Rotation Trade
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KG: Monitoring Market "Fade," Next Week's Catalysts & Metal Breakouts
Youtube· 2025-12-13 00:05
We had a 14 handle on the VIX uh which is relatively cheap usually especially this year once we had you know 14 VIX uh we don't usually stay there for too long maybe a day maybe two days and then we start seeing it rer rate higher so volatility is actually relatively cheap technology continues to get hit we have the broadcom earnings you also have some other uh you know technology stocks like Oracle selling off here today and once again that rotation trade a little bit weaker uh maybe volume kicking up here ...
EARNINGS ALERT: MU
Youtube· 2025-09-24 04:52
市场整体表现 - 标普500指数在触及历史新高后回落,收盘下跌0.6%至6,656点 [1][2][16] - 纳斯达克指数下跌0.7%,道琼斯指数下跌2.1%,罗素2000指数同样下跌 [16][17] - 市场出现防御性轮动,60%的标普500成分股收涨,公用事业和能源板块表现突出 [4][18] 行业板块动态 - 能源板块大幅上涨1.7%,原油价格突破每桶61美元关口 [4][11][12] - 消费必需品板块在经历抛售后表现良好,而非必需消费品和科技板块分别下跌1.5%和超过1% [4][5][18] - 能源公司Trans Ocean和Hallebertton股价分别上涨约8%和超过9% [13][14] 美光科技财报业绩 - 第四财季每股收益为3.3美元,超过市场预期的2.84美元,营收达113.2亿美元,高于预期的111.5亿美元 [19][20] - 毛利率为45.7%,超过预期的44.3%,运营利润率达32.3%,去年同期为23.3% [20][24][25] - 公司对第一财季营收指引为122亿至128亿美元,远高于市场预期的不到120亿美元,每股收益指引为3.60至3.90美元 [20][21] 美光科技业务展望 - 公司在高带宽内存和DRAM领域拥有定价权,客户库存水平趋于稳定,重新开始下单 [27][31] - 移动业务毛利率从去年同期的32%提升至36%,所有业务部门均实现增长 [28] - 管理层表示在数据中心业务方面达到历史新高,并对2026财年保持强劲增长势头充满信心 [34][35] 市场技术因素 - 标普500指数在6,650点附近获得支撑,阻力位在6,665点附近 [2][3][4] - 波动率指数接近月度高点,但期限结构仍处于正常状态,未出现倒挂 [7][9] - 市场回调被视为正常获利了结和机构头寸调整,而非全面抛售 [8][10]