Key Takeaways Smoke-free gross profit rose 33.1% with margins topping 70%, driving shift to a smoke-free model. ZYN U.S. shipments jumped 53% to 202M cans, with full-year guidance raised to 800-840M cans. Smoke-free products now span 95 markets with nearly 38.6M adult users worldwide for PM.Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) is rapidly transforming its business model to align with the global shift toward reduced-risk products. In the first quarter of 2025, smoke-free products accounted for 44% of the c ...

dbAccess Global Consumer Conference June 3, 2025 Emmanuel Babeau Chief Financial Officer Introduction • A glossary of terms as well as adjustments, other calculations and reconciliations to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measures for non-GAAP financial measures cited in this presentation are available in Exhibit 99.2 to the company's Form 8-K dated February 6, 2025 and April 23, 2025 and on our Investor Relations website 2 Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements Strong Growth Outlook Driven by Smo ...

Philip Morris International, Inc. (NYSE:PM) dbAccess Global Consumer Conference Call June 3, 2025 5:15 AM ET Company Participants Emmanuel Babeau - CFO Conference Call Participants Damian McNeela - Deutsche Bank Damian McNeela Good morning, everybody. I think we will make a start. I've got the pleasure of welcoming Emmanuel Babeau, CFO of Philip Morris International to the stage this morning. He's been chatting with Emmanuel. He's been here from the start and this is my first time interviewing him or having ...

纪要涉及的公司和行业 - 公司：Philip Morris International（菲利普莫里斯国际公司） - 行业：烟草行业，特别是无烟烟草产品领域，包括加热不燃烧烟草产品（如IQOS）、尼古丁袋（如ZYN）和电子烟（如Vive） 核心观点和论据 公司整体业绩与增长 - **核心观点**：公司在营收、运营收入和调整后每股收益（不计外汇影响）方面有望实现强劲增长，主要得益于无烟产品组合的增长 [5]。 - **论据**：2025年第一季度，无烟产品组合的销量增长超过14%，营收有机增长超过20%，毛利润增长超过330%，毛利率提高约670个基点 [16]。公司目标是2025年实现营收有机增长6% - 8%，运营收入有机增长10.5% - 12.5%，调整后每股收益增长10.5% - 12.5%（不计外汇影响） [18]。 无烟产品组合表现 - **IQOS** - **核心观点**：IQOS在多个市场表现良好，未来有望继续增长 [6]。 - **论据**：2025年第一季度，日本市场调整后销量接近10%的增长，欧洲市场增长略高于7%，尽管受到口味禁令影响，但预计欧洲市场将逐步恢复。此外，海湾国家、印度尼西亚、墨西哥等国家以及全球旅游零售市场也为IQOS提供了增长动力 [6][7]。 - **ZYN** - **核心观点**：ZYN在2025年表现强劲，在美国和国际市场都有巨大潜力 [7]。 - **论据**：2025年第一季度，美国市场增长超过50%。公司预计随着生产加速和库存情况改善，消费者购买量将进一步加速增长。此外，ZYN在非美国和北欧市场第一季度实现了三位数增长，在奥地利、波兰、英国、瑞士、南非、巴基斯坦、菲律宾等国家以及全球旅游零售市场都有良好表现 [7][8][10][11]。 - **Vive** - **核心观点**：Vive虽不是公司首要重点，但在部分市场取得了领先地位，具有一定发展潜力 [12]。 - **论据**：Vive已在欧盟的五个市场（如意大利、捷克共和国、罗马尼亚和希腊）占据第一的位置，公司将在盈利的情况下发展该业务 [13]。 多品类战略 - **核心观点**：多品类战略是无烟产品的未来，不同产品之间相互补充，不会相互蚕食市场，反而能增强消费者对品牌的忠诚度 [13][14]。 - **论据**：公司的IQOS、ZYN和Vive三种产品已在16个市场共同推广，在全球旅游零售市场以及波兰、希腊、罗马尼亚等国家，多品类战略促进了产品的加速增长 [14][26]。 可燃烟草业务 - **核心观点**：可燃烟草业务表现良好，但市场整体呈低个位数下降趋势，公司通过提价、成本控制等措施提高了利润率 [17]。 - **论据**：过去15个月，公司可燃烟草业务实现了销量增长，但这并非新常态。预计2025年，除美国和中国外，可燃烟草市场将继续呈低个位数下降趋势。公司通过提价、降低成本和减少投入成本逆风等方式，在2024年和2025年第一季度提高了可燃烟草业务的利润率 [17][18]。 各品类市场前景 - **IQOS** - **核心观点**：IQOS在模仿吸烟体验方面具有优势，有望吸引全球10亿烟民，市场潜力巨大 [29]。 - **论据**：IQOS在加热不燃烧烟草品类中占据约75%的市场份额，能够提供丰富的烟草风味，与吸烟体验相似 [29]。 - **电子烟** - **核心观点**：电子烟有一定作用，但需要更负责任的监管 [30]。 - **论据**：过去电子烟市场存在不规范的商业和营销行为，如针对未成年人、使用高尼古丁含量和不适当的口味等。此外，电子烟的税收政策也需要进一步调整 [30][31]。 - **尼古丁袋** - **核心观点**：尼古丁袋具有改变市场格局的潜力，为消费者提供了更自由的尼古丁消费方式 [31]。 - **论据**：尼古丁袋（如ZYN）可以在任何地方消费，适合各种场景，如卡车司机、军人、办公室人员和运动员等。此外，尼古丁袋还能让消费者更好地理解尼古丁的本质，减少对尼古丁的误解 [32][34]。 其他重要但可能被忽略的内容 - **美国市场IQOS试点情况**：公司在奥斯汀和劳德代尔堡的试点测试证实，美国约有3000万烟民，其中许多居住在大城市的人对创新产品持开放态度，IQOS与这些消费者产生了强烈共鸣 [45][46]。 - **ZYN产能恢复情况**：公司预计到2025年第三季度，ZYN的库存情况将恢复正常，第二季度将开始逐步改善。2025年，ZYN将受益于消费者购买量增长和经销商补货的双重因素 [50]。 - **可燃烟草业务增长原因**：过去15个月，可燃烟草业务销量增长的原因包括部分国家年轻合法年龄人口增长、市场干扰（如埃及当地生产商产能受限）和地缘政治因素（如战争导致非法贸易减少），但这些因素都是暂时的，市场将逐渐恢复正常 [58][59][61]。 - **资本分配计划**：公司目标是到2026年底将净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润（EBITDA）的比率降至2倍左右。在实现这一目标后，公司将重新讨论股票回购问题，在此之前，董事会将考虑调整股息增长速度 [63][64]。 - **监管情况**：许多国家和地区在烟草减害方面取得了积极进展，如美国、意大利、希腊、捷克共和国、菲律宾和新西兰等，但仍有一些国家和非政府组织对无烟产品持保守态度，监管进展缓慢 [66][67][68]。

