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纺织服装海外跟踪系列六十四:露露乐蒙二季度收入低于指引,中国市场持续引领增长
国信证券· 2025-09-16 22:43
行业投资评级 - 纺织服饰行业投资评级为优于大市(维持)[2] 核心观点 - 露露乐蒙2025财年第二季度营收同比增长6.5%至25.25亿美元,低于指引的7.0-8.0%,但毛利率下滑110bps至58.5%,表现优于指引的下滑200bps [3][4][6] - 中国市场除港澳台地区收入增长25.1%,环比提速,管理层预计全年增长20-25%,而美国及加拿大市场因休闲品类创新不足表现疲软 [4][6][7] - 公司下调2025财年全年收入指引至同比增长2-4%,主要受关税增加和小额包裹关税豁免取消影响,同时下调毛利率和EPS指引 [4][7][21] 分业务表现 - 核心运动品类持续增长,男装/女装/配饰分别同比增长6.3%/4.8%/14.9%,运动品类中瑜伽、跑步等核心业务实现增长 [9] - 休闲品类核心系列因长期未革新导致消费者审美疲劳,但Daydrift和BeCalm等新品表现良好 [9] 分渠道表现 - 线上渠道收入同比增长9.1%,增速环比提升明显,占总收入39.3% [4][6][10] - 线下直营渠道收入同比增长3.2%,占总收入49.7%,全球净新增14家门店至784家 [10] 分地区表现 - 中国市场除港澳台地区:收入占比15.6%,不变汇率收入增长24.0%,同店销售增长17.0%,门店达159家 [15] - 美洲市场:收入占比69.6%,不变汇率收入增长1.0%,同店销售下降4.0%,其中美国收入持平,加拿大增长1.0% [8][15] - 其他国际市场:收入占比14.8%,不变汇率收入增长15.0%,同店销售增长12.0%,公司持续开拓新市场如意大利、土耳其等 [16] 财务指标 - 经营利润率下降210bps至20.7%,摊薄EPS为3.10美元,优于指引 [9][10] - 库存金额同比增长20.5%至17.23亿美元,主要受关税及汇率影响 [10] - 现金储备11.56亿美元,Q2斥资2.81亿美元回购113万股 [10] 管理层指引与展望 - 2025财年全年收入预计108.5-110.0亿美元,同比增长2-4%,毛利率预计下降300bps,摊薄EPS指引下调至12.77-12.97美元 [21][24] - 2025财年第三季度收入预计增长3-4%至24.70-25.00亿美元,经营利润率预计同比下降560bps [4][25] - 净增门店数预计40-45家,其中大部分位于中国,美洲计划开设10-15家 [8][21] 关税影响与应对措施 - 美国小额包裹关税豁免取消对毛利率产生约170bps负面影响,公司将通过调整仓储与配送布局、适度提价及费用管控应对 [4][7][26] - 关税假设为中国进口商品+30%,其他地区+10% [26] 投资建议 - 看好中国运动鞋服产业链龙头企业,重点推荐申洲国际、华利集团、安踏体育、李宁、滔搏 [5][27][28] - 运动代工龙头盈利能力强、客户结构优质,产能布局多元化 [5][27]
lululemon's Fresh Styles, Soft Sales: Is Innovation Falling Short?
ZACKS· 2025-09-16 00:50
Key Takeaways lululemon posted Q2 EPS of $3.10 above the Zacks Consensus Estimate, while revenues of $2.53B missed.Weak U.S. results led to a lowered guidance, while China and other global markets showed double-digit growth.New products aim to raise newness penetration to 35% by 2026, but execution speed remains concerning.lululemon athletica inc.’s (LULU) second-quarter fiscal 2025 underscored the tension between a loyal customer base and shifting consumer demand. While earnings per share of $3.10 topped t ...
Is lululemon's Earnings Outlook Still Aligned With Its Growth Story?
ZACKS· 2025-09-11 00:30
Key Takeaways lululemon cut its fiscal 2025 revenue and EPS guidance on U.S. weakness and rising tariff costs.Product cycle missteps hurt core categories, but the latest launches aim to spark renewed customer engagement.International growth remained strong, led by a 25% revenue rise in China and 19% in the Rest of World.lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) has long been synonymous with premium athleisure, but its latest earnings call shows a brand recalibrating its growth story. In second-quarter fiscal 2025, EP ...