HubSpot (NYSE:HUBS) 2025 Conference September 10, 2025 03:25 PM ET Company ParticipantsGabriela Borges - MD - Software Equity ResearchYamini Rangan - CEO & DirectorGabriela BorgesAll right, fantastic. We will go ahead and kick it off. It's a real pleasure to welcome Yamini Rangan back on stage with me, CEO of HubSpot, particularly after the massive success of Inbound last week.Yamini RanganYeah.Gabriela BorgesThank you so much for joining us.Yamini RanganThank you, Gabriela. It's always a pleasure to come b ...

Flywire (NasdaqGS:FLYW) Conference September 10, 2025 03:25 PM ET Company ParticipantsWill Nance - VP of Equity ResearchCosmin Pitigoi - CFOWill NanceAll right. We're getting started with the next session. We're very excited to have Cosmin, the CFO of Flywire, here. I'm not going to try to pronounce your last name, although I think I could probably do it if I tried. Cosmin stepped into the role of CFO in 2024, and we're delighted to have you at the conference again. What, how many years running now? One, Tw ...

[角色] 你是一名拥有10年投资银行从业经验的资深研究分析师，专门负责上市公司、行业研究。你擅长解读公司财报、行业动态、宏观市场，发现潜在的投资机会和风险。 [任务] 你需要仔细研读一份上市公司或者行业研究的电话会议记录，请阅读全文，一步一步思考，总结全文列出关键要点，不要错过任何信息，包括： * 纪要涉及的行业或者公司 * 纪要提到的核心观点和论据 * 其他重要但是可能被忽略的内容 如果没有相关内容，请跳过这一部分，进行其他的部分。 总结时要全面、详细、尽可能覆盖全部的内容、不遗漏重点,并根据上述方面对内容进行分组。 要引用原文数字数据和百分比变化,注意单位换算(billion=十亿,million=百万,thousand=千)。 [注意事项] 1) 使用中文,不要出现句号 2) 采用markdown格式 3) 不使用第一人称,以"公司"、"行业"代替 4) 只输出关于公司和行业的内容 5) 在每一个关键点后用[序号]形式引用原文档id 6) 一个[序号]只应该包含一个数字，不能包含多个，如果多个就用[序号][序号]分开写，不要写成 [序号-序号] 7) 每个关键要点后边的 [序号] 不要超过 3 个 Content: --------- <doc id='1'>Biostem (OTCPK:BSEM) FY Conference September 10, 2025 03:20 PM ET Speaker1 Let's kick off. I'm Dennis Keller, Vice President with Morgan Stanley. Happy to be hosting BioStem Technologies with us today. Jason Matuszewski, CEO. Before we dive in, I just want to note for important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley Research Disclosure website, MorganStanley.com, Research Disclosures. If you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales rep. With that, let's get started. Thanks for being here, Jason. With some investors maybe not up to speed on the company, can you spend the first minute or two just giving us a quick overview of the company and your core technology?</doc> <doc id='2'>Speaker0 Sure. First and foremost, thank you, Dennis, for having us here. I really appreciate the first opportunity to speak at the Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference. Great opportunity. BioStem Technologies, we are a profitable medtech company focused in advanced wound care. Our core technology is BioREtain®. It's a proprietary technology that we process placental-based tissue allografts for the advanced wound care space, specifically looking at treating diabetic foot ulcers, pressure ulcers, and venous leg ulcers. This patient population is roughly about 7 million Medicare beneficiaries and a total market of about $11.3 billion in the advanced wound care space.</doc> <doc id='3'>Speaker1 Great. What is the BioREtain® process exactly, and how would you compare it to alternatives in the market? Speaker0 Yeah, I think, you know, it's definitely differentiated. We've published some real-world data so far on the BioREtain® process. We actually retain a large portion of the natural elements of the tissue, including the extracellular matrix, some of the growth factors and cytokines that are naturally found in placental-based tissue. As I mentioned earlier, our real-world data demonstrated that we, with the BioREtain® process, these allografts have supported a less number of applications to close a wound as well as less time to close a wound.</doc> <doc id='4'>Speaker1 Can you help us understand how you think about the addressable market today with the existing portfolio, and how that could expand over time as products get developed? Speaker0 Yeah, I think, you know, right now it's, call it the wound biologics TAM is roughly about $11.3 billion in the advanced wound care space. I think when we look at other areas of focus for BioStem, we're looking at areas like the hospital outpatient, surgical, OR suites, and things of that area where we could actually focus on leveraging our core technology of BioREtain® to those areas, as well as looking at synergistic M&A opportunities to target those areas as well.</doc> <doc id='5'>Speaker1 Help us understand the clinical data portfolio of the company, kind of key highlights from the clinical trial data set at this point.</doc> <doc id='6'>Speaker0 Yeah. Right now we're actively running three RCTs. We just finished enrollment in our first diabetic foot ulcer study, with roughly 72 patients enrolled across 10 sites. We're looking to report out data on that diabetic foot ulcer study later this year. We're also enrolling patients in two additional studies, one in the venous leg ulcer space, same number of sites, roughly about 10, and similar patient population size, about 60 patients. A secondary diabetic foot ulcer study on our AmnioWrap2â"¢, our BRAM trial, is just solely focusing on the amnion layer of the placenta. Similar size trial, roughly 60 patients across 10 sites. The last two trials we're aiming to get readouts kind of the mid to beginning of mid to next year on those two trials.</doc> <doc id='7'>Speaker1 Great. I guess pivoting to the partnership with Venture Medical, it's been a key driver for the business. Can you help us understand kind of just at a high level what the partnership brings and how we should think about the partnership on a go-forward basis? Speaker0 Yeah, I think the partnership has been instrumental in our growth. Definitely a story from, you know, 2022 to 2024. 