核心观点 - 两家大型国防科技公司Palantir和Anduril正在与包括SpaceX、OpenAI、Saronic和Scale AI在内的科技公司讨论成立一个联盟，以竞标五角大楼的合同，旨在挑战Lockheed Martin、Raytheon和Boeing等主要国防承包商的垄断地位 [3][4] 行业动态 - Palantir和Anduril早前已暗示将成立一个新的联盟，以确保美国政府在人工智能领域保持全球领先地位，并宣布了Palantir的AI平台与Anduril的Lattice软件的整合 [4] - 该联盟的目标是通过提供新一代的国防承包商，以更高效的方式向政府销售尖端武器和其他技术 [4] 公司合作 - 预计最早可能在1月份宣布初步的合作关系 [1] - 参与讨论的科技公司包括SpaceX、OpenAI、Saronic和Scale AI [3]

文章核心观点 - 公司股价自11月5日以来上涨了41%，主要受到生成式AI和特朗普总统任期的双重炒作影响 公司未来的增长潜力可能被市场高估，尤其是在特朗普政府可能减少军事支出的情况下 [18] 公司业务与AI技术 - 公司早在2003年就开始从事大数据分析，这是生成式AI（如ChatGPT）的前身 公司迅速将生成式AI能力添加到其传统平台中，以提高工作效率并提供实时洞察 [1][15] - 公司的软件在军事和执法领域特别有用，能够帮助操作员识别和获取实时威胁的信息 [16] 公司与政府合作 - 公司在第三季度从美国政府客户（包括国防部和国土安全部）获得了3.2亿美元的收入，占所有销售额的44% [3] - 公司在特朗普政府期间通过名为Falcon的SaaS合同与移民和海关执法局（ICE）合作，协助驱逐行动 该合同在2013年至2022年间仅带来1.27亿美元的收入，平均每年1400万美元，对公司整体销售额影响有限 [4][13] - ICE正在开发名为RAVEn的自定义工具，以替代Falcon，RAVEn将挖掘公开可用数据，而Falcon则处理机构已有的数据 [17] 公司财务表现 - 公司第三季度收入同比增长30%至7.26亿美元，调整后的息税折旧摊销前利润（EBITDA）增长39%至2.836亿美元，其中包括1.424亿美元的股权补偿 [9] - 公司的估值与其基本面不符，其前瞻市盈率高达158，而标普500的平均前瞻市盈率仅为24 相比之下，AI行业领导者Nvidia的预期市盈率仅为30，尽管其最近一个季度的收入增长了94% [6][14] 特朗普政府的影响 - 特朗普政府计划加大驱逐力度，承诺进行美国历史上最大规模的驱逐行动，这可能对公司产生积极影响 [13] - 特朗普政府可能减少乌克兰和中东地区的冲突，这可能对公司的军事相关业务产生负面影响 [5] - 市场似乎高估了特朗普政府对公司增长潜力的推动作用，投资者应预期公司股价在2025年回归现实 [7][18]

One of the prominent stocks driven by artificial intelligence (AI) is Palantir Technologies (PLTR 8.54%). From a low of around $6 per share at the height of the 2022 bear market, the SaaS stock's AI tools have driven a more than 12-fold gain in the stock in two years.That may lead to questions of whether that can continue in 2025. Ultimately, one cannot predict what will happen to Palantir over the next year. Still, looking at the state of the business and its financials could offer insight into whether the ...

Palantir (PLTR 8.54%) has quickly emerged as a top artificial intelligence (AI) stock pick for many investors. The stock has more than quadrupled in 2024 and has a huge following. But with all that success comes an obvious question: Is Palantir still a top AI pick for 2025? I think the business is primed to succeed in the coming year, but there are also some high expectations baked into the stock price.Palantir's market has massive room for growthPalantir makes AI software for its clients that provides the ...

This account is managed by Noah's Arc Capital Management. Our goal is provide Wall Street level insights to main street investors. Our research focus is mainly on 20th century stocks (old economy) undergoing a 21st century transformation, but occasionally we'll write on companies that help transform 20th century firms as well. We look for innovations in a business model that will cause a stock to change dramatically. Associated with SA contributors Thomas Potter and Elijah Buell.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we h ...

