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高盛宏观:五大要点解读
高盛· 2025-06-09 13:29
澳⼤利亚和印度尼西亚今⽇假期 US and China set for trade talks in London today (9 June) Reuters 市场洞察 - 重点报道 --- Market Insights - Marquee Market Insights | Markets | Asia 市场洞察 | 市场 | 亚洲 GS Macro: Five things you need to know ⾼盛宏观:五⼤要点解读 Good morning and hope you had a great weekend 早上好,希望您度过了⼀个愉快的周末 Holidays in Australia and Indonesia today 美国和中国定于今⽇(6 ⽉ 9 ⽇)在伦敦举⾏贸易谈判 路透社 Five things you need to know: 五件你需要知道的事: 1/ GS Weekend – thought leader views and macro webcast 1/ ⾼盛周末——思想领袖观点及宏观⽹络研讨会 2/ EUR – revising our forecast h ...
高盛:中国机械实地调研要点-政策驱动下的国内分化;出口与电动化成为关注焦点
高盛· 2025-06-09 13:29
Nick Zheng, CFA +852-2978-1405 | nick.zheng@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. 8 June 2025 | 9:00PM HKT China Machinery Field trip takeaways: domestic divergence driven by policy; exports and electrification in focus We visited machinery companies Sany Heavy, Volvo CE (VOLVb.ST, Buy on CL, Covered by our Europe industrials analyst Daniela Costa), Weichai Power, Sinotruk and Foton (600166.SS, Not Covered); and industry consultant Off-Highway Research (OHR), as part of our China Industrials trip together with ...
高盛:台湾科技行业前瞻-ASIC 人工智能服务器出货量高预期
高盛· 2025-06-09 13:29
9 June 2025 | 2:01AM HKT Taiwan Technology: Monthly revenues preview on Chenbro, Auras, E Ink; ASIC AI servers / e-papers to drive growth; FX affects 2Q25 We preview Chenbro, Auras, and E Ink monthly revenues in this report. Chenbro: May revenues miss on FX, while new rack products (noise-cancellation racks) to support 3Q25 revenues. Auras: May revenues declined 20% MoM due to FX impact and production sites diversification, while rising liquid cooling adoption rate and expansion from GPU AI servers to ASIC ...
高盛:中国外汇-贸易紧张缓和后人民币升值倾向
高盛· 2025-06-09 13:29
8 June 2025 | 5:43PM HKT China FX/Rates Monitor: CNY Appreciation Bias Post Trade De-escalation (Chen/Suwanapruti) Our monitor tracks the latest developments and identifies key indicators for China FX and rates, including valuations/policy stance, technicals, flows, and fundamentals. Below we summarize our key takeaways on the China FX and rates markets. Andrew Tilton +852-2978-1802 | andrew.tilton@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Hui Shan +852-2978-6634 | hui.shan@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Danny ...
勤诚兴业:台湾科技:对勤诚、奥拉斯、元太的月度收入预览;ASIC AI服务器/电子纸推动增长;外汇影响2Q25-20250609
高盛· 2025-06-09 09:55
9 June 2025 | 2:01AM HKT Taiwan Technology: Monthly revenues preview on Chenbro, Auras, E Ink; ASIC AI servers / e-papers to drive growth; FX affects 2Q25 Chenbro May revenues declined by 7% MoM to NT$1.8bn, or 12% behind our estimates. The sequential decline is mainly caused by high base and FX impact, while the rising AI servers (HGX, MGX, and ASIC), and general servers new product cycle continue to support the company's growth. For coming months, we expect June revenues to stay at similar level as May, a ...
高盛:信达生物-2025 年美国临床肿瘤学会(ASCO)会议观点
高盛· 2025-06-09 09:42
5 June 2025 | 12:27AM HKT Innovent Biologics (1801.HK): ASCO 2025 take: Encouraging survival benefit of IBI363; Better understanding of POC hinges on RCT data As noted in our previous ASCO2025 notes (preview, abstract takeaway), Innovent orally presented the updated ph1 data of IBI363 (PD-1/IL-2α-bias BsAb) in NSCLC, CRC, and melanoma, which we view as incrementally positive for ORR/PFS compared to abstract, with particular highlight on the encouraging survival benefit (OS data debut) in IO-treated squamous ...
