报告行业投资评级 - 对Harvey Norman给予“Overweight（增持）”评级 [11][27][33] - 对Wesfarmers给予“Underweight（减持）”评级 [19][20][30] - 对JB Hi-Fi给予“Neutral（中性）”评级 [33] 报告的核心观点 - Harvey Norman业绩改善，销售回升，估值有吸引力，受益于住房周期和销售策略调整，给予增持评级 [2][3][11] - Wesfarmers核心业务成熟增长低，其他业务前景不明，估值过高，给予减持评级 [5][8][19] 根据相关目录分别进行总结 Top Pick – Harvey Norman - 投资亮点：受益住房周期，销售品类与住房活动相关，RBA降息预期带来销售增长；澳大利亚加盟商销售势头恢复，预计4Q25澳洲同店销售增长4.0%；估值较综合工业有32%的折扣 [2][3][4] - 投资理由：业绩从低基数改善，盈利下滑缓和并有望在FY25转正；股价未反映业绩拐点，FY25E市盈率约14倍有吸引力 [11][27] - 驱动因素：未来6 - 12个月住房周期复苏，期货市场预计年底前再降息3次；加盟商销售势头有韧性且低基数下有上升空间；澳洲和新西兰加盟商销售加速带来盈利增长风险 [12] - 估值：12个月目标价6.50澳元，采用DCF、分部加总和PERel估值法得出 [28] Least Preferred – Wesfarmers - 业务情况：Bunnings和Kmart业务稳定但成熟，门店和同店销售增长低，Kmart利润率有提升空间，Bunnings未来三年EBIT为个位数增长；除Bunnings和Kmart外约17%的盈利前景不佳，Mt Holland受锂市场影响亏损可能延续 [5][8] - 投资理由：估值过高，当前PER为33x，较综合工业有57%的溢价，基本面不支持如此高的倍数，目标价67.00澳元，对应FY26E市盈率26.6x [9][30][31] - 驱动因素：Bunnings销售和盈利增长受业务成熟限制；Mt Holland在锂市场疲软下持续亏损；自由现金流再投资能力有限，可能进行破坏价值的收购或资本管理 [20]

Virtus Investment Partners (VRTS) shares rallied 6.3% in the last trading session to close at $200.71. This move can be attributable to notable volume with a higher number of shares being traded than in a typical session. This compares to the stock's 10.5% gain over the past four weeks.Virtus Investment stock increased in price for the second consecutive trading session. The broader market optimism surrounding potential trade agreements and increased expectations of earlier-than-anticipated interest rate cu ...

美股市场表现 - 2025年上半年美股三大指数表现强劲 道指、标普500和纳斯达克综合指数6月分别上涨4%、5.7%和5.7% [1] - 尽管上半年收官强劲 但整体表现仍是2022年以来最弱 中美贸易协议可能性、美联储暗示降息50个基点及经济衰退担忧消退可能成为下半年催化剂 [2] 投资组合推荐 - 构建包含5只跨行业股票的模拟组合 这些股票上半年涨幅均超50%且Zacks评级显示短期仍有上涨空间 [3] - 入选股票包括Jabil(JBL)、Howmet Aerospace(HWM)、CVS健康(CVS)、Carvana(CVNA)和NRG能源(NRG) 均获Zacks1(强力买入)或2(买入)评级 [4] 个股分析 Jabil Inc (JBL) - 受益于资本设备、AI数据中心基础设施及数字商务业务的强劲增长 产品多元化战略成效显著 目标单一产品线贡献不超过5%运营收入 [7] - 自由现金流表现优异 生成式AI技术大幅提升自动化检测设备效率 预计下年度营收和盈利分别增长5.9%和18.5% 30天内盈利预期上调9% [8][9] Howmet Aerospace (HWM) - 商业航空市场复苏带动业绩 宽体客机需求回升 国防业务因美欧军费预算增加而走强 F-35项目备件订单表现突出 [10][11] - 当前财年预计营收和盈利分别增长8.5%和29% 7天内盈利预期微调0.3% [11] CVS健康 (CVS) - 通过技术投入降低成本并改善客户体验 2025年Medicare Advantage星级评分提升有利业务发展 [12] - 计划关闭271家门店以节省超5亿美元成本 Oak Street健康业务患者增长强劲 预计当前财年营收和盈利分别增长3.5%和12.6% 60天内盈利预期上调2.3% [13][14] Carvana (CVNA) - 收购ADESA美国业务强化物流网络和翻新能力 预计2025年Q2零售单元销售同比持续增长 目前仅占美国汽车零售市场1%份额 [15][16] - 当前财年预计营收增长32.1% 盈利增幅超100% 30天内盈利预期上调7.8% [17] NRG能源 (NRG) - 业务覆盖美加能源及家庭服务领域 通过LS Power交易实现发电容量翻倍 计划2050年实现净零排放 [18][19] - 当前财年预计营收和盈利分别增长2.6%和17% 60天内盈利预期上调2.8% [20]