2023 was roughly about $16.9 million top line revenue, 2024 over $300 million. We entered into that partnership with Venture Medical in late 2023. The partnership really represented both their recognition of our BioREtain® process and the product portfolio, and they really realized that this is a differentiated product line for the advanced wound care market.</doc> <doc id='8'>What we saw in Venture Medical is they've developed a software platform called OneView, and we felt that that was a really amazing platform to support providers not only from a compliance perspective, but also from a cash flow management perspective on managing where claims are and how to appropriately process those claims and really help and support those providers, especially when we're talking about their core focus in the mobile wound care segment as well as physician office segment. Those are areas where they're smaller groups, right? They're not institutionalized hospitals, large organizations where they have the infrastructure to support that cash flow management side of the business as well as the compliance side. I think it was a really good synergistic opportunity between both groups. We kicked off with over 100 FTEs into the field on day one.</doc> <doc id='9'>The opportunity to really scale very quickly with the commercial team on day one was a great opportunity. They came over from an existing product line as well, a placental-based tissue product line. It was a quick study for their reps and their team to get out and go to work, and that's kind of what's led to the success of late 2023 and into 2024 and what it is today.</doc> <doc id='10'>Speaker1 Excellent. As you think about your commercial strategy on a go-forward basis, what are the puts and takes relative to going direct versus your distribution channel? Speaker0 Yeah, I mean, I think, you know, obviously, which we haven't really got to yet is some of the headwinds around reimbursement and some of those struggles, or opportunities, I should say, coming forward. I think when we look at the model with Venture Medical and the opportunity that we've had in an exclusive partnership to really capitalize on the mobile wound care segment, physician office segment, you know, as we go into 2026, I think some things may change in regards to how we look at commercializing the product. You know, we are looking to internalize some of the commercial team on the core focus in hospital, OR, and into the federal space, so VADOD. I think the hybrid model where Venture has really demonstrated their knowledge and success in the mobile wound care segment will continue to leverage that partnership and continue to hopefully flourish.</doc> <doc id='11'>Speaker1 Now, a good segue to reimbursement. You've got proposed changes to CMS or PPS fee schedule, which were published in mid-July for skin substitutes. Some uncertainty around the final pricing for the products. What will the competitive landscape kind of look like moving forward? Can you share your perspectives on what these changes mean for you short term and maybe medium term from a market opportunity perspective? Speaker0 Yeah, sadly, we only have 27 minutes left. It's a long topic for sure. It's somewhat contested. There's a lot of changes potentially coming up. I think ultimately, I think these are good changes, right? I think this administration, along with leadership at CMS and HHS and even, frankly, even in the medical community, KOLs in the space like Dr. Bill Pettibuck and others have really kind of called out and said, "Look, there needs to be reform here." I think we have a runaway spend specifically utilizing the ASP plus six methodology that products are being priced at in the physician office and mobile wound care space, which aren't really tied to the</doc> <doc id='12'>payment structure that we find in HOPD and ASC, where it's a bucketed rate, right? This new OPPS and PFS, physician fee schedule, and outpatient physician fee schedule, are trying to align those things.</doc> <doc id='13'>We have a kind of continuous payment methodology for product across all sites of service. Looking at where we end up with specific placement reimbursement outside of product, it kind of gleans towards more of the traditional pass-through methodology that you've probably seen in the past. I think it's going to hopefully normalize this industry. I know wound care has been a struggle on ever-changing dynamics around reimbursement. I'm hopeful that ultimately we see a normalization past 2026. I am a little concerned about the low initial price that they propose, about $125. I think that ends up being a challenge for mobile wound care providers to service patients that have an underserved community or rural areas where they don't have access to get into a clinic and need that mobile wound care provider to get out to them and treat their wound.</doc> <doc id='14'>I'm hopeful that we see a price increase from that $125 number. We'll be actively commenting through the comment process. I think it ends on the 12th, so near term here. Hopeful to see what the outcome is in November as well on the final price for effective January 2026.