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Weekly: New301 Tariffs, Petchem Sentiment Update, Fertilizer Dynamics: None-20260819
野村证券· 2026-08-19 16:21
Accessible version Chemicals Weekly: New 301 Tariffs, Petchem Sentiment Update, Fertilizer Dynamics Industry Overview New 301 Tariffs Reduce Chemical Exemptions The new Section 301 tariff framework expands the number of plastics and chemicals subject to U.S. import duties by offering fewer broad exemptions than prior tariff regimes. As a result, most plastics and chemical products are now subject to the new 10% and 12.5% tariffs unless they qualify for a specific exclusion category. The administration state ...
LatAm Agribusiness Grains Atlas (Aug/26) - US crop conditions deteriorate, but supply outlook remains robust: None-20260819
瑞银· 2026-08-19 11:55
ab 17 August 2026 Global Research LatAm Agribusiness Grains Atlas (Aug/26) - US crop conditions deteriorate, but supply outlook remains robust We analyse data from Conab, IMEA and the USDA. See highlights on production, demand and prices below. Soybean - Higher forecast US production despite deteriorating field conditions Corn - Tighter global balance supporting prices Equities Americas Energy Matheus Enfeldt Analyst matheus.enfeldt@ubs.com +55-11-2767 6975 Alberto Valerio Analyst alberto.valerio@ubs.com +5 ...
CarGurus on Car Affordability Challenges, Supply Tightness & Tariffs
Youtube· 2026-08-19 08:00
二手车市场供需与价格 - 二手车库存正在恢复,经销商平均库存水平升至多年未见的高位,但需求同步上升,导致价格未如预期下降[2] - 二手车需求全年保持积极,消费者因新车价格高企而转向更实惠的二手车市场,库存增加未能转化为价格下跌[3] - 售价低于2万美元的二手车基本绝迹,低于3万美元的车型占比接近总挂牌量的10%,消费者寻找低价车难度加大[6] 新车市场定价与销售 - 2025年7月美国新车平均标价回升至超过51,000美元,同比上涨超过4%[6] - 售价超过7万美元的新车供应量增加,可能显示高端市场略有放缓[9] - 2026年新车销量仅小幅下降,消费者对新车兴趣依然存在[8] - 租赁市场开始小幅回暖,有望帮助消费者降低月供[10] 芯片短缺影响与后续 - 芯片短缺时期车企优先生产高利润车型,市场曾期待短缺结束后出现更多平价车,但未实现[5] - 芯片短缺影响接近尾声,预计将有更多3至4年车龄的二手车进入市场,可能为认证二手车提供新选择[10] 混合动力与电动车需求 - 混合动力车需求强劲,增长态势类似几年前市场对电动车的预期[11] - 混合动力车均价接近内燃机车,消费者愿意支付小幅溢价以获得更高燃油效率[13] - 电动车整体价格仍偏高,新车领域销量同比下降[14] - 混合动力车市场供应紧张,部分品牌如丰田的库存天数极低,仅略高于2周[14][15] - 多家车企正从电动车主导转向增加混合动力车生产,预计混合动力供应将持续增长[16] 未来市场趋势 - 2027年款车型开始抵达经销商,需关注是否出现价格上涨[18] - 2025年关税是市场关键词,车企此前多自行消化关税成本,未来可能更广泛地将成本转嫁给消费者[18][19]