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The Big 3: WULF, APLD, UUUU
Youtube· 2025-10-11 01:20
It's time for the big three. Three stocks, three charts, three trades. Rick Dukat will take you through the charts.And here to take you through the trades and the names is Tim Bowen, the chief technical trader at stockstotrade. com. Great to see you both.Tim, let's start with a big picture thought on the market if we can. Obviously things changing as we speak. Uh flipping green to red here to close out the week.Uh what do you make of it. Yeah. Well, ev evidently Trump knew I was coming on and and decided to ...
AI扩散风险迫在眉睫,谷歌前CEO:防不住的危机来了?
环球网资讯· 2025-10-10 11:50
来源:环球网 【环球网科技综合报道】10月10日消息,据CNBC报道,谷歌前首席执行官埃里克·施密特日前发出强烈 警示,人工智能(AI)的扩散风险正成为亟待解决的重大问题,同时,在AI泡沫论甚嚣尘上的当下, 他对AI的未来依然充满信心。 施密特指出,人工智能存在严重的扩散风险。这种风险主要体现在技术可能落入不良行为者手中,进而 被重新利用和滥用。他举例称,无论是封闭模型还是开放模型,都存在被黑客攻击、移除防护机制的可 能。在训练过程中,AI可能学到不良行为,甚至学会如何杀人。尽管各大公司都在努力确保模型不会 回答危险问题,但仍有证据表明这些模型可以被逆向工程。 AI系统的脆弱性还体现在易受多种攻击手段的影响,如提示注入和越狱攻击。黑客可以通过隐藏恶意 指令,诱使AI分享私人数据或执行有害命令;也可以操纵AI的回应,使其无视安全规则,生成受限或 危险内容。 面对如此严峻的形势,施密特坦言,目前还没有一个有效的"防扩散机制"来遏制AI的危险。然而,他并 没有因此对AI失去信心。相反,他认为AI技术没有得到应有的关注,甚至被低估了。 在AI领域投资热潮不断、泡沫论频现的背景下,施密特的乐观态度显得尤为突出。他认为, ...
Stocks Likely to Rally Into Year-End, Says Nuveen's Malik
Youtube· 2025-10-10 04:10
POPPI. DANI: IT DOESN'T HAVE SUGAR. LORD KNOWS WHAT ELSE IS IN IT.MATT: EXPECTATIONS, NUVEEN'S SAIRA MALIK SAYS COMPANIES ARE LIKELY TO BEAT E. P. S.IN THE PRESENCE AGGREGATE DRIVEN BY TECH. I THINK WE'RE LOOKING FOR, SAIRA, ABOUT 7%, 8% IN THE THIRD QUARTER. WE'VE HAD DOUBLE-DIGIT EARNINGS GROWTH IN THE PREVIOUS COUPLE OF QUARTERS.DO YOU THINK WE'RE GOING TO GET THAT HIGH. I THINK THAT WE LIKELY WILL END THIS QUARTER WITH BEATING OUR SEASONS AGAIN. WHAT IS INTERESTING IS NORMALLY WHEN YOU GO INTO AN EARNIN ...
Dell: Re-Rating In Process, More Upside Likely, Raising My Price Target
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-09 23:10
The Information Technology sector has been the clear standout area of the S&P 500 since the market bottom six months ago. The Information Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF ( XLK ) is actually the lone outperforming sector fund since April 9. ThrowFreelance Financial Writer | Investments | Markets | Personal Finance | RetirementI create written content used in various formats including articles, blogs, emails, and social media for financial advisors and investment firms in a cost-efficient way. My passion is ...
DGRO: An Ideal Dividend ETF For Steady Retirement Income
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-09 19:33
Ever since the end of 2022, the U.S. equity market has been dominated by tech stocks, the magnificent 7 and pretty much any company that's investing in AI infrastructure.Freelance writer focused on ETFs, portfolio management and macro.To receive notifications of new articles and blog posts as soon as they're published, click on the orange Follow button and become a real-time follower.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of AAPL either through stock ownership, options, or o ...