</doc> <doc id='15'>Speaker1 As that process kind of moves forward, can you help us think through milestones such as clinical data and where you could have kind of more visibility for reimbursement that could come into effect at that time? Speaker0 Yeah, I mean, I think for us, we're in a new position, right? Because we do have clinical data coming out back half of this year. I think that will help substantiate our differentiation in the marketplace and say to folks, "Hey, we are a leader in this space, right? We're committed to this space. We're committed to investing in the clinical trial to demonstrate the purity of our product." I'm hopeful that driving that clinical data along with other initiatives creates more of a long-term initiative for our organization.</doc> <doc id='16'>Speaker1 Great. I guess pivoting to the business in the first half of 2025, you reported $121.8 million in revenue, which is up 5% year on year. Can you break down kind of the growth drivers in terms of expanding accounts, driving higher utilization with your existing users? Speaker0 Yeah, a combination of both. I think we saw some good utilization within the existing accounts. Frankly, looking to expand into areas geographically, you know, Venture Medical is kind of core to the West Coast, west of the Mississippi. We're looking to target some of the east marketplace for these products. Really trying to partner with more sophisticated long-term partnership as we bridge from this ASP plus six methodology into the new methodology and really looking for mobile wound care providers, specifically on the Venture side, as well as physician office folks that want to be here long term. It would be great partners that really value the technology and value how BioREtain® supports their patients in closing wounds. We're looking forward to seeing where that growth goes and continues to grow.</doc> <doc id='17'>I think there's other opportunities for us, specifically from a growth driver perspective, that come where maybe M&A opportunities come along or other areas to diversify into other segments, like I alluded to earlier in the hospital outpatient and the OR space.</doc> <doc id='18'>Speaker1 If you think about your current product suite and some of the selling points that are most attractive to the clinical community, could you walk through some of those? Speaker0 Sorry, can you ask? Speaker1</doc> <doc id='19'>Yeah, some of the selling points of the products that are most attractive to the clinical community.</doc> <doc id='20'>Speaker0 Yeah, I mean, obviously the BioREtain® process is definitely very attractive to them. I think what they've seen, at least initially on the real-world data, like I kind of alluded to earlier about less number of applications and quicker time to heal on very hard-to-heal wounds, that's very attractive to providers that really want to utilize a product that's going to get some of these hard-to-heal wounds. I think even frankly, you know, it's great to hear testimonials from providers that say, "Hey, I've been using a synthetic product or another competitor product. I've been trying to treat this patient. You know, we're going on 12 months, 18 months. We still have not gotten this wound closed. And we were able to use your product in three or four applications to get the wound closed, right?" It's extremely satisfying and gratifying in a way, right, to hear that.</doc> <doc id='21'>Yeah, it's kind of cool.</doc> <doc id='22'>Speaker1 Yeah, it seems like if you had those kind of referenceable proof points, you'd use those with the next center and kind of get the keeps giving.</doc> <doc id='23'>Speaker0 Yeah, and I think I hope, you know, going forward, at least, you know, with the readout of the RCT, that will also be more of a validating point, right? Some of these real-world data sets or real-world data patients aren't as compliant as when you're running a clinical trial, right? Getting a patient to be compliant is some of the biggest challenge in wound care, right? Getting a patient to come in, offload, do some of the things that are necessary for a proper blood flow and making sure that they're not continuing to propagate a wound. When you're in a more rigorous clinical trial, it's a lot easier to kind of hold some of those variables a little closer.</doc> <doc id='24'>Speaker1 even for the diabetic foot ulcer and the venous leg ulcers? Speaker0 Yeah, absolutely. Absolutely.</doc> <doc id='25'>Speaker1 Interesting. I guess stepping back, can you help us think through the growth trajectory over the next few years? Speaker0 Yeah.</doc> <doc id='26'>Speaker1 As a company? Speaker0 I think obviously going into 2026, we'll kind of have a reset based on the framework of reimbursement. I think that will also lend itself to really get some clarity around what does growth look like over the next four to six years. I think for us, we'll continue to kind of drive adoption of our existing BioREtain® platform in the mobile wound care space, hospital outpatient space, look to start getting involved onto GPO agreements, IDN agreements into the hospital setting, and look at other sites of service within, or frankly, call points within the hospital system, not so focused in chronic wound, but more gravitating to some of the acute wound space as well. I think there's a lot of M&A opportunities within this space as well.</doc> <doc id='27'>I think values are suppressed and some really nice targets that will kind of expand what I always say is the continuum of care, areas where we don't have a product that touches a patient across that value stream, and</doc> <doc id='28'>where we are currently kind of at the end of that continuum of care where all these other products didn't work on that patient and were a product of last resort. It'd be great to have an opportunity to expand our product portfolio and be able to service a patient on day one and hopefully on day wound closure.