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巴克莱:美元无视经济疲软与政治风险逆势走强,基本面依然稳固
智通财经网· 2025-09-26 10:19
智通财经APP获悉,巴克莱银行指出,近几个月美元的相对强势表明,即便面临经济疲软风险及美联储 独立性受挑战的压力,支撑美元的基本面依然稳固。 首先,策略师认为,美元的实际价值低于当前即期汇率所反映的水平。关税通过扭曲贸易条件、使其向 实施国倾斜,会人为压低该国货币汇率 —— 然而,与巴克莱(及几乎所有华尔街机构)年初的预期相 反,美元并未通过升值来抵消这一影响。该机构认为,若计入美国关税因素,欧元对美元汇率实际应接 近 1 欧元兑 1.30 美元,远高于目前约 1 欧元兑 1.1670 美元的水平。 彭博美元指数今年下半年以来已上涨约 1.5%。周四该指数连续第二个交易日走高,在周度初请失业金 人数低于预期的数据公布后,触及近三周以来的最高水平。 以塞米斯托克利斯・菲奥塔基斯(Themistoklis Fiotakis)和莱夫泰里斯・法尔马基斯(Lefteris Farmakis)为 首的巴克莱外汇策略师表示,尽管遭遇 "非常规看空事件",这一全球储备货币仍保持稳定。支撑美元 的因素包括:美元的相对估值优势,以及全球投资者在寻求外汇对冲多元化时,缺乏可替代的币种选 择。 策略师在周四发布的报告中称:"继 2 ...
Nvidia CEO in 'Founder Mode': Barclays' O'Malley
Youtube· 2025-09-26 04:28
You are in the camp of people that listened to Jensen, one when he said this is going to be a $1 trillion opportunity or industry, and then very recently said actually it's going to be a three or $4 trillion opportunity. And now you, like many say, it's a bit more believable to us. Just explain your thesis.Perfect. And thanks for having me on the show. I think in a prior segment you had Joanne on talking about how the pie keeps on growing.If you look at compute announcements since December of 2024, through ...
Risk Asia Awards 2025: The winners
Risk.net· 2025-09-25 23:00
2025年Risk Asia Awards获奖机构 - UBS获得年度衍生品公司(亚洲)、年度衍生品公司(澳大利亚)、年度股票衍生品公司、年度信用衍生品公司及年度银行风险经理五项大奖 [1] - 汇丰银行(HSBC)获得年度人民币业务公司、年度清算银行及年度衍生品公司(印度)三项奖项 [1] - 法国农业信贷银行(Crédit Agricole CIB)同时获得香港和韩国年度衍生品公司奖项 [1] - 渣打银行(Standard Chartered)获评年度利率衍生品公司 [1] - 美国银行证券(BofA Securities)被评为年度货币衍生品公司 [1] - 巴克莱银行(Barclays)获得年度结构化产品公司奖项 [1] - 法国兴业银行(Societe Generale)获评年度量化金融公司 [1] - 大和证券(Daiwa Securities)、华侨银行(OCBC)、联昌国际银行(CIMB)分别在日本、新加坡、印尼市场获得衍生品公司奖项 [1] - 中资机构申万宏源证券、华泰证券、中信银行(CTBC Bank)分别在中国大陆和台湾市场获得衍生品及证券业务奖项 [1] 金融科技与解决方案奖项 - Murex包揽年度技术供应商、年度系统支持与实施供应商、年度技术产品及年度后台解决方案四项大奖 [2] - 伦敦证券交易所集团(LSEG)旗下Post Trade Solutions获得年度抵押品管理解决方案、年度保证金解决方案及年度对手方风险解决方案三项荣誉 [2] - 标普全球市场情报(S&P Global Market Intelligence)同时获得年度市场数据提供商和买方风险解决方案奖项 [2][3] - Wolters Kluwer斩获年度IFRS 9解决方案、年度流动性风险解决方案及年度信用风险管理解决方案三项大奖 [2] - Numerix获评年度XVA解决方案提供商 [2] - FactSet被评为年度风险解决方案提供商 [2] - 德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)获得25年卓越贡献特别奖项 [2] 交易与基础设施奖项 - LCH获评年度清算所 [2] - Fenics GO被评为年度场外交易平台 [2] - 印度孟买证券交易所(BSE India)获评年度衍生品交易所 [2] - 中证登(CCDC)获得年度抵押品管理公司奖项 [1] - 越南Techcombank的交易获评年度最佳交易 [1] - 高伟绅律师事务所(Clifford Chance)获评年度律师事务所 [2] 专业服务与创新奖项 - 标普道琼斯指数(S&P Dow Jones Indices)获评年度量化投资解决方案 [2] - ION Group获得买方交易系统奖项 [2] - FIS获评年度资产负债管理(ALM)解决方案 [2] - 穆迪(Moodys)获评年度IFRS 17解决方案 [2] - SAS Institute被评为最佳人工智能风险管理解决方案 [2] - Finastra Sophis获评年度定价与交易系统 [2] - Axioma获得最佳投资组合优化解决方案 [2] - Quantifi获评最佳结构化产品支持系统 [2] - Acies获评年度治理、风险与合规解决方案 [2] - NICE Actimize获评年度反洗钱解决方案 [2] - Lexis Nexis获评年度欺诈预防解决方案 [2]
Nvidia's stock can soar 35% more, Barclays says. Why AI spending estimates now seem less ‘outlandish.