With the first half of the year in the books, bulls have regained control of Wall Street. Below are six reasons that bulls will remain in control into the summer:Stocks are Entering an Election Cycle Seasonality Sweet SpotStock market seasonality is the practical study of how specific times of year often lead to repeatable patterns that traders and investors can use to gain an edge in the stock market. Seasonality was popularized Yale Hirsch, who published groundbreaking research on seasonality and cycles a ...

Shares of the digital bank and fintech company SoFi (SOFI 7.22%) traded roughly 8.6% higher, as of 1:26 p.m. ET today, hitting a new 52-week high earlier in the day of $18.92. There's no obvious reason behind the move, but a few reasons could explain the jump.Riding the momentumLast week, SoFi announced in a press release that it will offer new crypto initiatives on its platform. As investors may recall, SoFi had offered members the ability to buy certain cryptocurrencies on its investing platform, but had ...

S&P 500 Hits New High The S&P 500 rose 0.5% to end at 6,173.07 points on Friday, hitting an all-time high. The index reached an intraday high of 6,1787.68, surpassing its previous record of 6,147.43 points. The S&P 500 had a roller-coaster journey this year. The index surged to an all-time high in February on hopes that Trump's business-friendly policies would help the broader market. However, Trump announced sprawling tariffs soon after moving into the White House. Key Takeaways The Wall Street rally has r ...

Two consecutive months of Case-Shiller house price index declines confirm soft conditions in the housing sector. Outright declines in house prices make persistently elevated inflation unlikely. The contraction in the housing sector is an early warning for a broader slowing in the US economy. Fed officials are likely to increasingly recognize these dovish implications in coming months. Andrew Hollenhorst AC +1-212-816-0325 andrew.hollenhorst@citi.com V i e w p o i n t | 24 Jun 2025 10:41:19 ET │ 9 pages US E ...

市场动态 - 随着市场关注点转向美联储潜在降息预期 宏观经济和地缘政治压力影响减弱 标普500指数再次接近年内高点 [1] - 许多股票特别是大盘股估值水平出现显著变化 但原文未提供具体数值 [1] 行业专家背景 - Gary Alexander兼具华尔街科技公司分析经验与硅谷从业经历 深度参与塑造行业趋势的关键领域 [1] - 其作为种子轮初创公司外部顾问 对行业前沿主题有直接接触 2017年起持续为Seeking Alpha供稿 [1] - 观点被多家网络媒体引用 文章同步推送至Robinhood等主流交易应用的公司页面 [1]

Key Takeaways JPM shares hit an all-time high on rate cut optimism despite the Fed's cautious stance. The bank projects 2025 NII to potentially exceed guidance by $1B amid expansion efforts. IB outlook weakens near term, but markets revenue and long-term deal pipeline remain strong.JPMorgan’s (JPM) shares touched an all-time high of $289.41 on Thursday as incoming economic data, including jobless claims and the third estimate for gross domestic product (GDP) for the first quarter, indicate interest rate c ...

Apart from a one-time gain on the sale of the mortgage warehouse business, Horizon Bancorp, Inc.'s (NASDAQ: HBNC ) 1Q earnings were mostly in line with my expectations given in my March report on theAnalyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Al ...