</doc> <doc id='29'>Speaker1 Really exciting. How would you evaluate where you are at from a market share perspective now, and then where you expect that to go over time? Speaker0 Yeah, no, it's a great question. I mean, as I kind of alluded to, it's $10.3 billion. It's a very large market. We delivered just over $300 million last year, so somewhat small and diminished, I guess, in the overall market opportunity. I think, like I said, we'll see how things suss out, you know, moving forward from 2026 and how that changes not only the TAM, but also, you know, who's left and who's interested in being a long-term player in this space. We'll continue to try to drive the BioREtain® message and, as I alluded to, getting into the hospital and things of that nature hopefully drives that as well.</doc> <doc id='30'>Speaker1 I guess if you look at it slightly differently, how many relevant accounts are out there, and how do you expect to kind of incrementally penetrate those accounts over time, recognizing the backdrop? Speaker0 I think ultimately, as I kind of alluded to, there's roughly about 7 million Medicare patients out there with a chronic wound. That number is growing exponentially as well. The problem isn't going away. I think when we look at how many patients we ultimately are not currently addressing right now just due to the market dynamics of high ASP products and other things, I think there's still a decent amount of market opportunity in the mobile wound care physician

**公司：伊士曼化学公司 (Eastman Chemical Company, NYSE:EMN)** [1] **核心观点与论据** **当前业务状况与季度展望** * 消费者和客户信心因经济和贸易环境而持续承压 订单可见性仅为几周 远低于正常环境下约六周的水平 客户采购模式转变为更频繁地购买更小批量[2] * 汽车终端市场表现优于预期 第三季度表现与上半年相似 耐用品市场滞后于预期 建筑与施工市场在低水平上保持稳定[3] * 化学中间体利润率可能略低于预期 公司正采取成本行动以抵消需求和利润差的影响[3][4] * 预计第三季度每股收益将略低于约1.25美元 第四季度预计将略低于第三季度的预期[4][5] * 公司正加倍努力确保成本行动不仅能完全抵消通胀 还能带来7500万美元的净收益 并采取短期行动以抵消需求减少的影响[6] * 公司已将重点转向现金流 目标是今年实现10亿美元的经营现金流[6][13] **终端市场动态** * 耐用品销售与建筑和施工以及现房销售有很强的关联性 房屋买卖带来的装修和升级（如小家电）驱动需求[8] * 法院关于关税的裁决增加了不确定性 导致供应链优化和库存管理决策的变化[9] * 在创新驱动增长的战略下 公司在特种材料领域的销量和产品组合增长优于同行 例如通过从PET到共聚酯再到Tritan Renew的产品升级[10] * 公司选择在化学中间体领域放弃部分低价值应用的产量 例如关闭新加坡工厂和剥离德克萨斯城工厂[11] **现金流与成本管理** * 公司仍专注于实现10亿美元的经营现金流目标 并采取一切必要行动[13] * 库存正常化和资产利用率降低的行动预计在2025年底基本完成 库存天数（DIO）预计从年中的约105天降至接近90天[14] * 库存行动在2025年下半年带来7500万至1亿美元的影响 在2026年环境下 预计至少能带来5000万美元的改善（若需求处于下半年水平） 若需求处于上半年水平 改善可能接近1亿美元[14] * 公司正在实施另外7500万至1亿美元的成本行动（超出通胀部分） 重点在运营纪律、第三方采购、间接材料、MRO以及优化承包商合作伙伴关系[15] * 公司利用其全球ERP系统平台 将其转化为高效流程[16] **2026年展望与细分市场** * 在成本节约和库存正常化的背景下 预计先进材料业务将实现同比增长 得益于甲醇分解投资和耐用品增长[19] * 包装领域势头加速 该业务也将从利用率和固定成本行动中获益 该部门可能接近2024年的EBIT水平[20] * 添加剂与功能产品业务在稳定终端市场（约占三分之二）背景下 预计将保持稳定并实现同比增长[20] * 化学中间体业务70%暴露于北美 受天然气和NGLs影响 公司拥有全球较低的成本地位 关税澄清和全球产能退出可能最终稳定并改善定价 利润率应从略低的起点开始改善[21] * 纤维业务在2025年约40%的影响与纺织品业务相关 受贸易和关税影响 预计约2000万美元 另外约2000万美元与下游利用率影响相关 天然气成本转嫁合同带来1000万至2000万美元的逆风[35] * 预计2026年醋酸丝束业务受去库存的影响将减少 亚洲新增产能已被市场完全吸收[36] * 目标是在2026年及以后将纤维业务稳定在3亿美元以上的EBIT水平[37] **甲醇分解项目** * 项目按计划实现2025年增量EBITDA 7500万美元的目标 第一季度已实现2500万美元（去除启动相关成本） 另外2500万美元的成本效益将在全年实现[24] * 实现5000万美元成本效益的目标进展顺利[24] * 收入增长因环境挑战而放缓 但公司仍在赢得客户 推进产品试验和规格认证 为新产品发布做准备[25] * 在包装领域势头增强 因为机械回收产品存在降解、变色（发灰或变黄）问题 影响品牌价值和适用性 化学回收能纯化到与化石燃料产品无差异的水平 且在某些应用中机械回收会失败导致浪费和良率问题 市场对高质量透明再生料出现溢价[27][28] * 公司正在研究如何解除金斯波特第一套甲醇分解设施的瓶颈 未来可能增加约30%的产能[30] * 关于第二套设施（德克萨斯）和美国能源部拨款 公司主张获得3000万至3500万美元合同义务的全额报销 目前已获得约2500万美元[31] * 公司正在研究替代厂址 并寻求资本支出介于能源部拨款水平和金斯波特水平之间的解决方案[33] **其他重要内容** **贸易与关税影响** * PET进口被从关税豁免清单中移除 公司主张这一结果 认为有利于发展区域化和专注于回收的经济 与国内生产和回收内容竞争[29] * 关税问题增加了不确定性 公司需要更多的确定性才能向前发展[29] **纤维业务细节** * 纺织品业务受到贸易和关税以及4月2日事件的影响 预计全年影响超过2000万美元[35] * 纤维素流和乙酰流整体的利用率影响 约有2000万美元流入下游纤维业务[35] * 2024年天然气成本下降的益处转变为2025年天然气成本上升的逆风 带来1000万至2000万美元的影响[35] * Aventa等增长项目势头增强[36]

**公司及行业** Tectonic Therapeutic (NasdaqGM: TECX) 专注于心血管和肺部疾病治疗领域 其核心管线为长效松弛素模拟物TX45 用于治疗心力衰竭和肺动脉高压相关适应症 同时布局遗传性出血性毛细血管扩张症（HHT）及GPCR靶向药物开发平台[1][3][57] **核心观点与论据** *TX45机制与适应症* - TX45为长效松弛素模拟物 具有三重作用机制：血管扩张（包括外周和肺循环）、舒张期心肌主动松弛（正性松弛作用）及抗纤维化/心脏重塑作用[3][4][5] - 核心适应症为射血分数保留型心衰（HFpEF）合并毛细血管前后混合型肺动脉高压（CPCPH）患者 该人群在美国约70万至100万人[7][9][10] - 二期临床APeX试验（NCT未提供）针对PVR>3 Wood单位患者 主要终点为PVR变化 次要终点包括肺毛细血管楔压（PCWP）、心输出量及6分钟步行距离[42][43] *临床数据优势* - Ib期数据显示单剂TX45可使PVR降低32%-35% PCWP降低18%-19% 肺动脉压降低16%-17% 心输出量增加18%[37][38] - 与竞争对手Lilly的松弛素项目相比 TX45针对稳定性心衰患者（非失代偿期） 且采用差异化蛋白工程设计 半衰期更长 理论上可避免液体潴留风险[12][16][17] *竞争格局分析* - Lilly的松弛素项目因在失代偿心衰患者中出现液体潴留（约200cc）和心衰住院率数值上升而终止 但其长期数据显示血管扩张效应持续[13][14][21] - AstraZeneca的松弛素生物制剂二期研究覆盖HFpEF和HFrEF患者 包括高/低PVR人群 中期右心导管数据未显示液体潴留信号[24][26][27] - Merck的sotatercept（已获批PAH）正在CPCPH适应症中推进研究 预计2025年末数据公布 但可能存在抗凝禁忌（50%CPCPH患者需抗凝治疗）和定价过高问题[29][31][32] *新适应症拓展* - 新增PH-ILD（间质性肺病相关肺动脉高压）作为第二适应症 计划2026年启动临床试验 利用TX45的抗纤维化和肺血管重塑作用[47][48][50] - HHT（遗传性出血性毛细血管扩张症）项目针对7万-7.5万美国患者 15%-20%为中重度人群 无获批疗法 计划2026年一季度进入一期临床[57][61][62] *GPCR平台价值* - GPCR靶点占现有药物33% 但仅覆盖12%的已知GPCR靶点 公司平台专注于开发GPCR抗体药物（传统多为小分子） 具备蛋白工程技术优势[66][67][68] **其他重要内容** - 2025年10月将公布HFrEF患者Ib期数据（Part B） 2026年公布APeX二期数据[41][72] - 与前列腺素类药物（如United Therapeutics的UTADACA）联用策略正在评估中 以扩大PH-ILD适应症覆盖人群[52] - 公司现金储备可支持运营至2026年临床数据读出（未明确金额）[72] **风险提示** - 竞品sotatercept若在CPCPH中取得阳性结果可能挤压市场空间 但公司认为机制差异和更宽患者范围（EF>40% vs EF>50%）仍具优势[31][32] - 液体潴留风险虽在稳定性心衰中可控 但仍需二期临床验证[16][17]

NovoCure (NasdaqGS:NVCR) FY Conference September 10, 2025 03:20 PM ET Company ParticipantsAshley Cordova - CEOConference Call ParticipantsKelly McCarthy - AnalystKelly McCarthyGood afternoon, everyone, and we appreciate you joining us for a fireside chat with Novocure. I'm very happy to be joined by CEO Ashley Cordova. Thanks for coming, Ashley. Hope the conference has been productive for you. I'm Kelly McCarthy. I'm from the Morgan Stanley Healthcare Banking Team, and really appreciate everyone who's joini ...