It can pay to follow billionaire fund manager Stanley Druckenmiller, who has put up phenomenal market-beating returns for decades. One of the largest positions in his Duquesne Family Office is Philip Morris International (PM 1.21%). He owns $175 million worth of the stock, first purchased in the second quarter of 2024. Since then, shares have posted a total return of more than 100% as investors have gotten excited about the company's growth with new nicotine brands that are replacing cigarettes. Here's the ...

The stock market has been choppy in 2025. Dipping and soaring seemingly each month, the S&P 500 index is basically now flat this year. Philip Morris International (PM 1.69%) has gone straight up and to the right. Shares of the international nicotine giant have posted a 50% total return so far in 2025, making it one of the best-performing large-cap stocks of the last few months and crushing the index returns.It is a heavy dividend payer and benefiting from multiple tailwinds that should drive earnings much h ...

公司战略 - 公司以标志性品牌万宝路闻名 同时致力于打造无烟未来战略 [1] - 在行业面临销量下滑 公众抵制和监管加强的背景下 公司表现突出 [1] 投资者关注点 - 投资者偏好收入 盈利和自由现金流均增长的公司 [1] - 投资者青睐具有优秀增长前景和有利估值的股票 [1] - 投资者重点关注自由现金流利润率高的稳定增长公司 以及分红股和大规模股票回购计划 [1]

A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Philip Morris (PM) . Shares have added about 3% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Philip Morris due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?It turns ...

During the first quarter, billionaire investor Philippe Laffont of Coatue Management added one of my favorite stocks to his portfolio: Philip Morris International (PM 0.73%). The tobacco company has the rare combination of being a growth stock in a defensive industry.Laffont is best known for being a tech investor, and this can be seen in the makeup of his portfolio. Among his top-10 holdings are Meta Platforms, Amazon, Taiwan Semiconductor, Microsoft, Nvidia, Spotify, and Atlassian. However, he will ventur ...

Philip Morris International Inc.’s (PM) stock has risen 6.9% since reporting first-quarter 2025 results on April 23, 2025, sparking renewed investor interest. The market’s upbeat reaction was not just about beating estimates — it was a reflection of growing confidence in the company’s long-term strategy. With strong growth in its smoke-free product segment and improved profit guidance, many investors are now wondering whether Philip Morris stock is set for a long-term uptrend.PM Trades Above 50 & 200-Day Mo ...