MarketWatch· 2025-09-25 21:13
The wave of AI data-center announcements in recent months has Barclays analysts feeling more positive about Nvidia and other AI chip names as they see the AI infrastructure market reaching $2 trillion and beyond. ...
Nature loss could cut mining, power earnings by a quarter, Barclays finds
Reuters· 2025-09-25 19:18
Company earnings could fall by as much as 25% over five years due to nature degradation, Barclays said, as rising input costs and operational disruptions driven by policy changes and worsening environ... ...
巴克莱银行:利空不断 美元仍然保持韧性
新华财经· 2025-09-25 15:34
今年2月至5月期间,美元曾经历大幅下跌的震荡行情,但自那以后,即便面对疲软的经济数据以及美联 储公信力受到的挑战,美元仍维持在相对狭窄的区间内波动,并未进一步显著下跌。 新华财经北京9月25日电巴克莱银行外汇策略师表示,尽管近期发生了极度利空的事件,但美元在过去 几个月里并未出现明显走弱。 巴克莱预计,美国经济将在未来数月内回暖,这可能意味着美元将继续保持韧性。不过,分析师们对美 联储独立性面临的威胁仍持谨慎态度。 (文章来源:新华财经) ...
Barclays Bank PLC Announces Results of 2 Cash Tender Offers and Consent Solicitations
Businesswire· 2025-09-25 09:42
NEW YORK--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Barclays Bank PLC (the "Issuer†) announced today the results of its previously announced cash tender offers (each, an "Offer†) to purchase any and all of its outstanding exchange-traded notes (the "Notes†or the "ETNs†) of the two separate series listed in the table below (each, a "Series†) and the solicitation of consents (each, a "Consent Solicitation†) from holders of the Notes (the "Noteholders†) to amend certain provisions of the Notes with respect to each Series. ...
Barclays CEO: UK government on right track
Youtube· 2025-09-24 18:37
I do think they're generally on the right track. I think as they look at formulating their policies and announcing the budget later this year, I think as a communication matter, it's important to reiterate what objectives they have for the country. You know, we are a country hovering at around 1% growth.What is our capacity. I think it's much higher. Is it one and a half. Is it two.Over what time period. How do we unleash productivity in this country. Now, we are sitting here in a hub of productivity.I'm su ...
Milei’s peso is 20% overvalued and fragile, analysts say
Fortune· 2025-09-24 00:33
阿根廷比索估值问题 - 阿根廷比索被普遍认为估值过高,巴克莱银行指出其实际有效汇率应贬值高达30%以刺激经济 [1][2] - StoneX和本地经纪商One618认为比索的高估幅度接近20% [2] - 尽管近期当局允许比索加速贬值,但分析师警告需要更大胆的贬值来平衡经济并满足与国际货币基金组织(IMF)200亿美元协议的条件 [5] 高估值对经济的负面影响 - 过强的比索导致更多阿根廷人在海外购物,知名肉类加工商进口牛肉,而牛肉本是阿根廷的标志性出口产品 [4] - 经济表现不佳,部分原因在于预算削减的拖累 [4] - 比索高估问题逐月加剧,在一个有长期贬值和违约历史的国家引发了市场紧张 [3] 汇率调整目标与政治制约 - 本地经纪商One618首席经济学家指出,IMF要求达到约100亿美元的年度经常账户盈余,这需要比索汇率达到1美元兑1650至1700比索,而周一收盘价为1408比索 [6] - StoneX分析师认为1美元兑1500至1600比索的汇率对阿根廷更为合理 [8] - 鉴于两周前在布宜诺斯艾利斯的地方选举中遭遇挫折并引发资产抛售,预计政府在10月中期选举前不会让比索进一步走弱 [8] 外部因素与市场反应 - 在美国总统特朗普与阿根廷总统米莱会晤前,阿根廷资产连续第二天上涨,比索周二升值3.8% [7] - 美元债券全线上涨,2035年到期债券上涨近2美分,交易价格高于面值的58美分 [7] - 美国财政部长承诺提供“所有稳定选项”,此举可能提振对比索的需求,但会使必要的汇率调整更难实现 [9][10]
Joby Aviation: Riding The EVTOL Narrative Rocket (NYSE:JOBY)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-24 00:12
Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY ) is yet another business with great prospects and a strong narrative that is seeing high volatile share price growth, difficult to analyze through any fundamental framework. I say " yet another business" because I am freshI am a stock analyst with over 20 years of experience in quantitative research, financial modeling, and risk management. My focus is on equity valuation, market trends, and portfolio optimization to uncover high-growth investment opportunities. As a former Vice P ...