i-80 Gold公司电话会议纪要分析 涉及的行业和公司 * 公司为i-80 Gold Corp 在纽约证券交易所美国交易所上市 股票代码IAUX[1] * 公司专注于黄金开采业务 所有项目均位于美国内华达州北部 属于一级矿业管辖区[1] * 行业为黄金矿业 公司采用中心辐射型(hub and spoke)运营模式 拥有一个中央加工设施[2] 核心观点和论据 资源储备与项目组合 * 公司是内华达州第四大矿产资源持有者 总资源量约1400万盎司黄金 其中650万盎司为测定和指示资源[1] * 资源包括三个高品位地下矿床和两个露天矿 高品位地下资源量350万盎司 平均品位8.5克/吨[2] * Mineral Point矿床是公司最大矿床 拥有550万盎司黄金和2亿盎司白银资源 平均品位0.5克/吨黄金和15克/吨白银[3] * Granite Creek露天矿资源量140万盎司 平均品位1.2克/吨[3] 生产目标与发展规划 * 公司计划到2030年代初实现年产量超过50万盎司黄金[1] * 第一阶段(2026年开始):年产15-20万盎司黄金 来自Granite Creek地下项目和Archimedes地下项目[3] * 第二阶段:年产30-40万盎司黄金 增加Cove地下项目和Granite Creek露天矿[4] * Mineral Point项目在2030年代初投产后 年产量将超过60万盎司黄金[4] 项目开发进展 * Granite Creek地下矿已投产并持续提升产量[4] * Archimedes地下矿上周开始建设 预计14个月后接触首矿化材料[4] * Cove地下项目和Granite Creek露天矿计划2028年开始建设[5] * Mineral Point项目预计2030年建设 2031年投产[5] 经济价值与价格敏感性 * 所有项目的初步经济评估(PEA)使用金价2175美元/盎司 净现值为16亿美元[5] * 金价2900美元/盎司时 净现值升至45亿美元 显示对金价高度敏感[5] * 预计通过进一步钻探和可行性研究 项目经济性将进一步提高[5] 勘探潜力与钻探计划 * Archimedes矿床向北开放(图像右侧) 具有扩展潜力[9] * 2023年钻探发现6.9克/吨金品位 over 50米 该区域需要加密钻探[8] * 深部两个钻孔显示12-15克/吨金品位 over 5-10米 位于不同地层单元[8] * Mineral Point需要大量钻探 预计超过10万米 进行加密和步出钻探[10] * Granite Creek的South Pacific带向北和深部开放 可能延伸超过1公里[13] 加工设施与运营效率 * Lone Tree高压釜设施是项目关键 已获许可但需要翻新[18] * 使用自有加工设施可将回收率从55-60%提高至约92% 减少对第三方收费加工的依赖[18] * 预计今年晚些时候发布三级工程研究 随后开始建设[19] 其他重要内容 历史生产背景 * Archimedes矿坑在1990年代和2000年代初由Homestake和Barrick生产了150万盎司黄金[6] * Granite Creek历史露天矿在1980年代和1990年代开采[13] * Mineral Point区域的钻孔由Homestake在1990年代中期施工 约1000英尺深[11] 地质特征 * Mineral Point矿化存在于白云岩中 高度断裂 氧化深度超过1300英尺[12] * 典型见矿段200-250米 金品位0.5-0.7克/吨 银品位10-15克/吨[12] * 预计回收率约78% 基于已完成的冶金工作[12] * Cove矿床包括Carlin型矿化和高品位石英脉系统(2201带平均品位26.7克/吨)[17] 许可状态 * Archimedes目前获准在5100水平以上开采 正在申请5100水平以下开采许可[7] * Mineral Point需要较长的许可时间线[10] * Granite Creek露天矿目前正在进行许可工作[16] 钻探与研究计划 * Archimedes上部今年第四季度开始加密钻探 明年进行更大规模的可行性研究钻探[9] * Granite Creek今年计划14000米加密和步出钻探 为明年第一季度可行性研究做准备[14] * Cove已完成40000米加密钻探 为明年第一季度可行性研究做准备[17] * 今早发布的6个钻孔中 有1个重要步出钻孔(IGS-2502A) 见矿2.9米33.6克/吨和3.6米29.7克/吨[14]

[角色] 你是一名拥有10年投资银行从业经验的资深研究分析师，专门负责上市公司、行业研究。你擅长解读公司财报、行业动态、宏观市场，发现潜在的投资机会和风险。 [任务] 你需要仔细研读一份上市公司或者行业研究的电话会议记录，请阅读全文，一步一步思考，总结全文列出关键要点，不要错过任何信息，包括： * 纪要涉及的行业或者公司 * 纪要提到的核心观点和论据 * 其他重要但是可能被忽略的内容 如果没有相关内容，请跳过这一部分，进行其他的部分。 总结时要全面、详细、尽可能覆盖全部的内容、不遗漏重点,并根据上述方面对内容进行分组。 要引用原文数字数据和百分比变化,注意单位换算(billion=十亿,million=百万,thousand=千)。 [注意事项] 1) 使用中文,不要出现句号 2) 采用markdown格式 3) 不使用第一人称,以"公司"、"行业"代替 4) 只输出关于公司和行业的内容 5) 在每一个关键点后用[序号]形式引用原文档id 6) 一个[序号]只应该包含一个数字，不能包含多个，如果多个就用[序号][序号]分开写，不要写成 [序号-序号] 7) 每个关键要点后边的 [序号] 不要超过 3 个 Content: --------- <doc id='1'>QuidelOrtho (NasdaqGS:QDEL) 2025 Conference September 10, 2025 03:10 PM ET Speaker0 Go ahead and get started, I'm Katherine Schulte, I cover life sciences and diagnostics here at Baird. Very excited to have Quidel Ortho joining us today. From the company we have the CFO, Joe Buske. So Joe, thanks so much for joining us. I think we're gonna dive right into Q and A so if anyone has a question, feel free to send them to session3rwbear dot com and I will pass them along.</doc> <doc id='2'>So Joe, thought maybe we could just start at a high level. Can you just talk about key takeaways from the quarter and maybe how your strategic vision for the company is unfolding here? Speaker1 Sure. And by the way, thanks, Katherine. Thanks for having us to the conference. It's been great. And as far as that first question on highlights from Q2, I would say that we've now had two good quarters in a row to start off 2025 with good margin improvement of 400 plus basis point margin improvement over the prior year.</doc> <doc id='3'>I think we also showed that we've made some strategic decisions in line with what Brian and I said we were wanna do fifteen months ago when he started. And, examples of that would be we we announced that we're closing a very large manufacturing facility in Raritan, New Jersey, which is gonna provide some real nice operating margin improvement in a couple years. And we made the decision to pivot from Savannah development of molecular product to Lex, which is a business in UK that we're going to purchase once they get FDA approval for their first respiratory panel. And so again these decisions are just all around margin improvement and making the company more productive and more efficient. Again, things that Brian and I said we were gonna do last year when he when he started.</doc> <doc id='4'>I guess the last thing I'd mention is that the base business continues to grow in at the rate which we said it would grow, you know, in that sort of mid single digit growth for labs and immunohematology.</doc> <doc id='5'>Speaker0 Yeah, I want to get into Lexin a bit, but maybe starting on the lab side of the business. You know, to your point, recurring revenue growth remained solid to start the year. You know, where do you think you're winning in the clinical chemistry business? Speaker1 Yeah, the strategy with labs continues a strategy that was started probably about five or so years ago, and that is to focus on the small to mid size hospital and labs, which we define as our sweet spot. You know, we're doing quite well there. I would say the other strategy is to focus on leading with integrated analyzers that runs both routine chemistry and immunoassays. And, you know, that strategy continues to be the one that we're gonna employ and it's it's working quite well. And, you know, the growth in the labs business continues to be right where we said it would be in that mid single digit growth range.