Earnings Surprise

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Idexx Laboratories (IDXX) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 23:06
核心观点 - 市场预期Idexx Laboratories在2025年第二季度财报中将实现营收和盈利同比增长,实际业绩与预期的对比可能影响股价短期走势 [1][2] - 公司预计将于8月4日发布财报,关键数据超预期可能推动股价上涨,不及预期则可能导致下跌 [2] - 公司属于动物诊断和健康护理行业,预计季度每股收益为3.31美元,同比增长35.7%,预计营收为10.7亿美元,同比增长6.3% [3] 盈利预期与修正 - 过去30天内,分析师将季度每股收益共识预期上调了0.74%,反映分析师对初始预期的重新评估 [4] - 最新最准确预期高于共识预期,显示分析师近期对公司盈利前景更加乐观,盈利预期差异(ESP)为+0.34% [12] - 公司当前Zacks评级为3(持有),结合正ESP值,显示公司很可能超过共识每股收益预期 [12] 历史表现 - 上一季度公司实际每股收益2.96美元,超过预期的2.92美元,超出幅度为1.37% [13] - 过去四个季度中,公司三次超过共识每股收益预期 [14] 盈利预测模型 - Zacks盈利ESP模型通过比较最新最准确预期与共识预期来预测实际业绩可能偏离预期的程度 [7][8] - 正ESP值理论上预示实际盈利可能超过预期,且模型对正ESP的预测能力更强 [9] - 当正ESP与Zacks评级1(强力买入)、2(买入)或3(持有)结合时,预测准确率接近70% [10] 其他影响因素 - 盈利超预期或不及预期并非影响股价的唯一因素,其他因素也可能导致股价与盈利表现背离 [15] - 选择预期将超过盈利预期的股票可以增加投资成功概率,建议关注公司ESP和Zacks评级 [16] - 公司目前看来是有吸引力的盈利超预期候选股,但投资者也应考虑其他因素 [17]
MVB Financial (MVBF) to Report Q2 Results: What Awaits?
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 23:06
核心观点 - MVB Financial预计2025年第二季度营收同比增长3.4%至3590万美元,但每股收益与去年同期持平为0.31美元 [1][3] - 实际业绩与市场预期的差异可能影响短期股价走势,超预期可能推动股价上涨,不及预期则可能导致下跌 [2] - 公司当前Zacks Rank为3(持有),且盈利预期修正指数(Earnings ESP)为0%,显示分析师近期未调整预期,难以预测业绩超预期 [12] 财务预期 - 过去30天内分析师对季度EPS共识预期保持未变,反映市场预期稳定 [4] - 最近一个季度公司实际EPS为0.27美元,超出市场预期0.21美元达28.57%,过去四个季度中有两次超预期 [13][14] 业绩预测模型 - Zacks Earnings ESP模型通过对比"最准确预期"与"共识预期"来预测业绩偏离,但仅对正向ESP有显著预测力 [8][9] - 当Earnings ESP为正且Zacks Rank为1-3时,业绩超预期概率达70% [10] - 当前公司ESP为0%且Zacks Rank为3,缺乏明确业绩超预期的信号 [12] 历史表现与市场影响 - 过往业绩超预期并非股价上涨的唯一因素,其他未预见催化剂也可能影响股价 [15] - 尽管当前数据未显示MVB Financial具备强劲业绩超预期潜力,但投资者仍需关注其他潜在影响因素 [17]
CPI Card Group Inc. (PMTS) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Q2 Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 23:06
核心观点 - 市场预期CPI Card Group Inc (PMTS)在2025年第二季度财报中将实现营收和盈利的同比增长,实际业绩与预期的对比将显著影响股价短期走势[1][2] - 公司当前Zacks共识预期为每股收益0.56美元(同比+9.8%),营收1.3225亿美元(同比+11.3%)[3] - 分析师近期下调季度EPS共识预期12%,且最准确预估低于共识预期,导致盈利ESP为-6.31%,结合Zacks Rank 5评级,预测业绩超预期难度较大[4][11] 财务预期分析 - 过去四个季度中,公司两次超过EPS共识预期,但最近一季度实际EPS 0.40美元较预期0.56美元低28.57%[12][13] - Zacks盈利ESP模型显示,当ESP为正且Zacks Rank为1-3时,70%概率出现盈利超预期,但当前公司两项指标均不达标[9][11] 市场影响机制 - 盈利超预期可能推动股价上涨,但历史表明股价也可能因其他因素在盈利超预期后下跌,反之亦然[14] - 分析师修正预估的趋势反映业务状况变化,最新修正数据比早期共识更具预测价值[6][7] - 尽管当前数据不支持盈利超预期结论,但投资者仍需关注财报发布前后的其他潜在影响因素[16]
HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: What to Know Ahead of Q2 Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 23:01
HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) is expected to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report. On the other hand, if they miss, the sto ...
