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市场表现 - 盘前期货小幅上涨 道指+20点 标普500+8点 纳斯达克+50点 债券收益率微升[1] - 卡夫亨氏季度每股收益0.69美元 超预期+7.8% VF公司亏损收窄超预期+31.5% Etsy未达共识预期-53.7%[2] 就业市场 - ADP私营部门7月新增就业10.4万人 显著高于预期的6.4万人 较6月修正值-2.3万人大幅改善[3] - 商品生产类岗位占比回升至30% 服务业占70% 休闲酒店业新增4.6万人领跑 教育医疗行业减少3.8万人[4] - 中小企业分别新增1.2万和4.6万个岗位 在职者薪资同比+4.4% 跳槽者薪资涨幅回升至+7.0%[5] - 近4个月ADP就业增长均值4.3万人 较前4个月17.3万人的均值显著放缓[6] 宏观经济 - Q2 GDP增速+3.0% 超预期+2.3% 较Q1的-0.5%明显反弹 为2024Q3以来最高[7] - 核心PCE物价指数+2.5% 超预期20个基点 消费支出增速从Q1的+0.5%回升至+1.4%[8] 重点事件 - 美联储FOMC会议将公布利率决议 预计维持4.25-4.50%不变 关注委员是否出现分歧意见[9][10] - 微软 Meta 高通 福特等公司将于盘后公布Q2财报[11]

Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Q4 2025 Earnings Call July 30, 2025 08:30 AM ET Company ParticipantsMatthew Keating - VP - IRMaria Black - President & CEOPeter Hadley - CFOBryan Bergin - Managing DirectorRamsey El-Assal - Managing DirectorSamad Samana - Managing DirectorKartik Mehta - Executive Managing Director & Director - ResearchScott Wurtzel - SVP - Equity ResearchJames Faucette - Managing DirectorDavid Paige - AVP - Equity ResearchConference Call ParticipantsMark Marcon - Senior Research AnalystTien-t ...

Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Q4 2025 Earnings Call July 30, 2025 08:30 AM ET Speaker0Good morning. My name is Michelle, and I'll be your conference operator. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to ADP's Fourth Quarter Fiscal twenty twenty five Earnings Call. I would like to inform you that this conference is being recorded. After the prepared remarks, we will conduct a question and answer session.Instructions will be given at that time. I will now turn the conference over to Matt Keating, Vice ...

ADP Earnings Call & Webcast Q4 Fiscal 2025 July 30, 2025 Copyright © 2025 ADP, Inc. DISCLAIMERS FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS This document and other written or oral statements made from time to time by ADP may contain "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Statements that are not historical in nature and which may be identified by the use of words like "outlook," "expects," "assumes," "projects," "anticipates," "estimates," "we believe," "could ...

ROSELAND, N.J. – July 30, 2025 – ADP (Nasdaq: ADP), a global leader in HR and payroll solutions, today announced its fourth quarter and fiscal 2025 financial results and provided its fiscal 2026 outlook. Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2025 Consolidated Results Compared to last year's fourth quarter, revenues increased 8% to $5.1 billion and 6% on an organic constant currency basis. Net earnings increased 10% to $911 million, and adjusted net earnings increased 8% to $923 million. Adjusted EBIT increased 9% to $1 ...

Tuesday, July 29, 2025The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes notched intra-day record highs today early, but slid in tandem with the other major indexes on the day, and all four closed in the red: the Dow gave up -204 points, -0.46%, while the S&P 500 was -18 points, -0.30%. The Nasdaq was down -80 points today, -0.38%, and the small-cap Russell 2000 was -13 points, -0.61%.Trade deals are inching along but not firm or robust enough to send this rally to new levels. Q2 earnings reports, while demonstrating a healthy ...

Automatic Data Processing has been named as a Top 25 ''Dividend Giant'' by ETF Channel, with a whopping $23.77B worth of stock held by ETFs, and above-average ''DividendRank'' statistics including a strong 2.01% yield, according to the most recent Dividend Channel ''DividendRank'' report. The report noted a strong quarterly dividend history at Automatic Data Processing Inc., and favorable long-term multi-year growth rates in key fundamental data points.25 Dividend Giants Widely Held By ETFs »The annualized ...

宏观经济与政策 - 本周将迎来美联储FOMC会议和PCE通胀报告 PCE是美联储衡量通胀的首选指标 [1] - 美联储基准利率自去年12月以来维持在4 25-4 50%区间 当前失业率4 1%和通胀率2 7%显示政策效果符合预期 [4] - 9月有67%概率降息25个基点 但本周会议降息概率仅2% 预计维持利率不变 [5] 企业财报季 - 本周将公布微软 苹果 亚马逊和Meta等四家"科技七巨头"的Q2财报 [2] - 标普500成分股中164家公司将在8月1日前公布Q2业绩 包括宝洁 星巴克 福特等各行业龙头 [3] 就业市场 - 6月ADP私营部门就业减少3 3万个岗位 为两年多来首次负增长 [7] - 6月非农就业新增14 7万个岗位 但其中超半数来自政府招聘 私营部门仅增约7万个岗位 [8] - 持续申领失业金人数接近每周200万 可能改变市场对劳动力市场强劲的预期 [8]

公司财报发布 - 自动数据处理公司(ADP)计划于7月30日盘前发布2025财年第四季度财报 [1] - 公司过去四个季度每股收益平均超出市场预期3.5% [1] 营收预期 - 第四季度总营收预期51亿美元 同比增长5.9% [2][10] - 雇主服务部门营收预计34亿美元 同比增长5.7% 主要受新增业务推动 [2][10] - 专业雇主组织(PEO)服务营收预计16亿美元 同比增长5.6% 受益于工资上涨和客户留存率提升 [3][10] - 客户资金利息收入预计2.879亿美元 同比增长4% [3] 运营指标 - 季度平均PEO在职员工数预计762人 [4] - 每控制单位薪酬变化预计0.1% [4] 盈利预测 - 每股收益预期2.22美元 同比增长6.2% 主要得益于收入增长和成本控制 [4] 模型预测 - 当前模型显示ADP的盈利预期差(EPS ESP)为-0.53% Zacks评级为3级(持有) [5][6] 同行业可比公司 - 希捷科技(STX)预计第四季度营收24亿美元(同比+27.5%) 每股收益2.46美元(同比+100%) 盈利预期差+2.34% Zacks评级2级 [8][9] - 苹果(AAPL)预计第三季度营收889亿美元(同比+3.7%) 每股收益1.42美元(同比+1.43%) 盈利预期差+3.52% Zacks评级3级 [11][12]