</doc> <doc id='6'>Speaker0 What about on the instrumentation side? You know, how's the current capital equipment environment? Speaker1 Yeah, I don't see a lot of impact of customers pausing on placing analyzers due to the macro. And I think it's mainly because the the value of the analyzers we're placing is much less than, say, an MRI or imaging piece of equipment that's, you know, millions and millions of dollars. I think I think our purchase the equipment purchases that our customers are making kind of fly below the radar to some extent. We also offer, like our competitors do, an alternative to to buying an instrument, and that is a reagent rental where we can place an analyzer at a customer location and charge them the cost of the box over the life of the contract in the form of a surcharge on the consumables. So that's a way of kind of getting around maybe CapEx limitations that a customer may have.</doc> <doc id='7'>Speaker0 And how important is the automation element to customers? You know, how has your integrated analyzer kind of helped in this environment? And I think it's around a third of your installed base now, so how do you think that will track over time? Speaker1 Yeah, for sure automation and the integrated analyzers are super important to our customers and to our strategy of growing the labs business. In fact, you look at the automation, or I should say the growth in the automation and installed base over the last several years, it's typically been in the high single digits and low double digits as indicative of the strategy working. You know, we continue to lead with that integrated analyzer which is going to drive more higher margin immunoassay revenue growth for us. And that's important because if you look at our business relative to where the market is, our mix of immunoassay and routine chemistry is inverted from where the overall market is. And so there's lots of room for us to grow that immunoassay side of the business.</doc> <doc id='8'>And in fact, if you look at our percentage of installed base that's integrated versus nonintegrated, if you go back to when Ortho Clinical Diagnostics went public in 2021, we were around 24% of the base was integrated, and now we're sitting at around 30% of that base, installed base, being integrated. So you can kind of get a feel for the pace of which we're moving and employing that strategy and you can also get a feel for how much room is left to run, how much we can run this strategy out. There's plenty of runway left.</doc> <doc id='9'>Speaker0 And in terms of that kind of immunoassay mix, I guess where do you see the biggest opportunities in the portfolio to keep driving that? Speaker1 Yeah, good question. I think that if you look at where the labs growth is, you know, in the more developed markets of The US and Western Europe, you'll see more, you know, low to mid single digit growth. But when you look in less developed areas like Latin America and Asia Pacific and Eastern Europe, you'll see more high single digits, sometimes low double digit growth. And so we I I look towards those lesser developed markets of Eastern Europe and Asia Pac as the areas where I think there's lots of opportunity for us to to grow that integrated analyzer base and grow that immunoassay business.</doc> <doc id='10'>Speaker0 And if we move on to molecular, you know, how does the planned Flex acquisition kind of expand your footprint there and maybe talk through the strategic rationale for pursuing that route instead of continuing with Savannah.</doc> <doc id='11'>Speaker1 Yeah, it was a really tough decision that we made back in June to pivot from developing Savannah to Lex. Savannah had been a product that Quidel had been working on prior to the combination with ortho for many years and it's it's it's a great product. Savannah, I think, has a lot of potential competitive advantages in the marketplace, but Lex also has some very distinct competitive advantages in the marketplace where we intend to sell it and those advantages I would say are focused on turnaround time, ease of use and cost. And so the decision was made to pivot to Lex primarily because if you look at the amount of time it would take to fill out the menu, the amount of cost it would take to fill out the menu, and the level of technical risk, which is much less in a product like Lex, we decided to discontinue Savannah and focus our resources on Lex because again, we think we can get that menu filled out much faster and for much less cost and a lot less risk. And so we believe that the first panel which was submitted to the FDA which is a respiratory panel in June, we believe that we will get approval for that panel sometime later this year.</doc> <doc id='12'>Speaker0 And maybe what's the timeline for menu expansion there into other respiratory or women's health applications? Just curious, you know, how much there is an opportunity outside of that initial panel.</doc> <doc id='13'>Speaker1 Yeah, there's lots of opportunity to fill out that menu. I think first we'll focus on RSV and strep being added to the panel and then women's health and STI will be next. More to come on specific timelines but yeah, there's plenty of opportunity to fill up that menu and expand.</doc> <doc id='14'>Speaker0 And how do you think about, you know, the overlap with kind of the rest of your portfolio? Is there any potential cannibalization for Sofia? Speaker1 The good news is is that the Lex product can be commercialized through the existing sales force. So there's no need to add any resources to commercialize Lex as we move into early twenty six. They're based on the customer research that we've done, the KOLs we've talked to, we believe there's plenty of room for both a rapid antigen test like Sofia and a molecular product like Lex. And there is some some overlap but I would say it's not not significant at all. It's probably, you know, 10% or less of of overlap and and even that amount of overlap is not overly concerning for us because if there are customers who'd rather use Lex rather than Savannah, the Lex margins are higher.