AI isn’t in a bubble—the cash (and the hype) are real, these analysts say
Fortune· 2025-10-09 19:22
The S&P 500 hit a new all-time high Wednesday (up 0.58% on the day), driven as usual by tech stocks (the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.12%), despite the fact that both the IMF and the Bank of England warned that AI might be a bubble and stocks are due for a sharp correction.For weeks, all the talk on Wall Street is that the growth of the AI sector must, surely, be unsustainable and that this bubble is due to pop. The record-high price of gold, alone, suggests that a lot of investors want a hedge against an implos ...
2 International ETFs Your Portfolio May Be Missing
The Motley Fool· 2025-10-09 17:00
文章核心观点 - 鉴于美股估值高企 投资者可考虑通过ETF将投资组合多元化至其他地区市场 [1][2] - 欧洲国防航天板块及中国多领域科技板块为两个潜在的国际投资方向 [3] Select STOXX Europe Aerospace & Defense ETF - 该ETF将至少80%的净资产投资于收入至少一半来自航空设备制造及相关服务的欧洲公司 直接支持欧洲民用和军事防御计划 [4] - 欧洲委员会宣布ReArm Europe计划 拟投入8000亿欧元用于军事和国防开支 目标在2030年前将欧盟军费开支提升至GDP的3.5% [5] - 受此意外军费激增推动 该欧洲航空航天与国防ETF今年已飙升超过93% 且预计此大规模支出尚处于早期阶段 [7] - ETF最大持仓为空中客车公司 占基金资产超过23% 其次为德国军工企业莱茵金属和英国国防航空航天公司BAE系统 [6] iShares MSCI China Multisector Tech ETF - 该ETF追踪中国科技及科技相关行业的股票 [8] - 尽管存在监管环境不可预测及经济下行等风险 但ETF内许多公司如阿里巴巴、京东和百度已展现出强劲增长并构建了创新技术 [9][10] - 与中国本土AI股票相比 这些股票估值相对温和 随着中国官员对引入更多外资兴趣增加 估值差距可能缩小 [10][12]
全球战略报告-为何我们目前尚未处于泡沫之中-Global Strategy Paper_ Why we are not in a bubble... yet
2025-10-09 10:39
> 当前市场热度与历史泡沫有相似之处,但关键差异在于本轮上涨由基本面盈利驱动,且龙头企业资产负债表异常健康,尚未达到典型泡沫的极端估值和系统性风险水平。 涉及的行业与公司 * 行业:全球股市 特别是科技行业 重点关注人工智能领域[4] * 公司:美国大型科技公司 包括“七巨头”(Magnificent 7)——英伟达NVIDIA 微软Microsoft 苹果Apple 字母表Alphabet 亚马逊Amazon 元平台Meta Platforms 特斯拉Tesla[34] 以及主导历史泡沫时期的公司 如2000年科技泡沫时期的微软 思科Cisco Systems 英特尔Intel等[35] 核心观点与论据 当前市场状况与历史泡沫的相似之处 * 存在与以往泡沫相似的特征 包括绝对估值上升 市场集中度达到历史高位 以及出现供应商融资[4] * 首次公开募股和并购活动加速 美国新股上市首日溢价平均达到30% 为1990年代末科技泡沫以来最高水平[5] * 市场集中度极高 美国最大的5家科技公司总市值超过欧洲斯托克50指数 英国 印度 日本和加拿大股市的总和 约占全球股市总市值的16% 美国最大的10支股票(其中8支与科技相关)占全球股市近25% 总市值近25万亿美元[6] 认为当前尚不构成泡沫的关键差异 * 科技股上涨至今主要由基本面盈利增长驱动 而非对未来增长的非理性投机 科技股的盈利增长远超其他行业 自金融危机以来差距尤为明显[20] * 回报最强的领先公司拥有异常强劲的资产负债表 现金流健康 杠杆率低[98] * 人工智能领域目前由少数现有巨头主导 而大多数泡沫形成于投资者和新进入者大量涌入、竞争激烈的时期[4] * 历史泡沫通常在股价和估值 combined surge 到一定程度 以至于与创新相关的公司总价值超过其可能产生的未来潜在现金流时形成 当前科技板块估值虽已拉伸 但尚未达到历史泡沫水平[4][18] 