高盛:中国基础材料-中国大宗商品 -更新盈利预期
高盛· 2025-06-09 09:42
6 June 2025 | 8:12PM HKT China Basic Materials China commodities: Refreshing earnings estimates Trina Chen +852-2978-2678 | trina.chen@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Joy Zhang +852-2978-6545 | joy.x.zhang@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Roy Shi +852-2978-0110 | roy.shi@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Fiona Ye +852-2978-0680 | fiona.ye@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Daisy Dai +852-2978-7904 | daisy.dai@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. We refresh our earnings estimates for our China commoditie ...
高盛:财政风险如何影响美元
高盛· 2025-06-09 09:42
6 June 2025 | 10:11AM EDT Global Markets Daily: How Fiscal Risks Could Impact the Dollar (Rosenberg/Jenkins) How Fiscal Risks Could Impact the Dollar Fiscal sustainability has come into greater focus for investors, not only in the US, but in the UK and Japan as well. The timing of the budget process has led markets to focus on the US's large and persistent deficit at a time when investors were already eyeing the durability of foreign demand for US assets. This has led to some brief but sharp dislocations be ...
高盛:美国-剖析股票市场对经济增长的定价
高盛· 2025-06-09 09:42
6 June 2025 | 4:47PM EDT US Weekly Kickstart Dissecting the equity market's pricing of economic growth David J. Kostin +1(212)902-6781 | david.kostin@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Ben Snider +1(212)357-1744 | ben.snider@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Ryan Hammond +1(212)902-5625 | ryan.hammond@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Jenny Ma +1(212)357-5775 | jenny.ma@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Daniel Chavez +1(212)357-7657 | daniel.chavez@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Kartik Jayachandran +1(212)855-7744 | kar ...
Costco Wholesale:好市多批发公司(COST):5月销售额低于预期,客流量放缓-20250607
高盛· 2025-06-07 12:30
报告公司投资评级 - 对Costco Wholesale(COST)的评级为买入(Buy),12个月目标价为1133美元,基于风险回报框架,下行/基础/上行相对市盈率倍数为240%/260%/265% [9] 报告的核心观点 - 5月销售低于预期,客流量减速,全球同店销售(不包括汽油/外汇)为+6.0%,低于市场共识的+6.2%,且较4月的+6.7%有所减速,美国同店销售(不包括汽油)为+5.5%,低于市场共识的+6.4%,且较4月的+7.1%有所减速 [1] - 全球和美国客流量均减速,全球客流量在5月降至+3.4%,美国客流量降至+2.8% [2] - 各品类表现不一,生鲜、食品杂货、非食品类有不同程度增长,附属业务有不同程度下降 [8] 根据相关目录分别进行总结 销售情况 - 5月全球同店销售(不包括汽油/外汇)为+6.0%,低于市场共识的+6.2%,且较4月的+6.7%有所减速,美国同店销售(不包括汽油)为+5.5%,低于市场共识的+6.4%,且较4月的+7.1%有所减速,5月业务的同业竞争负面影响约为70个基点 [1] 客流量与客单价 - 全球客流量在5月降至+3.4%,美国客流量降至+2.8%,全球整体客单价(不包括汽油/外汇)估计增长+2.6%,美国客单价(不包括汽油)约高出+2.7% [2] 品类表现 - 生鲜业务增长强劲,肉类和烘焙食品表现突出,食品杂货业务增长中至高个位数,受冷饮、糖果和冷冻食品推动,非食品类业务增长中个位数,珠宝、大件商品和礼品卡表现强劲,附属业务下降低至中个位数,药房、光学和助听器表现较好 [8] 估值与预测 - 给予COST买入评级,12个月目标价为1133美元,当前股价为1055.59美元,上行空间为7.3%,还给出了不同时间的营收、EBITDA、EBIT、EPS、P/E、EV/EBITDA、FCF收益率、股息收益率、净债务/EBITDA等指标预测 [9][10] 因子分析 - 高盛因子分析通过将关键属性与市场和行业同行进行比较,为股票提供投资背景,关键属性包括增长、财务回报、倍数和综合指标 [13] 并购排名 - 对股票进行并购框架分析,将公司分为1 - 3级,COST的并购排名为3,代表被收购的可能性较低(0% - 15%) [15] 评级与覆盖范围 - 分析师将股票推荐为买入或卖出,未被指定为买入或卖出的股票被视为中性,还说明了总回报潜力、价格目标等相关定义 [29]