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This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Powerhouse Is Up 274% in 12 Months. But Is It a Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-06 22:20
文章核心观点 - 尽管Palantir股价从高位下跌超30%,但过去一年仍上涨274%,公司是AI领域强者且财务状况良好,但当前估值过高,投资者应避免买入 [1][6][10] 公司情况 业务实力 - 公司是改变游戏规则的AI股票,基于Gotham、Foundry和AIP技术平台构建定制软件应用,利用AI、数据分析和机器学习提供实时可行见解,帮助客户完成多种任务,潜在客户众多 [4] - 公司起源于政府业务,超半数收入来自政府,自2023年年中推出AIP平台后商业领域收入持续加速,2024年底美国商业客户仅382家,市场渗透不足,增长空间大 [5] 财务状况 - 公司财务状况稳健,已实现GAAP盈利,资产负债表良好,拥有52亿美元现金且无债务,分析师预计长期每股收益年均增长25% [6] 估值情况 - 过去三年公司过去12个月的收入增长40%,每股收益增长216%,但股价涨幅超900%,远期市盈率达157倍,远高于标普500指数,当前估值过高 [7] 投资建议 - 股票估值过高风险增大,若市场持续波动,因其高价和前期投资回报,可能成为投资者获利了结或避险抛售对象,在估值未合理前投资者应避免买入 [9][10]
Palantir Stock Fell Nearly 40% From Its High. History Says This Will Happen Next.
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-05 15:15
文章核心观点 - 2024年Palantir Technologies是热门人工智能股票,2025年股价先升后跌,虽历史上有反弹但当前估值仍有问题,投资者需谨慎 [1][2][12] 公司股价表现 - 2024年公司股价飙升340%,成为标普500指数中表现最佳成员 [1] - 2025年初股价继续上升,2月18日涨65%至每股125美元峰值,后因投资者担忧国防预算削减和关税致经济衰退而停滞 [1] - 3月公司股价较2月高点下跌近40%,目前仍低于该水平33% [2] - 2021年初公司股价达每股39美元峰值,后因通胀和美联储加息等因素,到2022年12月下跌85% [3][4] - 随着标普500指数回升,公司股价在2024年10月突破此前纪录高位,自2022年12月低谷后两年内回报率达1200% [5] 公司业务优势 - 公司为商业组织和政府机构设计数据分析软件,核心平台Gotham和Foundry可整合复杂信息,人工智能平台AIP支持自然语言处理 [6] - 公司以基于本体的软件架构为关键差异化因素,产品框架可将数字数据与现实世界对象关联,助用户分析信息以改善决策 [7] - 公司第四季度财务业绩出色,客户数量增加43%至711个,现有客户平均支出增长20%,收入增长36%至8.28亿美元,非GAAP净利润增长75%至每股0.14美元,且预计第一季度收入增长36% [7] - Forrester Research认可公司为人工智能和机器学习平台领域领导者,国际数据公司预计AI平台销售额到2028年将每年增长40% [8] 公司估值问题 - 2月公司市销率(P/S)达到106,此前数月华尔街分析师已对其估值表示担忧 [10] - 过去十年超50只软件股中仅6只市销率超100,这6只股票最终至少下跌73%,平均跌幅80%,若Palantir遵循此轨迹,股价将从2月高点下跌80%至每股25美元 [11] - 公司股票目前市销率为72倍,接近历史平均水平25倍的三倍,虽业务出色,但投资者购买时应谨慎 [12]
Palantir: Building A Monopoly With Powerful Data Flywheel
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-04 04:57
文章核心观点 - Palantir Technologies公司不只是搭乘AI浪潮的普通公司,而是正成为浪潮的重要组成部分,处于大数据、关键运营和AI的交叉点,利用良性循环发展 [1] 分析师情况 - 分析师是大型市值财富500强公司全资子公司的DevOps工程师,是AI工具和应用实际建设、部署和维护的专家,因机器学习算法、模型训练和部署的第一手经验对生成式AI系统背后的科学有深入了解,正获取更高级的AWS机器学习认证以提升AI和机器学习专业知识,通过Seeking Alpha分享投资视角的AI和机器学习见解 [1] - 分析师在TipRanks(2/5/25)两年时间框架内,在30634名金融博主中排名第968,在40030名专家中排名第1611 [1] 分析师持仓情况 - 分析师通过股票、期权或其他衍生品对PLTR股票持有长期有利头寸 [1]
Why Palantir short sellers are about to make a fortune
Finbold· 2025-04-03 20:39
文章核心观点 - 4月2日Palantir股价上涨使空头头寸比例增加,4月3日盘前股价暴跌,该公司因处于高估的AI行业,成为卖空者的理想目标 [1][2][6] 股价表现 - 4月2日Palantir股价上涨3.27%,收于87.45美元 [1] - 4月3日盘前股价暴跌5.74%,盘后交易价格为82.43美元 [2] 空头情况 - 4月2日股价上涨使PLTR空头成交量比率升至50.89,空头头寸比例增加或使下跌预测成为现实,让空头获利 [4] 公司与行业风险 - 公司属于AI生态系统,该行业估值过高,若经济衰退公司股价可能崩溃 [7] - 数据中心基础设施建设引发的泡沫破裂可能导致英伟达股价崩溃,产生连锁反应 [8] - 分析师认为2024年下半年PLTR股价在40 - 50美元时就已超过合理估值 [8]
Despite Its Recent Addition to the S&P 100, This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Growth Stock Is Trading 28% Below All-Time Highs. Time to Buy the Dip?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-03 06:17
文章核心观点 - 近期纳斯达克抛售潮中Palantir股价下跌,分析其抛售原因并探讨是否值得买入,认为虽短期有波动但长期前景好,建议长期美元成本平均法投资 [1][3][10][11] 股价表现 - 去年人工智能软件公司Palantir股价飙升340%,成为标普500中表现最佳股票,年底被纳入纳斯达克100指数 [1] - 截至2月中旬,Palantir股票延续去年势头,一度上涨65%,每股交易价约125美元 [2] - 截至3月27日,Palantir股价较历史高点下跌28%,今年以来纳斯达克综合指数回报率为负8% [2][4] - 过去12个月Palantir股价上涨262%,过去6个月上涨143%,年初至今上涨19% [7] 股价抛售原因 - 投资者担忧特朗普新关税对经济活动的影响,导致科技板块成长股过去一个月易受大幅抛售影响 [4] - 五角大楼新的成本削减计划引发对Palantir业务影响的担忧,该公司约一半收入集中在公共部门交易流 [5] 投资分析 - Palantir是成长型软件股中最昂贵的,市销率在过去一年大幅扩大 [10] - 虽股价较历史高点大幅下跌,但仍有一定势头,与软件行业同行相比优势明显 [8] - 公司有多个战略联盟,人工智能企业软件平台需求增长的长期趋势是利好因素,长期前景乐观 [11] - 建议对Palantir股票采用长期(数年或数十年)的美元成本平均法投资策略 [11]
