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存储市场更新:宏观与企业层面观点分歧,关注三季度业绩;近期盈利确定性有望缓解担忧Memory Market Update-Perplexing top-down vs bottom-up view; Thoughts into 3Q earnings; NT earnings conviction to calm fears
2026-10-21 18:39
J P M O R G A N Asia Pacific Equity Research 20 October 2026 Memory Market Update Perplexing top-down vs bottom-up view; Thoughts into 3Q earnings; NT earnings conviction to calm fears • Global top three memory shares are down -42% from the 2026 peak; what are the share prices pricing-in? Memory shares (SEC/SKH/MU) have dropped sharply (down 42% from recent peaks in September on average), likely on negative macro developments such as softer-than-expected Frontier AI model lab annual-revenue-runrate trend (l ...
亚洲科技展望:科技周期与行业动态更新-存储、HBM、热压键合、MLCC及苹果供应链-Asia Technology Outlook_ Tech cycle and dynamics update_ Memory_HBM_TCB_MLCC_AAPL SC. Wed Sep 23 2026
2026-10-21 18:38
8 Asia Pacific Equity Research September 2026 This material is neither intended to be distributed to Mainland China investors nor to provide securities investment consultancy services within the territory of Mainland China. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. Asia Technology Outlook Jay Kwon AC +82 2 758 5725 jay.h.kwon@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities (Far East) Limited, Seoul Branch See the end pages of this present ...
中国科技与消费电子:存储行业已进入新阶段-China Technology Consumer electronics_ Memory has moved on
2026-10-21 18:37
30 September 2026 China Technology Equities Consumer electronics: Memory has moved on China Hope amid hard times. This report looks at what component shortages and higher memory prices mean for the economics of the smartphone market. The key message is that while average selling prices have jumped as costs surged, handset makers don't need memory prices to fall to recover. Any slowdown in AI-driven memory price inflation could be enough for margins to improve before shipments start to increase. Stabilisatio ...
硬件与网络设备-数据中心观察9月代币支出加速GPU租赁与内存现货价格走势分化-Data Center Watch Token Spend Accelerates While GPU Rental and Memory Spot Pricing Track More Mixed in September
2026-10-21 18:37
J P M O R G A N North America Equity Research 29 September 2026 Hardware & Networking Data Center Watch: Token Spend Accelerates While GPU Rental and Memory Spot Pricing Track More Mixed in September In the Data Center Watch report, we outline key data points relevant to AI infrastructure demand, including LLM token volumes and prices, GPU rental prices, and memory costs. Taken together, the latest data on LLM token spend growth suggest AI infrastructure demand remains strong, but pricing signals from GPU r ...
全球存储技术:J形周期之后-美光与三星、SK海力士的竞争,以及强劲出口表现-Global Memory Tech-Weekly theme post J-curve cycle, Micron vs SamsungHynix, strong exports
2026-10-21 18:37
Accessible version Global Memory Tech Weekly theme: post J-curve cycle, Micron vs Samsung/Hynix, strong exports Industry Overview Moving beyond J-curve, with no hard landing We believe the memory cycle will move beyond the J-shaped phase of sequential growth as of 4Q26. This is consistent with Micron's recent results and new guidance: sales rose 31% QoQ in the Aug'26 quarter, vs 74% in the May'26 quarter, and are guided to rise only 13.5% in the Nov'26 quarter. This trend may be used for the bearish thesis ...
半导体周报:设备企业业绩观点与8月SIA数据Semiconductors-Weekly SPE Earnings Thoughts & August SIA
2026-10-21 18:37
October 5, 2026 06:36 AM GMT Semiconductors | North America Weekly: SPE Earnings Thoughts & August SIA SPE likely to show significant strength around these prints. Separately, August SIA was stronger than expected overall, with broad markets softer than expected and memory still supported by tight supply and resilient pricing. Get ready for BIG SPE prints. The industry is blowing past both demand (cleanroom) and supply (supply chain) constraints. We expect beats and raises across the majority of our U.S. SP ...
全球存储月报(9月):三季度价格环比上涨约20%,四季度或再涨百分之十几-Global Memory MEMORY TRACKER (Sep)_ ~20% price hike QoQ,in 3Q, & perhaps teens% in 4Q
2026-10-21 18:37
纪要 关注公众亏:水木纪要 6 October 2026 Global Memorv MEMORY TRACKER (Sep): ~20% price hike QoQ,in 3Q, & perhaps teens% in 4Q Mark Li +852 2123 2645 mark.li@bernsteinsg.com Mark C. Newman +1 212 845 7822 mark.newman@bernsteinsg.com Edward Hou. CFA +852 2123 2623 edward.hou@bernsteinsg.com Yipin Cai. CFA +852 2123 266 vipin.cai@be This monthly tracker (download dataset here) summarizes contract/spot price data released by TrendForce/DRAMeXchange & compares that with our model & investor expectations. DRAM: Sep contract ...
存储:普通周期与超级周期之比较-Tech Bytes-Memory – Cycles vs. Super Cycles
2026-10-21 18:37
October 11, 2026 09:42 PM GMT Tech Bytes | Asia Pacific M Idea Memory – Cycles vs. Super Cycles Cindy.Huang@morganstanley.com +44 20 7425-2915 Memory investing is less about pinpointing inflections or identifying data points – but it's about the market rewarding those who priced it first. AI is a compute problem, a memory problem, hence structurally different. In the later stages, however, still cyclical and reward is harder to come. Fundamentals look bulletproof but a more cautious tale for stocks. The AI ...
全球存储行业:高性能NAND有望突破AI“内存墙”,并显著节省资本开支-Global Technology_ Semiconductors - Memory_ High-performance NAND could help crumble the AI _memory wall_ while driving meaningful CapEx savings
2026-10-21 18:36
12 October 2026 | 5:00AM EDT Equity Research GLOBAL TECHNOLOGY: SEMICONDUCTORS - MEMORY High-performance NAND could help crumble the AI "memory wall" while driving meaningful CapEx savings Key stock takeaways: We view emerging high-performance NAND-based solutions - including High-Bandwidth Flash (HBF) - as promising tools to address a worsening memory constraint in AI inference. We see a potential TAM of ~$40 - $150B at a GPU adoption rate of 15%-50% by 2030 given the rapid proliferation of read-heavy and ...
半导体:SEMICON West 2026:行业前景更加明朗,维持看好_ Semiconductors_ SEMICON West 2026 - Remain bullish on group as industry visibility continues to extend
2026-10-21 18:36
We attended the SEMICON West Conference in San Francisco, California on October 13-14 and met with Applied Materials, Lam Research, Teradyne, Camtek, Onto Innovation, MKS Instruments, and a variety of other companies across the industry. Overall, we came away from the event with an incrementally positive view on WFE growth for 2027 and 2028 - consistent with our recent WFE outlook. We highlight key industry takeaways, along with company-specific takeaways below: WFE trends: Although companies avoided giving ...