'Big Short' investor Michael Burry is back with a bubble warning after 2 years of silence
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-01 01:25
Michael Burry of "The Big Short" fame just posted on X for the first time since April 2023. The investor said that even if there's a bubble, sometimes the "only winning move is not to play." Burry also updated his profile, doubling down on his reputation as a pessimistic forecaster. Michael Burry is back with a bang. The investor of "The Big Short" fame posted on X for the first time since April 2023 on Thursday. He shared a still from the movie of actor Christian Bale, who portrayed Burry, starin ...
Wall Street Roundup: Is This Time Really Different?
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-01 01:25
美联储政策 - 美联储降息25个基点 但内部意见高度分歧 政策制定委员会出现两张异议票 一张希望降息50个基点 另一张不希望降息 [4][5] - 美联储在通胀担忧与经济放缓担忧之间陷入两难 通胀率仍维持在3%左右 高于2%的目标 同时劳动力市场出现放缓迹象 [5][6] - 市场对12月再次降息的预期概率从超过90%降至约65% 美联储主席鲍威尔表示12月降息并非既定事实 [7] 亚马逊与劳动力市场 - 亚马逊宣布裁员14000个企业职位 有报道称最终裁员人数可能达到30000人 [6] - 劳动力市场担忧包括短期经济不确定性以及人工智能替代工人的长期结构性担忧 [8][9][10] - 公司在短期经济不确定性下严格控制劳动力成本 但裁员后可能计划用技术永久替代这些职位 [12] Meta Platforms - Meta第三季度业绩基本表现良好 但因一次性160亿美元税收支出导致底线未达预期 股价下跌约11% [20][21][22] - 公司研发费用在第三季度超过150亿美元 较第二季度的129亿美元增长36% 是自2022年元宇宙支出激增以来的最高研发成本增长 [23] - 公司指引显示2026年资本支出将比2025年显著增长 投资者担忧其支出纪律 与元宇宙投资回报不明确类似 [24][26] 谷歌与科技公司资本支出 - 谷歌母公司Alphabet财报后股价上涨2.5% 尽管同样谈论增加支出 但投资者对其支出纪律和未来盈利潜力更有信心 [25][27] - 微软等大型科技公司都在建设AI基础设施并增加资本支出 投资者关注这些支出能否最终转化为盈利能力 [24][28] 苹果公司 - 苹果公司财报后股价基本持平 当日早间曾创下新高 最新季度报告被视为稳健但不足以推动股价进一步上涨 [28][29] - 12月季度被视为更重要的财报期 因包含圣诞销售季和新iPhone推出后的完整季度表现 股东等待观察公司执行情况 [29] 卡特彼勒 - 卡特彼勒股价在财报后上涨12% 这家传统机械制造商被视为潜在的AI概念股 [30] - 公司能源和运输设备部门需求旺盛 主要受电池存储和备用发电机驱动 这些组件用于AI数据中心 [31] - 该部门第三季度收入增长17% 增速高于第二季度的7%和第一季度的下降1.7% 收入达84亿美元 超过建筑部门的67亿美元 成为公司最大收入贡献者 [31][32] 下周关注点 - Palantir将于下周初公布财报 已成为高调的AI概念股 [34] - AMD也将于下周公布财报 作为另一家芯片供应商 其业绩将提供行业参考 [34] - 由于美国政府关门达到第31天 下周将不会发布传统的就业报告 这可能导致市场在缺乏关键经济数据的情况下运作 [35][36] 英伟达与市场估值 - 英伟达市值突破5万亿美元 随后略低于该水平 该公司从4万亿美元到5万亿美元仅用了约110天 [37][38] - Meta股价下跌后表现已落后于标普500指数 而许多其他科技股和“七巨头”股票创下新高 估值担忧依然存在 [39] - 资本支出成为焦点 因许多公司投入大量资金但尚未看到明显回报 这引发了关于AI是否存在泡沫的辩论 [40]
10月制造业PMI回落 有色金属、铁路船舶航空航天行业发展信心大增 能否带动上下游?
每日经济新闻· 2025-11-01 01:24
10月31日,国家统计局公布10月份PMI(制造业采购经理指数)。 数据显示,10月份,制造业采购经理指数为49.0%,比上月下降0.8个百分点,中断8月以来的上升趋 势。 《每日经济新闻》记者(以下简称"每经记者")注意到,处于制造业上游的有色金属冶炼及压延加工, 以及处于制造业中游的铁路船舶航空航天设备等行业生产经营活动预期指数升至60.0%以上高位景气区 间。同时,农副食品加工、汽车、铁路船舶航空航天设备等行业产需两端较为活跃。 从市场及产业发展层面看,相关企业对有色金属冶炼及压延加工、铁路船舶航空航天设备行业发展信心 增强的原因是什么?这两个行业信心增强,后续可能影响哪些其他行业的生产、投资?记者就此展开采 访。 市场预期方面,10月份,制造业生产经营活动预期指数为52.8%,持续位于扩张区间,表明多数制造业 企业对市场发展预期保持乐观。 王青指出,9月末以来5000亿元新型政策性金融工具加快推进。据国家发改委,截至10月底,5000亿元 新型政策性金融工具资金已全部投放完毕,这会直接带动基建投资提速。另外,10月进一步安排5000亿 元地方政府债务结存限额,用于化解存量债务及扩大有效投资。这意味着年 ...