从多维度评估估值水平 * 与过去泡沫比较:“七巨头”的24个月远期市盈率中位数为27倍 约为1990年代末最大7家公司估值的一半 日本泡沫时期的主导公司估值更高[34] * 市盈增长比率PEG Ratio:科技股的PEG比率与其他股票相当 且远低于1990年代末的水平[37] 基于历史盈利计算的PEG比率目前为1.7倍 低于2000年泡沫峰值时的3.7倍[39] * 净资产收益率与市净率ROE vs P/B:美国科技板块享有历史高位的ROE 这在一定程度上证明了高市净率的合理性 当前状况不如1999/2000年那样极端[43] * 股利贴现模型DDM:当前市场估值隐含的股息增长要求低于互联网泡沫顶峰时期[47] 当前科技公司表现更多由盈利驱动 而2000年初科技公司表现更受估值扩张影响[49] 市场集中度与投资风险 * 市场集中度已达到创纪录水平 美国前10大公司占全球股市近四分之一 但这本身并不等同于泡沫 历史上主导行业曾长期维持领先地位[63][65][66] * 领先科技公司的资本支出自ChatGPT出现以来迅速增加 但大部分由自由现金流而非债务融资 资产负债表依然异常强劲[86][98] * 信贷策略师指出 随着现金储备减少 大型科技公司有转向债务融资的趋势 2025年迄今人工智能相关篮子公司的公司信贷发行量已达1410亿美元 超过2024年全年的1270亿美元[104][106] * 若投资者对人工智能主题失去信心 由于私营部门资产负债表相对健康 杠杆率较低 银行资产负债表强劲 出现经济范围影响的风险较小[109] 其他重要内容 * 历史案例研究:报告列举了多个历史泡沫案例 如1630年代荷兰郁金香狂热 1790年代英国运河狂热 1840年代英国铁路泡沫 1990年代全球科技泡沫 2007年美国住房/银行业泡沫等 并分析了其共同模式[9][12] * 投资建议:鉴于高风险和市场集中度 建议投资者关注多元化策略 包括区域多元化(非美股市表现相近或更优) 因子多元化(增长与价值风格机会拓宽) 以及行业多元化(AI发展将惠及能源 资源 资本货物等物理基础设施领域)[110][112]
Kimco Realty: Fundamentals Are Strong, But Valuation Limits Upside (For Now) (NYSE:KIM)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-09 09:51
Since covering them back in August , Kimco Realty (NYSE: KIM ) is now back almost to the same level despite some positive developments that could potentially warrant a better valuation.As of 2025, I've got over 10 years of researching companies. In total, throughout my investing life, I estimate that I researched (in depth) well over 1000 companies, from commodities like oil, natural gas, gold and copper to tech like Google or Nokia and many emerging market stocks, which I believe could help me provide usef ...
Top trends shaping the future of finance—AI, agility, and proactive leadership are in the spotlight
Fortune· 2025-10-08 21:21
Good morning. How are finance leaders preparing their teams to meet today’s complexities and build for the future? Deloitte’s inaugural Finance Trends report draws on a global survey of 1,326 finance leaders—mostly CFOs or next-in-line finance chiefs from companies with annual revenues above $1 billion—and interviews with nine global finance executives.Along with an in-depth analysis of the survey data, the report explains the top five finance trends through 2026, identified by respondents and interviewees: ...