Palantir Technologies (PLTR)  has been one of the top performing stocks in 2024 as a developer of critical software that assists with complex organizational tasks including counter terrorism operations for government agencies.Soaring over +300% year to date, it may be a worthy topic of whether PLTR should have a spot in investors’ portfolios as we edge closer to the new year. This may certainly be on investors’ minds as Palantir stock is now sitting on +600% gains since going public in 2020.   Image Source: ...

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) appears an attractive pick, as it has been recently upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). This upgrade is essentially a reflection of an upward trend in earnings estimates -- one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices.A company's changing earnings picture is at the core of the Zacks rating. The system tracks the Zacks Consensus Estimate -- the consensus measure of EPS estimates from the sell-side analysts covering the stock -- for the current and following years.In ...

Palantir Technologies Inc. NASDAQ: PLTRstock is flat in the four days after the company was named to be part of the NASDAQ 100 starting on December 23, 2024. But that's because of a pullback of over 5%, which correlates to the broader market pullback after the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates on December 18. Palantir Technologies TodayPLTRPalantir Technologies$74.21 +2.70 (+3.78%) 52-Week Range$15.66▼$80.91P/E Ratio371.07Price Target$41.00Add to WatchlistGet Palantir Technologies alerts:Still,  ...

Without a doubt, 2024 has been a fantastic year for Palantir Technologies (PLTR 3.78%) and its shareholders. Yet as the year draws to a close, you may be wondering where Palantir stock will be one year from now.Here's what I think is most likely to happen. How Palantir has performed -- and whyBefore I answer where Palantir is going, I'll recap exactly what the stock has already done. Between Dec. 15, 2023 and Dec. 16, 2024, Palantir stock increased in value by more than 315%. That makes it one of the top-pe ...

文章核心观点 - Palantir Technologies 的股票自年初以来上涨了4倍，目前交易价格约为每股74美元，但由于高估值、对政府销售的依赖以及大量内部人士抛售，公司股票被认为是高风险交易 [1] 驱动股价上涨的因素 - 股价上涨的第一波是由人工智能股票的市场热潮和最近几个季度超出预期的盈利推动的 [2] - 在美国大选后，股价进一步上涨，接近80%，投资者乐观地认为特朗普领导的共和党政府将增加国家安全和移民方面的联邦支出，从而推动对Palantir软件工具的需求 [2] - Palantir的联合创始人Peter Thiel是特朗普的早期盟友，他在新政府中被认为有很大的影响力 [2] - Palantir最近被纳入纳斯达克100指数，这可能增加了对股票的需求，特别是来自交易所交易基金的需求 [2] 风险因素 - 公司对政府销售的依赖可能是一个问题，因为这些合同通常不确定且不连续，使得它们难以预测 [3] - 尽管Palantir的商业市场被认为是一个更大的机会，但商业表现尚未达到预期，第三季度商业相关销售额增长27%至3.17亿美元，未达到共识预期，而政府业务则超出了预期 [3] - 公司的产品通常规模较大，实施复杂且昂贵，这意味着产品可能无法很好地适应中小型企业 [3] - Palantir面临来自大型多元化科技公司（如微软）和更专业的数据分析公司的竞争 [3] 估值问题 - 公司的高估值不被认为是合理的，股票交易价格约为48倍未来收入，超过150倍2025财年共识收益，而公司的增长率预计仅为25%左右 [5] - 相比之下，云数据仓库和分析公司Snowflake的交易价格约为12倍收入，增长率也在类似范围内 [5] - AI领域的领头羊Nvidia的股票交易价格仅为30倍预计的下一财年收益，尽管收入预计今年将翻倍，明年预计增长超过50% [5] 内部人士抛售 - Palantir的内部人士抛售也在增加，CEO Alex Karp在过去几个月中抛售了近4000万股，创始人兼总裁Stephen Cohen抛售了超过9000万美元的股票 [6] - 这可能表明内部人士也认为股票已经完全定价，如果更多内部人士继续抛售，这可能会对股价造成压力 [6]