Will Artificial Intelligence (AI) Colossus Palantir Technologies Soar 46% or Plunge 53%, According to Select Wall Street Analysts?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-02 16:06
Although Nvidia has cemented itself as the face of the AI revolution, a strong argument can be made that AI- driven data-mining special Palantir Technologies (PLTR 0.31%) has replaced it as Wall Street's AI darling. At its February peak, shares of Palantir were approaching a nearly 2,000% trailing-two-year gain. But like many companies on the cutting-edge of a highly touted innovation, Palantir finds itself at the center of a Wall Street analyst duel. Based on the high-water and bottom-barrel price targets ...
Palantir: The AI Spine No One Sees
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-02 11:33
Analyst's Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of PLTR either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Amidst the AI world's frenzied pace, where most companies are competing to outdo each other on inference benchmarks, flashy demo-day reveals, ...
Palantir Stock Builds Momentum on New Partnership
MarketBeat· 2025-04-01 20:45
Palantir Technologies Today PLTR Palantir Technologies $84.40 -1.45 (-1.69%) 52-Week Range $20.33 Get Palantir Technologies alerts: Financial details were not immediately available from the release. However, the two companies are already deploying approved data transition formats to some of Everfox's existing customers. This announcement assures investors that this will extend to additional clients with complex network and operational environment needs. Why Is This Significant for Palantir? The partnership ...
Palantir's AI Playbook Is Working (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-01 20:35
Palantir Technologies ( PLTR) is doing exactly what we anticipated in our previous coverage, proving the skeptics wrong. Since our last report , Q4 results confirmed accelerating commercial traction (+64% YoY U.S. growth) and deepened government Stock analysis brought to you by the team at HedgeMix. The analysis is based on a careful review of the growth prospects of each company. For valuation purposes, we often use the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, sharing valuable insight on cash flow generation unde ...
Here's Why I'm Avoiding Palantir Technologies Stock
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-01 18:30
Palantir's revenue growth is still accelerating. Palantir Technologies (PLTR -1.53%) has been one of the top-performing artificial intelligence (AI) stocks in the market. It's up nearly 400% since the start of 2024 and is actually up around 10% for the year despite tumbling around 30% from its all-time high established in mid-February. Despite these returns, I want no part in Palantir stock right now. Palantir's stock price is too expensive for its performance With Palantir's most recent revenue growth rate ...