新低[2] 通胀预期 - 短期通胀预期维持在4.8% 为2023年6月以来最高水平[3] - 5-10年长期通胀预期升至3.9% 较预期高出约0.5个百分点 较前值上升0.4个百分点[3] - 长期通胀预期从2024年3月的低点2.8%持续攀升 年初为3.2% 6月达到4%[4] 债券市场反应 - 长期债券收益率未显著上升 本周基本持平 当前收益率4.06%[4][5] - 收益率日内上涨4个基点 但周度仅下跌2个基点 始终维持在4%关键水平上方[5] - 技术图表显示在4%关口形成双底形态 市场密切关注收盘表现[5]
Ferguson: Stagflation is a clear and present danger for the Fed
Youtube· 2025-09-12 19:49
Roger, we saw CPI. It came in in line, though it was the biggest month-over-month increase since January. But then we also got jobless claims, much higher than expected.Did that pretty much cement that Fed rate cut next week, or do you still think there are any questions at all. >> No, I think the rate cut next week is pretty much cemented. I think the question is how's the Fed going to communicate that it's staring at the most complex situation known as stagflation risk to both sides of the so-called dual ...