Tariffs are expected to start showing up more in consumer prices as holiday shopping season starts
CNBC· 2025-11-01 01:24
While the impact so far this year has been muted, tariffs are expected to catch up with prices consumers pay just in time for the holiday shopping season.President Donald Trump's tariffs on a plethora of items and individual countries, which started in April, have coincided with common inflation measures trudging along between 2.5% and 3% this year.While economists don't see a major spike coming in common measures such as the consumer price and the personal consumption price indexes, they expect the tariffs ...
Oppenheimer on Meta downgrade: Significant AI investments despite unknown revenues
Youtube· 2025-11-01 01:23
Joining me now is Jason Helstein, head of internet research at Oppenheimer. Um, so there's uncertainty around AI. We've kind of seen this before with the metaverse and meta.Uh, how much of this is kind of sentiment driven or what is missing from the meta equation that you would actually like to see. >> Sure. So the the company's basically giving you pretty um explicit commentary that spending is going up meaningfully.You can compare the adjectives used this quarter versus last quarter. But the point is the ...
LyondellBasell: Huge Earnings Beat, 12% Dividend Yield (NYSE:LYB)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-01 01:22
公司业绩 - LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) 最新财报业绩轻松超出市场预期 [1] 投资策略 - 投资策略专注于拥有强劲现金流、宽广护城河和显著持久性的企业 [1] - 在合适时机买入此类公司可能带来高回报 [1] 作者背景 - 文章作者Jonathan Weber拥有工程学位,在股市和作为自由分析师方面活跃多年 [1] - Jonathan Weber自2014年起在Seeking Alpha分享研究,主要关注价值股和收益股,偶尔覆盖成长股 [1] - Jonathan Weber是投资团体Cash Flow Club的撰稿人,该团体与Darren McCammon共同专注于公司现金流及其资本获取渠道 [1]
LyondellBasell: Huge Earnings Beat, 12% Dividend Yield
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-01 01:22
公司业绩 - LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) 近期公布的财报业绩轻松超出市场预期 [1] - 公司股息覆盖能力仍然紧张 但实际情况远好于部分市场预期 [1] 投资策略 - Cash Flow Club 投资俱乐部专注于投资具有强劲现金流产生能力的公司 理想情况下这些公司拥有宽广的护城河和显著的持久性 [1] - 在合适的时机买入此类公司可能带来丰厚回报 [1] - 投资策略核心关注公司现金流及其资本获取渠道 [1]
LIBERTY LATIN AMERICA AND LIBERTY CARIBBEAN FOUNDATION DELIVER CRITICAL HUMANITARIAN AID TO JAMAICA FOLLOWING HURRICANE MELISSA
Businesswire· 2025-11-01 01:22
DENVER, Colorado--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Just 48 hours after the devastating impact of Hurricane Melissa, Liberty Latin America Ltd. ("Liberty Latin America†or the "Company†) (NASDAQ: LILA and LILAK, OTC Link: LILAB), in partnership with the Liberty Caribbean Foundation, successfully airlifted essential humanitarian and technical supplies to support recovery efforts throughout Jamaica. A chartered X-Cargo A321 aircraft transported vital items, including potable water, non-perishable food, hygiene products, flas ...
Best ETF For The Critical Minerals Boom? Here Are Rare Earth Winners
Benzinga· 2025-11-01 01:22
A rush for critical minerals is underway, the backbone of electric vehicles, batteries and clean energy systems, with two U.S.-listed ETFs positioned in the center of it all: the VanEck Rare Earth And Strategic Metals ETF (NYSE:REMX) which is up more than 7% in the past month, and the Amplify Lithium & Battery Technology ETF (NYSE:BATT), which has gained 6% in the past month. • BATT shares are experiencing downward pressure. See what the experts say here.While both funds ride the same long-term trend of glo ...
Hong Kong Advances Digital Money Strategy as HKMA’s e-HKD Pilot Programme Enters Phase Two
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-01 01:21
The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA), with analytical support from Deloitte, has released its e-HKD Pilot Programme Phase 2 Report, offering a look into how central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and other digital money forms could reshape the city’s financial ecosystem. The report shows a pivotal transition — from physical cash to digital money powered by distributed ledger technology (DLT) — and outlines how Hong Kong is positioning itself as a global leader in digital finance, tokenisation, and nex ...