Earnings Preview: CNA Financial (CNA) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 23:01
The market expects CNA Financial (CNA) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released ...
Oneok Inc. (OKE) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 23:01
While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. Oneok Inc. (OKE) is expected to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but ho ...
Will Spirit Aerosystems (SPR) Report Negative Q2 Earnings? What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 23:01
业绩预期 - 华尔街预计Spirit Aerosystems在截至2025年6月的季度将实现收入增长和盈利改善[1] - 预计季度每股亏损0.52美元 同比改善81%[3] - 预计收入18.2亿美元 同比增长22.1%[3] 预期修正趋势 - 过去30天内共识每股收益预期被下调8.82%[4] - 分析师在财报发布前集体重新评估了初始预期[4] - 个别分析师的预期修正方向可能不会完全反映在整体变化中[4] 盈利预测模型 - Zacks盈利ESP模型通过比较最准确预期与共识预期来预测偏差[7][8] - 分析师在财报发布前的最新修订可能包含更准确的信息[8] - 正面的ESP读数理论上表明实际盈利可能超出共识预期[9] 预测准确性 - 当正ESP与Zacks排名1-3结合时 正面意外概率接近70%[10] - 负ESP读数并不表示一定会低于预期[11] - 排名4或5的股票难以预测盈利超预期[11] Spirit Aerosystems具体状况 - 最准确预期与共识预期完全一致 ESP为0%[12] - 公司目前Zacks排名为第4级(卖出)[12] - 这种组合难以确切断言公司将超越共识EPS预期[13] 历史表现记录 - 上一季度实际每股亏损4.25美元 远差于预期的1.14美元 意外幅度-272.81%[14] - 过去四个季度均未能超越共识EPS预期[15] 市场影响因素 - 盈利超预期或不及预期并非股价涨跌的唯一基础[16] - 其他令投资者失望的因素可能导致股价在盈利超预期后仍然下跌[16] - 意外催化剂可能帮助股票在盈利不及预期后仍然上涨[16]
Oddity Tech (ODD) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 23:01
The market expects Oddity Tech (ODD) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended June 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. Revenues are expected to be $237.22 million, up 23.1% from the year-ago quarter. Estimate Revisions Trend The consensus EPS estimate ...
Analysts Estimate Tyson Foods (TSN) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 23:01
核心财务预测 - 预计季度每股收益0.72美元 同比下跌17.2% [3] - 预计季度营收136.3亿美元 同比增长2.1% [3] - 过去30天共识每股收益预测下调3.5% [4] 业绩公布预期 - 财报计划于8月4日公布 实际数据与预期差异可能影响短期股价 [1][2] - 最近季度实际每股收益0.92美元 超出预期0.85美元8.24% [13] - 过去四个季度均超出每股收益预期 [14] 预测模型分析 - Zacks收益ESP预测模型通过最精确估计与共识估计对比预测偏差 [7][8] - 正收益ESP结合Zacks排名前三级别可产生近70%的正向预测准确率 [10] - 当前收益ESP为0%且Zacks排名第3级 难以预测是否会超出预期 [12] 投资考量因素 - 股价变动不仅取决于是否超预期 还受其他因素影响 [15] - 尽管当前缺乏强劲的超预期信号 仍需关注其他投资因素 [17]
W&T Offshore (WTI) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-07-28 23:01
The earnings report, which is expected to be released on August 4, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than expectations. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise. Zacks Consensus Estimate Wall Street expects a year-ove ...