</doc> <doc id='15'>And so that would be some minor amounts of cannibalization that I'd probably welcome from a margin perspective.</doc> <doc id='16'>Speaker0 And you've talked about kind of reinvesting some of your Savannah dollars into Lex, you know, where are those investments mainly concentrated this year and kinda what additional steps are you taking to prepare for that kind of limited commercial launch in the first half of next year? Speaker1 Yeah, we're definitely excited about getting approval on that first panel later this year so we can start a limited commercialization in this first and second quarter twenty six respiratory season. As I said a minute ago, really no need for any additional commercial resources. We've got everything we need. Being the leader in respiratory testing in The US, we've got all the commercial resources that we need to sell that product. I guess the most near term investments might be in the form of not too significant CapEx that will be needed to increase the manufacturing capacity for Lex.</doc> <doc id='17'>There is a line that the company has in The UK right now but will need an additional line either somewhere in The UK again or in The US. Haven't decided that yet but that will be something that will stand up pretty early in '26 so that we can hit the late in the '26, early twenty seven respiratory season with a much more fulsome rollout and commercialization.</doc> <doc id='18'>Speaker0 Okay. And then on point of care, you you lowered the 2025 outlook for COVID revenue coming out of the second quarter. Can you just remind us of the seasonality baked in for the third and fourth quarter and maybe just given the trends that you've seen so far this year, you know, how you think about forecasting, you know, endemic COVID revenues longer term? Speaker1 Yeah. COVID's been been quite the ride. And I I know that there's been a lot of focus on the on the decline of the COVID revenue over the last several years, but I do believe that as a headline conclusion, we've digested most of that decline. When you think about where we were in '21 and '22 with a billion 4 of COVID revenue that's dropped to 400,000,000 and then a 185,000,000 last year, you know, the guidance this year is for 70 to a 100. And if you just pick the midpoint of of that, somewhere you in the mid eighties, I think that's a realistic, very realistic point of of where where the declines end.</doc> <doc id='19'>And, you know, and I can say that with with some confidence because all of the the government order revenue is is gone and the retail business is is fairly small at this point. There's not a whole lot lot left. So most of what's left is the professional use space revenue which has proven to be somewhat consistent and durable. And so we do think that that, you know, call it that midpoint of the 70 to a 100 is probably a good place to think that not only we're gonna end up this year, but where we're gonna go for the next next several years with COVID revenue. So I think all of these views of revenue of ex COVID that we've done for the past couple years, think we're we're really getting to the end of that, which is great news, I know, the buy side and sell side.</doc> <doc id='20'>Speaker0 Yep. Absolutely. Maybe any thoughts on the upcoming flu season? Are there any clues from the Southern Hemisphere around, you know, what this upcoming season could look like relative to historical trends? Speaker1 Yeah. The flu season in the Southern Hemisphere is always a good data point for us and that flu season has turned out to be one that I would define as more typical or average. And so that's good because that's what we've said all along this year is that our guidance for flu revenue is gonna be a typical or average season. And we define that as flu season in terms of volume, 50 to 55,000,000 tests, and the combo test mix being greater than 50% and steady market share. So the new model that we've gone to to project the flu revenue that we went to in '24 has proven out to be a good one.</doc> <doc id='21'>You know, we very close, almost I would say spot on to what we guided the street to for the first half of the year for flu revenue. And so we have a lot of confidence that where we are for the second half of this year is going to be pretty close as well. And and, you know, what we're seeing is that the the patterns for the flu season are getting back to more predictable pre pandemic patterns. The the level of testing is up versus pre pandemic mainly because of the combo test, and we think that combo test is pretty durable given that it's been over 50% of our flu revenue now for two plus years. And so, you know, I think that flu season is, the flu season revenue is getting a little more predictable.</doc> <doc id='22'>So we feel good about where the guidance is for the second half of the year.</doc> <doc id='23'>Speaker0 Yeah. Maybe shifting to transfusion medicine, you know, how should we think about that business following the U. Donor screening wind down and, you know, what's your view on the growth outlook there? Speaker1 Yeah, so as a reminder, the transfusion medicine business unit for us is comprised of the donor screening business, which is primarily the business of screening for infectious disease in the blood supply donations. And we decided to shut down, wind down that business last year because it is a small market, It's lower growth and it's it's got lower margins compared to the rest of our businesses. So we decided to wind it down last year. And, you know, last year we did about a 120,000,000 of revenue. This year it'll be probably 40 to 50,000,000 of revenue.</doc> <doc id='24'>And this business will be fully wound down in early twenty six. And so again, that revenue headwind of the donor screening wind down, which we've had all year, which is down about 40% in the first half of the year, that headwind will go away in the first half of next year and we won't be dealing with that anymore. And the top line revenue growth will be made up more of the base business, which we see as a mid single digit growth business. The other business within transfusion medicine is immunohematology, and that's a business that we really like. That business is global.</doc> <doc id='25'>We're the global number one in terms of market share with that business and we do intend to continue to invest in that business going forward.</doc> <doc id='26'>Speaker0 Yeah. Okay. And maybe on China, there's been a lot of noise there for diagnostics companies, particularly this quarter. It sounds like you've been relatively insulated from some of the unbundling and VBP headwinds that</doc> <doc id='27'>others are seeing. Is that right? And are there any parts of your business that are seeing pressure there? Speaker1 I was waiting for the China questions. I knew they were coming. The we spent a lot of time on this on our last earnings call. Brian, I think, did a great job of of talking about why our business is different from others in our space in in China. And I know a lot of folks like to paint a broad brush with with the China risk, but our business is different, and here's why.</doc> <doc id='28'>First of all, we use a dry slide technology on our lab side, which none

公司概况 * 公司为Phillips Edison & Company (NasdaqGS:PECO) 一家专注于以杂货店为核心的生活购物中心房地产投资信托基金 [1][2] * 公司拥有并管理超过300家购物中心 分布于31个州 总面积约3200万至3300万平方英尺 [5] 核心财务业绩与指引 * 公司预计本年度可实现3%至4%的NOI增长 FFO每股增长预计在6%至7%之间 [4] * 公司预计下一年度将维持相同的NOI和FFO增长轨迹 [4] * 公司近期将股息提高了近6% [4] * 公司长期杠杆目标为5.5倍 当前杠杆率为5.4倍 信用评级为BBB flat [40] 投资组合运营表现 * 整体出租率达到97.4% 主力店出租率为98.9% 内铺出租率为94.8% [5] * 新签租约的租金溢价率（leasing spreads）在30%至35%之间 续租租金溢价率约为20% 并伴有3%的复合年增长率 [5][11] * 租户续租保留率高达94% [5][11] * 租约中嵌入的合同租金调涨（contractual rent bumps）目前贡献约110个基点的年增长 预计未来将升至125至150个基点 [19] * 公司预计内铺出租率可在未来18至24个月内从94.8%提升至96.5% [18] 增长驱动力与资本配置 * NOI的3%至4%增长主要来源于新签和续租的租金溢价 以及合同租金调涨 [19] * 公司拥有活跃的外围地块开发和再开发项目 每年投入约5000万美元 预计每年可贡献100至120个基点的增长 项目回报率在9%至12%之间（现金回报率） [20][42][43] * 年内至今已完成3.03亿美元购物中心收购 2023年收购2.75亿美元 2024年收购约3亿美元 [23] * 当前收购管道活跃度比去年高出50% 另有约1亿美元交易已中标或处于合同阶段 全年收购指引为3.5亿至4.5亿美元 [24] * 收购策略聚焦于解决不低于9%的无杠杆内部收益率（unlevered IRR）核心杂货店锚定项目回报约9% 影子锚定项目约9.5% 无锚定项目在10%至11%之间 [23][25][34] * 收购资本化率（cap rates）范围在5.75%至6.6%之间 第一季度收购资产cap rate为6.3% 第二季度因发现管理不善的资产而达到7% [25] 资产处置与投资组合管理 * 公司通过处置已稳定化的资产来为收购提供资金 目标维持长期杠杆率 [26] * 当前在市场上出售资产的预期无杠杆回报率约为7% 而收购回报率为9% 存在200个基点的利差 [28] 行业定位与租户构成 * 公司战略聚焦于收购市场上排名第一或第二的杂货店锚定的购物中心 规模约11.5万平方英尺 [7][8] * 约70%的租金来源于生活必需品类零售（necessity-based retail） 包括快餐餐厅、健康与美容服务以及医疗零售（MedTail） [5][6] * 约30%的租金收入直接来自杂货店租户 [31] * 公司不收购由市场排名第三或更低的杂货店锚定的中心 认为其风险更高 估值差异可能达150个基点 [38] 市场环境与风险应对 * 关税问题在四、五月份曾引起恐慌并导致一些计划暂停 但市场已逐渐适应并制定应对计划 未出现租户流失 [9][10][11] * 分析显示约85%的年基本租金（ABR）所受影响较低 因其租户主要提供必需商品和服务 受关税影响小 [13] * 对亚马逊同日达生鲜配送服务持怀疑态度 认为生鲜配送业务难以盈利 并指出从线下向线上转型比从线上向线下拓展更容易 [14][15] 无锚定购物中心策略 * 公司拥有约1.85亿美元的无锚定购物中心资产（9处） 将其视为核心战略的补充 [23][35] * 该板块新签租金溢价率高达45%至50% 续租溢价率超过30% [36] * 收购标准与核心策略一致 位于核心市场 周边三英里内 median income约12万美元 人口约10万 高学历人群占比约50% [35] * 收购成本通常在每平方英尺275至325美元之间 通过将本地租户转换为全国性或区域性租户来提升价值 [35] 资产负债表与融资 * 无重大债务到期直至2027年 过去12个月发行了三笔债券以延长债务期限 [40] * 当前收购指引未包含股权融资计划 去年第四季度的股权融资为当前收购提供了资金 [26] * 公司认为其价值被低估 并且发现私募市场的定价目前比公开市场更有效 [26]

公司概览 * 公司为在线时尚零售商Revolve Group (NYSE: RVLV) 旗下运营REVOLVE和FWRD两个平台 [3] * 公司由Mike和Michael联合创立 至今已有超过20年历史 两位创始人目前仍担任联席CEO并持有公司近半数股份 [6] 核心业务表现与战略 * FWRD业务（奢侈品板块）在过去一个季度实现了双位数增长且盈利能力提升 [9] * FWRD的增长得益于新客户获取和现有客户复购率的提升 [10] * 公司整体订单量活跃客户数和每活跃客户收入均高于2019年新冠疫情前水平 [11] * 公司通过品类多元化（如美妆 男装 家居）推动增长 这些品类在最近季度均实现了坚实的双位数增长 其中美妆品类增长16% [21] * 连衣裙品类增长4% 时尚服装品类增长14% [20] 竞争优势与市场定位 * 公司认为其创始人主导 长期主义 注重基本面的运营模式是其穿越周期 在竞争对手（如Farfetch Matches Fashion）陷入困境时获得市场份额的核心优势 [6] * FWRD业务能够利用Revolve的基础设施和规模优势 包括履约 技术 库存管理和客户服务团队 [7] * FWRD通过其商品组合和对下一代消费者的关注 与MyTheresa等竞争对手形成差异化 [8] * 公司约50%的活跃客户是现有客户 他们贡献了超过80%的销售额 [14] * 公司约三分之二的入库商品是补货订单 基于数据驱动进行商品管理 [12] 增长机遇与新举措 * 公司与Cardi B建立了合资企业(JV) 计划在明年推出包含美妆和服装产品线的品牌 目标打造一个价值十亿美元的品牌 [17][18] * 实体零售被视为一个巨大的机遇 公司预计其规模可达十亿美元 并可能成为公司业务的半壁江山 [37] * 公司已开设阿斯彭(Aspen)门店并表现优异 计划在第四季度于The Grove开设永久门店 [28][31] * 公司计划在2026年底前再开设几家门店 潜在目标包括阿斯彭型（阿斯彭 汉普顿）和The Grove型（洛杉矶 纽约 迈阿密 达拉斯 芝加哥）的20多个地点 [34][39][40] * 阿斯彭门店表现出色 销售高价商品（如6万美元的手袋）且自有品牌在店内表现优于线上 [32][34] 运营效率与成本控制 * 公司退货率已连续五个季度下降 通过将退货政策恢复至30天 store credit 对高退货率客户收取退货运费 以及利用AI改善尺码推荐等多种举措实现 [43] * 退货率因品类而异 连衣裙最高 美妆仅为低至中个位数 实体零售的退货率也仅为低至中个位数 随着品类和渠道组合变化 长期看退货率有自然下降趋势 [46] * 公司通过改变降价算法（降低周转深度和降价深度）和扩大利润率更高的自有品牌占比来改善毛利率 [49][50] * 公司成功缓解了关税（中国高达145%）的绝大部分影响 并在第二季度实现了毛利率的轻微提升 且相关措施将在未来年份持续带来利润好处 [48] 技术与数据分析 * 公司自主研发的AI搜索算法取代了第三方供应商 带来了七位数的年化 gross revenue 提升 [51] * AI技术还被应用于商品排序和策划 创建商店 客户推荐 智能全球库存布局 客户服务呼叫路由 语音转文本以及发票处理等后台运营 以提升效率和客户体验 [52][53] * 公司在个性化推荐方面取得良好进展 这是一个持续优化的无限项目 [55] 财务与指引 * 2025年的业绩指引和表现已完全排除了de minimis（800美元以下包裹免税）政策的影响 [22] * 公司认为de minimis政策的调整使竞争环境更公平 压缩了与低价竞争对手的定价差异 公司是净受益者 [23] * 7月份总收入增长7% 其中国内核心业务表现接近第二季度水平 国际业务因艰难同比而面临更大挑战 [26] * 平均订单价值(AOV)在第二季度后半段和7月份持续改善 [26] * 公司预计下半年退货率将保持平稳 [44] 风险与挑战 * 国际业务在7月份面临挑战 增长放缓至7% 主要因去年同期的高基数比较 [26] * 随着进入下半年（八月 九月及第四季度） 公司面临的同比比较将变得更加艰难 [27] * 公司正在增加对自有品牌 FWRD 实体零售和AI的投资 这导致近期总务与行政支出(G&A)出现去杠杆化 但公司认为这些是有意义的长期投资 [28]